Polydata

@HorizonSplendidView

#7046

0x02227b8f5a9636e895607edd3185ed6ee5598ff7

167d· 20 markets · 3373 tradesVol: $22,184,1242026-06-29T12:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 1.43x8/15
Sharpe 0.1423/15
Sortino 0.4194/10
EV $+0.43010/10
HHI 10487/10
Profit Days 46%4/10
DD/Peak 145%0/10

Summary

HorizonSplendidView is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #70 globally by net profit with a total PnL of nearly $2 million. Over 31 days, they executed 3,373 trades across 19 markets, generating over $22 million in volume. Their average Smart Score of 46 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.14 indicate steady but not aggressive returns. The trader currently holds no open portfolio positions, suggesting a focus on completed trades and realized gains.

The trader’s strategy appears to emphasize consistent profit generation with a 60% win rate and a high profit factor of 5.46, signaling strong risk-reward management. HorizonSplendidView shows a preference for diversified markets but avoids weather-related markets entirely. Their zero sell percentage and badges like "Diamond Hands" and "DCA Master" imply a buy-and-hold or dollar-cost averaging approach, combined with disciplined timing to capitalize on upward equity trends without significant drawdown periods.

Key strengths for HorizonSplendidView include a robust profit factor and a sustained upward equity trend without drawdown, which highlights effective risk control and trend identification. However, their relatively low Sharpe ratio and semi-bot trading style may expose them to moderate volatility or algorithmic risks. Overall, HorizonSplendidView demonstrates solid performance on Polymarket but may benefit from enhanced volatility management to improve risk-adjusted returns.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,991,768
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 177.5 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$9,954,831
High Roller
$319,164/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#46$1,991,768Vol: $22,184,124

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,991,768
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,184,124
Total Redeem
$10,424,777
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
3373B / 0S
Daily Volume
$319,164
Account Age
167d
since Jan 14, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
9W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$6,620,271
Win Rate
60%
6W / 4L
Profit Factor
5.46x
Avg Win
$928,381
Avg Loss
$-254,905

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,098,561 (112% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$2,376,327
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?$1,959,652
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$762,582
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-01?$308,973
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-28?$135,195
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$27,555

Top Losers

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?$-546,036
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?$-252,344
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-24?$-159,708
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-24?$-61,532

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.142
Sortino
0.419
HHI
1048
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.430
Kelly %
25.1%
Half-Kelly
12.6%
Top-1 market
20.6%
Top-5 markets
62.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
108.1
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
146.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
58% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 5.10 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern7/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.89 — human randomness108 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
177.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
1 entries
<=20
1 entries
<=50
4 entries
>50
15 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)69.5%
High (>55c)29.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.2%

Other$2,843,356
Paris$1,959,652
Madrid$-252,344

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
16

Single bracket

<=1
13 brackets
<=2
16 brackets
<=3
16 brackets
<=4
16 brackets
<=5
16 brackets
<=8
16 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 3:26:21 PM38 trades$155,62421 min
2/8/2026, 3:52:39 PM4 trades$49,5494 min
2/8/2026, 4:02:35 PM2 trades$20,2501 min
2/8/2026, 4:13:31 PM40 trades$362,01611 min
2/12/2026, 7:12:53 PM278 trades$798,38014 min
2/14/2026, 1:50:25 PM3 trades$32,6394 min
2/14/2026, 2:02:23 PM3 trades$6,1600 min
2/14/2026, 2:21:11 PM81 trades$470,0639 min
2/15/2026, 1:34:41 PM255 trades$706,41526 min
2/21/2026, 7:00:38 PM89 trades$103,99335 min
2/21/2026, 7:42:10 PM403 trades$1,189,00519 min
2/22/2026, 3:35:10 PM96 trades$97,6572 min
2/24/2026, 7:30:34 PM102 trades$95,84020 min
2/24/2026, 7:57:46 PM5 trades$125,4002 min
2/28/2026, 2:18:53 PM111 trades$94,71012 min
3/1/2026, 1:27:41 PM9 trades$454,7402 min
3/1/2026, 2:58:33 PM277 trades$432,6096 min
3/1/2026, 9:21:33 PM220 trades$445,7678 min
3/4/2026, 7:26:49 PM467 trades$1,162,7054 min
3/10/2026, 7:51:35 PM215 trades$1,045,2049 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
02-14
02-21
02-24
03-01
03-06
03-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 177.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event