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Immense-Illness

@Immense-Illness

#2,722,02437

0x36649385baf1983f2c6261c89558ef2f6d3b62c4

206d· 223 markets · 497 tradesVol: $41,557 @Akash6679732026-06-30T03:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 68%19/20
Profit Factor 0.80x0/15
HHI 44610/10
Profit Days 63%8/10
DD/Peak 200%0/10

Summary

Immense-Illness is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 497 trades across 222 markets over 379 days. Despite a high win rate of 78.2%, their overall net PnL stands at -$462.56, placing them at rank #2,722,024 on the global leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 37/100 is below average, and their profit factor of 0.81 indicates more losses than gains relative to invested risk. The trader’s portfolio value is currently zero, with an equity trend showing gradual growth.

The trading style of Immense-Illness suggests a preference for high-frequency, smaller-margin trades given the low sell percentage (23%) and lack of exposure to weather markets. Their Sharpe ratio of -0.04 and a max drawdown duration of zero days imply risk-taking with inconsistent returns. The trader appears to favor short-term engagements with a sniper-like precision, as reflected in badges earned, but may struggle to convert frequent wins into overall profitability. Activity is human-driven rather than bot-operated, aligning with a methodical but cautious approach.

Strengths of Immense-Illness include a strong win rate and consistent trading behavior, evidenced by the "Consistent" and "Win Streak" badges. However, the negative net PnL and below-average Smart Score highlight potential weaknesses in risk management or trade sizing. The upward equity trend is a positive signal, but the current data suggests that Immense-Illness needs to refine strategies to improve profitability and reduce losses on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 68%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Consistent
34/54 days

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,689,546$-415Vol: $31,282
🏛️ POLITICS#123,935$23Vol: $6,956
CRYPTO#1,379,401$-71Vol: $3,223
🎭 CULTURE#242,289$0Vol: $95

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-463
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,557
Total Redeem
$5,393
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
223
total markets
Trades
381B / 116S
Daily Volume
$41
Account Age
206d
since Dec 11, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-176
Vol: $20,405
All Time
$-463
Vol: $41,557

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
76%
152W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$200
Win Rate
78%
165W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-41

Top Winners

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals$282
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India$205
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Rid$143
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands$98
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bhutan vs Hong Kong, China$80
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans$80
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies$67
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies$61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$54
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh$37

Top Losers

T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan$-1,008
Knicks vs. Spurs$-238
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait$-113
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India$-71
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$-65
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire$-61
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$-47
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesex$-45
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.043
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
446
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.704
Kelly %
28.5%
Half-Kelly
14.2%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
39.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 422s — typical for humanSize CV 2.61 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.91 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
165 entries
<=2
193 entries
<=5
214 entries
<=10
219 entries
<=20
221 entries
<=50
222 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.5%
Mid (20-55c)25.7%
High (>55c)68.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 25.7%

Lucknow$144
Hong Kong$93
Singapore$8
Other$-612

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
209

Single bracket

<=1
203 brackets
<=2
206 brackets
<=3
207 brackets
<=4
207 brackets
<=5
209 brackets
<=8
209 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/11/2025, 2:40:59 PM1 trades$50 min
4/6/2026, 11:09:17 AM1 trades$30 min
4/6/2026, 11:56:43 AM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 12:19:47 PM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 12:49:37 PM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 12:55:27 PM1 trades$10 min
4/14/2026, 5:07:36 PM1 trades$40 min
4/15/2026, 12:53:34 AM1 trades$60 min
4/15/2026, 3:37:10 PM2 trades$54 min
4/15/2026, 6:27:06 PM2 trades$134 min
4/16/2026, 12:33:46 PM1 trades$100 min
4/16/2026, 1:52:56 PM1 trades$30 min
4/16/2026, 4:56:58 PM1 trades$10 min
4/16/2026, 5:22:30 PM1 trades$50 min
4/17/2026, 1:31:04 PM2 trades$111 min
4/17/2026, 2:14:30 PM2 trades$171 min
4/17/2026, 5:38:36 PM1 trades$490 min
4/17/2026, 7:30:08 PM2 trades$101 min
4/18/2026, 2:08:44 PM2 trades$1301 min
4/19/2026, 4:03:32 AM1 trades$550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
04-26
05-07
05-18
05-30
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event