Polydata
Impossible-Banker

@Impossible-Banker

#2,689,412100

0x764f3045794e83b5fca2983e28700c2abefb6b8a

206d· 433 markets · 645 tradesVol: $176,038 @0xgoodfellas2026-05-17T20:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 16785.66x15/15
Sharpe 1.03115/15
Sortino 169613.55610/10
EV $+0.20410/10
HHI 6910/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Impossible-Banker is an active trader on Polymarket with 645 trades across 382 markets over 209 days. Despite a high volume of $176,038, the trader’s net PnL stands at -$3,202.75, placing them at rank #2,689,412 globally. Their portfolio value remains stable at $340.94, supported by a strong Sharpe ratio of 1.03 and an elite Smart Score of 100/100, indicating consistent and precise trading decisions.

The trader’s strategy emphasizes a very high win rate of 99.7% with an exceptionally high profit factor of 16,785.66, suggesting a focus on low-risk, high-confidence trades. Impossible-Banker appears to avoid weather markets entirely and sells only 28% of their positions, indicating a preference for holding trades rather than frequent flipping. Their 0-day max drawdown duration and stable equity trend reflect effective risk management and timing, possibly leveraging fast interface execution as indicated by the bot score.

Key strengths for Impossible-Banker include consistent performance, elite scoring, and a sniper-like precision in trade selection, supported by badges such as Win Streak and Consistent. However, the negative net PnL despite a high win rate and volume raises questions about the profitability of individual trades or fees. Additionally, the low portfolio value relative to total volume may suggest limited capital deployment or overtrading. These factors present risks that traders should consider when analyzing Impossible-Banker’s history on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
171 wins in a row
Whale
$77,311
Consistent
74/74 days

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,635,439$-3,093Vol: $166,854
🏛️ POLITICS#171,107$8Vol: $4,983
CRYPTO#1,354,761$-124Vol: $3,991
🎭 CULTURE#85,673$5Vol: $211

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$176,038
Total Redeem
$25,306
Portfolio
$341
Predictions
433
total markets
Trades
462B / 183S
Daily Volume
$370
Account Age
206d
since Oct 23, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$141
Vol: $2,386
Week
$198
Vol: $2,386
Month
$-508
Vol: $18,252
All Time
$-3,203
Vol: $176,038

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
247W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$12,594
Win Rate
100%
285W / 1L
Profit Factor
16785.66x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,291 (10.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?$588
Heat vs. Celtics$375
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-13?$328
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$280
Virtus Bologna vs. Fenerbahce$257
Rockets vs. Warriors$225
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?$224
Spurs vs. Lakers$212
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$206
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-11?$204

Top Losers

Barcelona vs. Panathinaikos$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.031
Sortino
inf
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.204
Kelly %
99.6%
Half-Kelly
49.8%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
49.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2946s — typical for humanSize CV 1.36 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.00 — mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
334 entries
<=2
367 entries
<=5
379 entries
<=10
382 entries
<=20
382 entries
<=50
382 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)87%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 61.4%

Other$11,352
Madrid$477
Paris$418
Tel Aviv$125
Milan$52
Miami$34
Shenzhen$31
Beijing$25
Shanghai$20
Seoul$17

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
369

Single bracket

<=1
356 brackets
<=2
369 brackets
<=3
369 brackets
<=4
369 brackets
<=5
369 brackets
<=8
369 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/27/2025, 9:10:11 PM1 trades$1660 min
11/1/2025, 2:41:01 PM1 trades$100 min
11/11/2025, 10:00:59 PM1 trades$1390 min
11/12/2025, 9:07:19 AM1 trades$100 min
11/12/2025, 9:14:07 AM2 trades$432 min
11/12/2025, 5:08:13 PM1 trades$1200 min
11/13/2025, 3:33:12 PM1 trades$100 min
11/13/2025, 3:46:14 PM1 trades$510 min
11/16/2025, 5:58:43 PM1 trades$80 min
11/16/2025, 9:03:21 PM2 trades$422 min
1/18/2026, 7:52:24 PM1 trades$1020 min
1/18/2026, 9:43:36 PM1 trades$1520 min
1/18/2026, 10:04:58 PM1 trades$1520 min
1/19/2026, 7:48:06 AM1 trades$1750 min
1/19/2026, 8:24:44 PM1 trades$2270 min
1/19/2026, 8:35:20 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/19/2026, 10:09:02 PM1 trades$1920 min
1/19/2026, 10:32:38 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/20/2026, 12:41:00 AM1 trades$1820 min
1/20/2026, 11:23:56 AM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-12
02-11
03-08
04-05
04-17
05-03
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event