Polydata

@Immense-Illness

#195,98453

0x36649385baf1983f2c6261c89558ef2f6d3b62c4

162d· 115 markets · 217 tradesVol: $9,685 @Akash6679732026-05-22T02:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 68%19/20
Profit Factor 1.23x5/15
Sharpe 0.0912/15
Sortino 0.2673/10
EV $+1.48410/10
HHI 10707/10
Profit Days 58%7/10
DD/Peak 72%0/10

Summary

Immense-Illness is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 217 trades across 115 markets over 161 days. They hold a global PnL leaderboard rank of #195,984 and have generated a net profit of $118.29 on a total volume of $9,685. Their portfolio value remains stable at $73.16, supported by a steady equity trend and a Sharpe ratio of 0.09, indicating low risk-adjusted returns. Immense-Illness maintains an average Smart Score of 53 out of 100, reflecting a balanced trading performance.

This trader demonstrates a cautious and selective approach, as indicated by a 74.8% win rate and a profit factor of 1.40. They appear to prefer manual trading over automated strategies, with a Bot Score of 50 suggesting a semi-bot style. Immense-Illness avoids weather markets entirely and executes sells on only 25% of trades, signaling a patient holding pattern. Their timing shows consistency without aggressive scaling, supported by badges like Sniper and Win Streak, implying a focus on precision entries and sustained profitable runs.

Immense-Illness’s key strength lies in their reliable win rate and stable equity curve, which contribute to a low maximum drawdown duration and consistent profitability on Polymarket. However, their relatively low Sharpe ratio and modest portfolio value suggest limited capital deployment and subdued risk-taking, which may constrain upside potential. Additionally, the semi-bot trading style could introduce execution inconsistencies, posing challenges in volatile or fast-moving markets.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+118
Win Streak
17 wins in a row

Categories

3
SPORTS#80,227$188Vol: $5,181
🏛️ POLITICS#1,347,802$-30Vol: $2,867
CRYPTO#1,243,797$-39Vol: $1,638

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$118
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,685
Total Redeem
$1,676
Portfolio
$73
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
163B / 54S
Daily Volume
$22
Account Age
162d
since Dec 11, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $492
Month
$-27
Vol: $2,257
All Time
$118
Vol: $9,685

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
75%
77W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$134
Win Rate
75%
83W / 28L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $250 (191.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Rid$143
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans$80
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$7

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$-65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$-47
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$-30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$-25
Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$-10
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giant$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.091
Sortino
0.267
HHI
1070
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.484
Kelly %
4.3%
Half-Kelly
2.2%
Top-1 market
28.2%
Top-5 markets
51.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 594s — typical for humanSize CV 3.13 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.23 — mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
88 entries
<=2
102 entries
<=5
113 entries
<=10
115 entries
<=20
115 entries
<=50
115 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)28.2%
High (>55c)66.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.9%

Lucknow$140
Other$-9

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
109

Single bracket

<=1
106 brackets
<=2
108 brackets
<=3
108 brackets
<=4
108 brackets
<=5
109 brackets
<=8
109 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/11/2025, 2:40:59 PM1 trades$50 min
4/6/2026, 11:09:17 AM1 trades$30 min
4/6/2026, 11:56:43 AM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 12:19:47 PM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 12:49:37 PM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 12:55:27 PM1 trades$10 min
4/14/2026, 5:07:36 PM1 trades$40 min
4/15/2026, 12:53:34 AM1 trades$60 min
4/15/2026, 3:37:10 PM2 trades$54 min
4/15/2026, 6:27:06 PM2 trades$134 min
4/16/2026, 12:33:46 PM1 trades$100 min
4/16/2026, 1:52:56 PM1 trades$30 min
4/16/2026, 4:56:58 PM1 trades$10 min
4/16/2026, 5:22:30 PM1 trades$50 min
4/17/2026, 1:31:04 PM2 trades$111 min
4/17/2026, 2:14:30 PM2 trades$171 min
4/17/2026, 5:38:36 PM1 trades$490 min
4/17/2026, 7:30:08 PM2 trades$101 min
4/18/2026, 2:08:44 PM2 trades$1301 min
4/19/2026, 4:03:32 AM1 trades$550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
04-22
04-28
05-05
05-10
05-17
05-22
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event