Polydata

@Imperturbable-Trove

#35,35930

0x2037bb7a0773499b3afc9b4a4c18ff8fb715473d

132d· 4718 markets · 6618 tradesVol: $9,697,618 @xPolyMarketx2026-06-19T05:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.04x0/15
HHI 5410/10
Profit Days 16%0/10

Summary

Imperturbable-Trove is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, holding the global PnL rank of #35,359. Over 320 days, they executed 6,618 trades across 442 markets, generating a net PnL of $2,996.94 on a total volume of about $9.7 million. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 30/100, their equity trend shows consistent growth, though their portfolio value currently stands at zero.

This trader appears to adopt a semi-automated trading style with a Bot Score of 55/100, blending bot and manual strategies. Imperturbable-Trove prefers a diverse range of markets rather than focusing on weather-related bets and holds a relatively low sell percentage of 8%. Their win rate is slightly above 50%, but a low profit factor of 0.04 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.83 suggest a higher risk profile with exposure to volatility. The presence of badges like Sniper and DCA Master indicates a tactical approach to timing and dollar-cost averaging.

Imperturbable-Trove’s key strength lies in steady equity growth and a large trading volume that demonstrates experience across many markets on Polymarket. However, the low profit factor combined with a negative Sharpe ratio signals potential inefficiencies in risk management or trade selection. The zero max drawdown duration suggests no prolonged losing streaks, but the overall below-average Smart Score highlights room for improvement in strategy optimization.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+2,997
Diamond Hands
7% sell
DCA Master
avg 13.9 entries/market
Win Streak
135 wins in a row
Whale
$4,624,979
High Roller
$14,453/day

Categories

8
SPORTS#5,524$7,680Vol: $4,350,105
CRYPTO#1,576,758$-2,740Vol: $2,787,450
🏛️ POLITICS#7,988$3,435Vol: $819,068
🎭 CULTURE#6,292$691Vol: $598,517
📈 ECONOMICS#660,572$-2,036Vol: $38,436
💻 TECH#9,050$38Vol: $20,965
💰 FINANCE#70,094$5Vol: $818
📢 MENTIONS#38,075$1Vol: $169

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,997
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,697,618
Total Redeem
$1,598,656
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4718
total markets
Trades
6124B / 494S
Daily Volume
$14,453
Account Age
132d
since Feb 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$90
Vol: $56,300
Week
$2,501
Vol: $1,076,531
Month
$3,446
Vol: $2,072,233
All Time
$2,997
Vol: $9,697,618

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
211W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$29,288
Win Rate
51%
226W / 213L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$546
Avg Loss
$-13,103

Top Winners

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$35,005
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$10,010
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner$7,313
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$6,091
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5$6,035
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?$5,522
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$5,020
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5$4,839
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5$4,799
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17?$4,323

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$-56,501
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$-52,891
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-50,412
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports Wo$-49,950
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$-49,950
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs$-49,949
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$-47,998
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner$-44,910
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-42,998
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner$-40,144

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.828
Sortino
-0.861
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.577
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.1
Very active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
31s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.2m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 31s — typical for humanSize CV 3.92 — diverse, typical for human36% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.07 — human randomness53 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
86 entries
<=2
127 entries
<=5
201 entries
<=10
272 entries
<=20
340 entries
<=50
421 entries
>50
21 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)96%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52%

Toronto$-5,454
Seattle$-27,225
Miami$-45,985
Houston$-60,264
Los Angeles$-83,147
Chicago$-99,903
Other$-2,345,531

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
274

Single bracket

<=1
213 brackets
<=2
239 brackets
<=3
249 brackets
<=4
254 brackets
<=5
261 brackets
<=8
273 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/14/2026, 11:12:23 AM5 trades$1782 min
2/15/2026, 5:26:59 PM4 trades$1191 min
2/16/2026, 10:29:49 PM1 trades$200 min
2/18/2026, 10:24:54 AM3 trades$460 min
2/22/2026, 5:38:36 AM6 trades$6004 min
2/22/2026, 5:51:02 AM1 trades$5000 min
2/22/2026, 5:57:52 AM1 trades$500 min
3/1/2026, 3:05:09 PM1 trades$2500 min
3/1/2026, 4:39:59 PM4 trades$3436 min
3/1/2026, 4:50:57 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/1/2026, 5:11:01 PM2 trades$1030 min
3/2/2026, 4:58:23 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
3/2/2026, 7:11:13 PM2 trades$7501 min
3/3/2026, 2:51:59 AM1 trades$2010 min
3/3/2026, 6:05:19 AM1 trades$10,0000 min
3/3/2026, 7:30:41 AM4 trades$4757 min
3/3/2026, 11:26:51 AM1 trades$2720 min
3/3/2026, 3:43:27 PM1 trades$3,0720 min
3/3/2026, 3:52:53 PM2 trades$8840 min
3/3/2026, 3:58:47 PM3 trades$3042 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-20
04-11
04-28
05-17
06-04
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event