Polydata

@Imaginative-Recommendation

#145,64270

0xdfa6fb34a3baa5681d61d8543c3c3b850d2025af

194d· 59 markets · 125 tradesVol: $5,392 @hichman192026-05-22T21:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 1.64x10/15
Sharpe 0.2956/15
Sortino 0.3754/10
EV $+2.70510/10
HHI 26510/10
Profit Days 70%10/10
DD/Peak 30%8/10

Summary

Imaginative-Recommendation is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #145642 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Over 118 days, they executed 125 trades across 59 markets, generating a net profit of $230.99 on a total volume of $5,392. Their smart score of 70/100 indicates good trading performance, with a consistent upward equity trend and a profit factor of 2.14, reflecting profitable trade outcomes.

This trader shows a preference for a diverse range of markets, including a small allocation (5%) to weather-related events. Imaginative-Recommendation maintains a balanced risk profile, indicated by a 59.3% win rate and a relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.29, suggesting moderate risk-adjusted returns. They tend to hold positions without significant drawdowns and exhibit a contrarian style, as highlighted by their badges. Their sell percentage of 27% suggests a mix of holding and timely profit-taking, with no prolonged drawdown periods.

The strengths of Imaginative-Recommendation include consistent profitability, a cool-headed approach, and the ability to maintain winning streaks under varying market conditions. However, their moderate Sharpe ratio and relatively low portfolio value may limit scalability. Additionally, their bot score suggests manual trading, which could impact speed and reaction time in highly volatile markets. Overall, Imaginative-Recommendation demonstrates solid, steady performance with manageable risks on Polymarket.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+231
Contrarian
55% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Consistent
19/27 days
Cool Head
DD 30%

Categories

5
SPORTS#72,214$237Vol: $4,037
📢 MENTIONS#79,729$-1Vol: $1,000
🌤️ WEATHER#192,243$-2Vol: $172
🏛️ POLITICS#697,747$-0Vol: $170
CRYPTO#913,892$-3Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$231
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,392
Total Redeem
$479
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
91B / 34S
Daily Volume
$12
Account Age
194d
since Nov 9, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-23
Vol: $34
All Time
$231
Vol: $5,392

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
31W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$316
Win Rate
59%
32W / 22L
Profit Factor
2.14x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $177 (56.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?$89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?$52
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?$37
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?$35
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo$27
Pistons vs. Spurs$24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?$21
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?$19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?$19

Top Losers

Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?$-66
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?$-62
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC end in a draw?$-38
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)$-26
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?$-19
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-15?$-16
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn$-12
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$-10
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?$-9
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.295
Sortino
0.375
HHI
265
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.705
Kelly %
17.6%
Half-Kelly
8.8%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
22.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1020s — typical for humanSize CV 0.94 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.64 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
39 entries
<=2
50 entries
<=5
59 entries
<=10
59 entries
<=20
59 entries
<=50
59 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.5%
Mid (20-55c)56%
High (>55c)38.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$290
Madrid$19
Paris$19
Miami$-12

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
57

Single bracket

<=1
56 brackets
<=2
56 brackets
<=3
57 brackets
<=4
57 brackets
<=5
57 brackets
<=8
57 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/13/2026, 1:45:57 PM1 trades$100 min
1/13/2026, 1:51:37 PM1 trades$110 min
1/13/2026, 2:10:45 PM2 trades$303 min
1/13/2026, 3:13:49 PM1 trades$240 min
1/13/2026, 3:41:57 PM2 trades$515 min
1/13/2026, 11:15:38 PM1 trades$1480 min
1/13/2026, 11:34:42 PM1 trades$270 min
1/13/2026, 11:46:30 PM2 trades$192 min
1/14/2026, 1:07:06 AM1 trades$200 min
1/14/2026, 2:45:38 AM1 trades$210 min
1/14/2026, 2:13:38 PM1 trades$110 min
1/14/2026, 5:24:10 PM1 trades$100 min
1/14/2026, 7:15:18 PM1 trades$820 min
1/14/2026, 11:25:48 PM1 trades$930 min
1/15/2026, 4:44:14 AM4 trades$866 min
1/15/2026, 10:57:24 PM1 trades$50 min
1/16/2026, 1:46:52 AM1 trades$40 min
1/16/2026, 6:23:04 AM5 trades$764 min
1/16/2026, 4:25:36 PM1 trades$200 min
1/16/2026, 4:30:40 PM1 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
01-20
01-31
02-25
03-13
03-27
04-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
5.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event