Polydata

@HorizonSplendidView

#5046

0x02227b8f5a9636e895607edd3185ed6ee5598ff7

126d· 20 markets · 3617 tradesVol: $22,184,1242026-05-19T06:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 1.43x8/15
Sharpe 0.1423/15
Sortino 0.4194/10
EV $+0.43010/10
HHI 9748/10
Profit Days 46%4/10
DD/Peak 145%0/10

Summary

HorizonSplendidView is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking #50 globally by net profit and generating nearly $2 million in gains from over $22 million in total volume. Over 31 days, they executed 3,617 trades across 20 different markets with an impressive 80% win rate. Their profit factor of 7.23 reflects strong profitability, supported by a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.14, indicating steady but somewhat conservative risk-adjusted returns.

The trader’s style shows a preference for a diversified set of markets, avoiding weather-related questions entirely. HorizonSplendidView exhibits a disciplined approach, combining both bot-assisted and manual trading with a Semi-Bot score of 45. Their zero sell percentage and badges like “Diamond Hands” and “DCA Master” suggest a strategy focused on holding winning positions and averaging down cost bases. The equity trend is upward, pointing to consistent gains over a relatively short active period.

HorizonSplendidView’s key strengths include high win consistency and a strong profit factor, which contribute to their solid standing on Polymarket’s leaderboard. However, their relatively low Sharpe ratio and zero max drawdown duration hint at potential volatility or exposure to sudden market shifts. The combination of bot and manual trading creates both flexibility and complexity, which may pose operational risks if not carefully managed.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,991,768
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 180.8 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$10,449,997
High Roller
$335,039/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#31$1,991,768Vol: $22,184,124

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,991,768
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,184,124
Total Redeem
$10,851,976
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
3617B / 0S
Daily Volume
$335,039
Account Age
126d
since Jan 14, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
9W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$6,620,271
Win Rate
80%
8W / 2L
Profit Factor
7.23x
Avg Win
$722,030
Avg Loss
$-399,190

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,098,561 (102.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$2,376,327
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?$1,959,652
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$762,582
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-01?$308,973
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-28?$135,195
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-24?$122,978
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-24?$82,981
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$27,555

Top Losers

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?$-546,036
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?$-252,344

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.142
Sortino
0.419
HHI
974
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.430
Kelly %
62.4%
Half-Kelly
31.2%
Top-1 market
19.6%
Top-5 markets
59.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
116.0
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
150.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
59% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 5.14 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern7/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.84 — human randomness116 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
180.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
1 entries
<=20
1 entries
<=50
4 entries
>50
16 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)64.8%
High (>55c)34.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.6%

Other$3,270,556
Paris$1,959,652
Madrid$-252,344

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
17

Single bracket

<=1
14 brackets
<=2
17 brackets
<=3
17 brackets
<=4
17 brackets
<=5
17 brackets
<=8
17 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 3:26:21 PM38 trades$155,62421 min
2/8/2026, 3:52:39 PM4 trades$49,5494 min
2/8/2026, 4:02:35 PM2 trades$20,2501 min
2/8/2026, 4:13:31 PM40 trades$362,01611 min
2/12/2026, 7:12:53 PM278 trades$798,38014 min
2/14/2026, 1:50:25 PM3 trades$32,6394 min
2/14/2026, 2:02:23 PM3 trades$6,1600 min
2/14/2026, 2:21:11 PM81 trades$470,0639 min
2/15/2026, 1:34:41 PM255 trades$706,41526 min
2/21/2026, 7:00:38 PM89 trades$103,99335 min
2/21/2026, 7:42:10 PM403 trades$1,189,00519 min
2/22/2026, 3:35:10 PM96 trades$97,6572 min
2/24/2026, 7:30:34 PM102 trades$95,84020 min
2/24/2026, 7:57:46 PM5 trades$125,4002 min
2/28/2026, 2:18:53 PM111 trades$94,71012 min
3/1/2026, 1:27:41 PM9 trades$454,7402 min
3/1/2026, 2:58:33 PM277 trades$432,6096 min
3/1/2026, 9:21:33 PM220 trades$445,7678 min
3/4/2026, 7:26:49 PM467 trades$1,162,7054 min
3/6/2026, 7:40:49 PM244 trades$495,1655 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
02-14
02-21
02-24
03-01
03-06
03-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 180.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event