Polydata

@Honorable-Centurion

#5,09588

0x0e7de4f116e9e26d5a0f52ba04c5df7295f6c13a

184d· 464 markets · 1006 tradesVol: $327,5842026-07-18T09:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 80%20/20
Profit Factor 85.21x15/15
Sharpe 0.1763/15
Sortino 7.13510/10
EV $+0.19510/10
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 96%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Honorable-Centurion is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 1,006 trades across 464 markets over 95 days. Ranked #5095 on the global PnL leaderboard, this trader has generated a net profit of $32,321 from a total trading volume of $327,584. Their excellent Smart Score of 88/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong market insight and execution skills. Despite a flat portfolio value trend, their consistent profitability stands out.

The trading style of Honorable-Centurion appears to focus on low-risk, high-confidence trades, as evidenced by a remarkable 99.3% win rate and a profit factor of 85.21. The trader tends to hold positions for very short durations, with zero days max drawdown and a minimal sell percentage of 10%, indicating a preference for quick, decisive entries and limited exits. Their semi-bot score (45/100) suggests a blend of automated and manual trading strategies, which supports consistent performance without heavy reliance on bots.

Honorable-Centurion’s key strengths include exceptional accuracy and disciplined risk management, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, the low Sharpe ratio of 0.18 and a flat equity trend may signal limited volatility capture and growth potential. Additionally, the semi-bot approach carries inherent risks if market conditions shift rapidly, potentially impacting long-term sustainability. Overall, this trader demonstrates impressive consistency on Polymarket but may face challenges scaling returns under more volatile environments.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+32,321
Diamond Hands
10% sell
Win Streak
183 wins in a row
Whale
$209,367
Consistent
47/49 days
High Roller
$2,207/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,298$32,321Vol: $327,584

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32,321
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$327,584
Total Redeem
$239,528
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
464
total markets
Trades
909B / 97S
Daily Volume
$2,207
Account Age
184d
since Jan 15, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
80%
250W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$38,792
Win Rate
99%
400W / 3L
Profit Factor
85.21x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-157

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32,408 (81.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$31,245
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$625
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$538
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$515
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 6PM ET$484
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$407
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$382
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$351
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$243
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$202

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET$-274
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7PM ET$-169
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7PM ET$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
7.135
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.195
Kelly %
98.9%
Half-Kelly
49.4%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 898s — typical for humanSize CV 1.82 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.88 — human randomness11 trades/day — very active311 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry
<=1
375 entries
<=2
409 entries
<=5
428 entries
<=10
448 entries
<=20
464 entries
<=50
464 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)5.3%
High (>55c)89.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 48.4%

Other$39,583

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
464

Single bracket

<=1
464 brackets
<=2
464 brackets
<=3
464 brackets
<=4
464 brackets
<=5
464 brackets
<=8
464 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/15/2026, 2:04:16 PM1 trades$200 min
1/16/2026, 8:45:10 AM1 trades$2320 min
1/16/2026, 10:00:22 AM1 trades$2910 min
1/16/2026, 10:15:12 AM6 trades$2331 min
1/16/2026, 1:00:50 PM6 trades$4270 min
1/16/2026, 3:00:02 PM2 trades$3870 min
1/16/2026, 4:00:32 PM1 trades$2920 min
1/16/2026, 4:45:12 PM9 trades$1830 min
1/16/2026, 5:30:04 PM1 trades$2340 min
1/16/2026, 7:00:02 PM2 trades$6440 min
1/16/2026, 9:45:04 PM1 trades$3490 min
1/16/2026, 10:00:02 PM3 trades$6680 min
1/16/2026, 10:30:10 PM1 trades$2950 min
1/16/2026, 10:45:10 PM3 trades$2400 min
1/16/2026, 11:01:24 PM1 trades$80 min
1/17/2026, 12:15:04 AM1 trades$2390 min
1/17/2026, 12:30:04 AM1 trades$2390 min
1/17/2026, 2:30:04 AM1 trades$1860 min
1/17/2026, 3:15:02 AM1 trades$2670 min
1/17/2026, 4:00:04 AM3 trades$8060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
01-23
01-31
02-08
02-18
03-01
03-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event