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@Immense-Predecessor

#4,14872

0x7298060b1844a4c4ca0578146ab3f5e76aa1fcfc

637d· 948 markets · 19017 tradesVol: $41,620,1222026-06-26T22:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 44%7/20
Profit Factor 3.39x15/15
Sharpe 0.53610/15
Sortino 36.70110/10
EV $+4.47610/10
HHI 32140/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Immense-Predecessor is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with over 19,000 trades executed across 354 markets over 741 days. Ranked #4148 globally by net profit, they have achieved a net PnL of $37,738.15 on a total volume exceeding $41 million. Their consistent engagement has earned them a very good Smart Score of 72/100, indicating strong overall performance and reliability.

The trading style of Immense-Predecessor appears focused on high-frequency activity with a strong preference for selling positions, as reflected in their 98% sell rate. Their portfolio remains stable with a flat equity trend and a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.54, suggesting a balanced risk profile with steady returns rather than aggressive gains. The absence of weather market exposure and a zero-day max drawdown duration point to disciplined risk management. The trader’s badges—such as Contrarian, DCA Master, and Hedger—highlight a nuanced approach combining averaging down and risk mitigation techniques.

Key strengths of Immense-Predecessor include their perfect win rate and impressive net profitability, which demonstrate skillful trade selection and execution on Polymarket. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest potential limitations in capitalizing on large market moves. Additionally, their semi-bot trading style may introduce risks related to automation errors or reduced adaptability in fast-changing conditions. Overall, Immense-Predecessor shows consistent, risk-conscious trading but may face challenges scaling gains further.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+37,738
Lottery Player
49% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
67% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 9.8 entries/market
Hedger
avg 15.4 brackets/event
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Consistent
63/66 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

4
SPORTS#4,645$10,044Vol: $28,426,687
🏛️ POLITICS#2,493$16,656Vol: $7,973,174
📈 ECONOMICS#2,171$1,434Vol: $1,608,811
🎭 CULTURE#6,499$660Vol: $728,934

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$37,738
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,620,122
Total Redeem
$30,103
Portfolio
$20,877
Predictions
948
total markets
Trades
284B / 18733S
Daily Volume
$50
Account Age
637d
since Oct 18, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$35
Vol: $0
Week
$-552
Vol: $1,000
Month
$-358
Vol: $28,721
All Time
$37,738
Vol: $41,620,122

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
86W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$1,815,438
Win Rate
100%
26W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$7,966
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $122,631 (59.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$50,784
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$49,404
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$22,444
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$17,181
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$11,442
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$10,145
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherl$9,902
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,779
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$5,644
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$4,920

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.536
Sortino
36.701
HHI
3214
Concentrated
EV per $1
$4.476
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.2%
Top-5 markets
96.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
46.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
46.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — typical for humanSize CV 2.20 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness47 trades/day — suspiciously high739 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.8
Active DCA
<=1
15 entries
<=2
18 entries
<=5
21 entries
<=10
25 entries
<=20
25 entries
<=50
27 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.6%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)27.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$203,839
Miami$3,284
New York City$0
Houston$0
Atlanta$0
Toronto$0
Seattle$0
San Francisco$0
Chicago$0
Los Angeles$0
Dallas$0
Denver$0
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
15.4
Events covered
23

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
2 brackets
<=3
6 brackets
<=4
7 brackets
<=5
8 brackets
<=8
9 brackets
>8
14 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/11/2025, 6:04:57 PM19 trades$3600 min
5/11/2025, 6:26:34 PM19 trades$3600 min
5/11/2025, 6:57:10 PM39 trades$1,3490 min
5/12/2025, 8:28:56 AM19 trades$720 min
5/12/2025, 10:21:28 AM19 trades$2450 min
5/12/2025, 10:27:18 AM1 trades$430 min
5/12/2025, 10:39:14 AM1 trades$40 min
5/12/2025, 10:56:12 AM1 trades$10 min
5/12/2025, 11:57:05 AM1 trades$780 min
5/12/2025, 1:26:25 PM19 trades$660 min
5/13/2025, 3:39:47 PM19 trades$3670 min
5/16/2025, 1:13:05 PM19 trades$3500 min
5/17/2025, 7:14:23 PM19 trades$180 min
5/18/2025, 7:18:18 AM38 trades$4212 min
5/18/2025, 3:45:49 PM38 trades$460 min
5/19/2025, 12:03:59 AM76 trades$4401 min
5/19/2025, 2:27:31 AM39 trades$4921 min
5/19/2025, 2:03:50 PM1 trades$2420 min
5/19/2025, 3:13:12 PM1 trades$50 min
5/20/2025, 11:24:52 AM37 trades$1,0192 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-04
02-09
06-03
09-29
01-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
98.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.8/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 15.4 br/event