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@Hurtful-Supplement

#2,946,86725

0x83d22814af497297b3023897a6e3a25cfcf7d196

160d· 608 markets · 14449 tradesVol: $28,872,6032026-06-30T11:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 46%8/20
Profit Factor 0.88x1/15
HHI 9210/10
Profit Days 52%5/10
DD/Peak 474%0/10

Summary

Hurtful-Supplement is a highly active trader on Polymarket, having executed 14,449 trades across 351 markets over 114 days. Despite a high win rate of 95.2% and a significant total volume of nearly $29 million, the trader ranks low on the global PnL leaderboard (#2,946,867) with a net loss of approximately $950,874. The Smart Score of 25/100 indicates below-average trading performance, and a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.10) reflects poor risk-adjusted returns.

The trader favors a strategy that emphasizes frequent, high-volume trading with a strong focus on holding positions long-term, as suggested by the Diamond Hands badge and a 0% sell rate. Hurtful-Supplement appears to employ a semi-automated trading style (Bot Score 60/100) with a consistent dollar-cost averaging approach. The high profit factor of 5.41 and win streak indicate frequent small gains, but the lack of realized profits and portfolio value at zero suggest that positions may be largely unrealized or mismanaged.

Hurtful-Supplement’s strength lies in persistence and volume, leveraging steady equity growth and a disciplined trading schedule. However, the substantial net loss despite a high win rate signals potential issues with trade sizing, timing, or market selection. The low Smart Score and negative Sharpe ratio highlight risks related to inefficient capital use and poor risk management, which could lead to continued losses on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 41.2 entries/market
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
Whale
$7,914,110
High Roller
$69,422/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,776,468$-950,874Vol: $28,872,603

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-950,874
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,872,603
Total Redeem
$1,785,275
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
608
total markets
Trades
14447B / 2S
Daily Volume
$69,422
Account Age
160d
since Feb 2, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
48%
227W / 246L events
Realized PnL
$6,032,046
Win Rate
95%
60W / 3L
Profit Factor
5.41x
Avg Win
$13,587
Avg Loss
$-50,221

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $148,890 (22.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5$53,269
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Li$50,362
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-01?$45,259
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$39,169
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?$36,366
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5$32,749
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev$28,011
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic$25,313
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?$24,503
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5$23,353

Top Losers

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5$-125,974
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-07?$-24,688
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.097
Sortino
-0.105
HHI
92
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.124
Kelly %
90.4%
Half-Kelly
45.2%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
13.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
134.1
Very active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.5m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.4

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 6.88 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.25 — human randomness134 trades/day — automation539 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
41.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
53 entries
<=2
82 entries
<=5
130 entries
<=10
154 entries
<=20
191 entries
<=50
251 entries
>50
100 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)66.5%
High (>55c)32.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.8%

Other$683,157
Milan$22,889
Paris$8
Miami$0
Seattle$0
Toronto$0
Kiel win$0
Madrid$-41,496

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
316

Single bracket

<=1
284 brackets
<=2
313 brackets
<=3
316 brackets
<=4
316 brackets
<=5
316 brackets
<=8
316 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/6/2026, 6:43:49 PM11 trades$61,2295 min
2/6/2026, 6:55:27 PM1 trades$4,3480 min
2/6/2026, 7:30:27 PM7 trades$41,9823 min
2/7/2026, 4:53:55 AM5 trades$28,5171 min
2/7/2026, 5:09:41 AM34 trades$43,80811 min
2/7/2026, 5:29:45 AM5 trades$21,0496 min
2/7/2026, 5:59:37 AM2 trades$1,2981 min
2/7/2026, 11:46:49 AM3 trades$14,3840 min
2/7/2026, 12:39:27 PM1 trades$1,2350 min
2/7/2026, 1:23:49 PM1 trades$22,4260 min
2/7/2026, 1:51:13 PM3 trades$18,7691 min
2/7/2026, 1:58:25 PM1 trades$2,9380 min
2/7/2026, 2:10:05 PM6 trades$67,0902 min
2/7/2026, 2:36:37 PM177 trades$29,4969 min
2/7/2026, 4:42:57 PM1 trades$14,1000 min
2/7/2026, 5:51:15 PM34 trades$73,7175 min
2/8/2026, 11:17:39 AM3 trades$12,3691 min
2/8/2026, 12:03:15 PM1 trades$6,5400 min
2/8/2026, 1:14:45 PM2 trades$5,9200 min
2/8/2026, 1:26:05 PM5 trades$6,0303 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
02-21
03-09
03-26
04-12
05-04
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 41.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event