Polydata
Impossible-Banker

@Impossible-Banker

#2,900,68195

0x764f3045794e83b5fca2983e28700c2abefb6b8a

254d· 588 markets · 1281 tradesVol: $457,318 @0xgoodfellas2026-07-02T22:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 6.29x15/15
Sharpe 0.74614/15
Sortino 0.6076/10
EV $+0.1909/10
HHI 5010/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 6%10/10

Summary

Impossible-Banker is a highly active Polymarket trader with 1,281 trades spanning 544 markets over 266 days. Despite a substantial total volume of $457,318, their net profit and loss stands at negative $2,388.57, placing them at rank #2,900,681 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value currently sits at zero, but they have maintained a strong Smart Score of 95/100, indicating elite trading skill and consistency.

The trader prefers a broad range of markets, including a small allocation to weather markets (5%), and exhibits a manual trading style with a low bot score of 15/100. Impossible-Banker shows a high win rate of 94%, paired with a notable profit factor of 6.29, suggesting they take well-calculated risks with disciplined timing. Their sell percentage is 32%, indicating a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.75 and a max drawdown duration of zero days reflect moderate risk management and stable equity trends.

Impossible-Banker’s main strengths lie in their consistent performance, high win rate, and elite Smart Score, supported by badges like Sniper and Cool Head, which highlight precision and composure. However, the negative net PnL and flat equity trend raise concerns about overall profitability despite strong execution. The zero portfolio value may indicate recent withdrawal or inactivity, which could affect future trading momentum on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Win Streak
122 wins in a row
Whale
$100,941
Consistent
101/107 days
Cool Head
DD 6%

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,765,562$-2,156Vol: $440,409
🏛️ POLITICS#1,454,310$-58Vol: $6,648
🌤️ WEATHER#268,587$-59Vol: $5,047
CRYPTO#1,446,809$-122Vol: $4,043
📢 MENTIONS#6,246$91Vol: $710
🎭 CULTURE#88,838$5Vol: $211

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,389
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$457,318
Total Redeem
$37,362
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
588
total markets
Trades
866B / 415S
Daily Volume
$379
Account Age
254d
since Oct 23, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$85
Vol: $193
Week
$82
Vol: $2,324
Month
$85
Vol: $193
All Time
$-2,389
Vol: $457,318

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
246W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$16,195
Win Rate
94%
296W / 19L
Profit Factor
6.29x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-131

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,291 (9.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?$588
Heat vs. Celtics$375
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-13?$328
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$280
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5 AND Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O$279
Virtus Bologna vs. Fenerbahce$257
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?$224
Spurs vs. Lakers$212
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$210
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5$204

Top Losers

La Laguna Tenerife vs. Galatasaray$-558
Monaco vs. Dijon$-363
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-11?$-317
Fenerbahce vs. Merkezefendi$-193
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?$-172
Rockets vs. Warriors$-123
Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5$-114
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5$-101
Bursaspor vs. Buyukcekmece$-98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?$-89

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.746
Sortino
0.607
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.190
Kelly %
87.5%
Half-Kelly
43.7%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1887s — typical for humanSize CV 1.58 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.88 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
425 entries
<=2
487 entries
<=5
524 entries
<=10
538 entries
<=20
544 entries
<=50
544 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)19.5%
High (>55c)69.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 63.8%

Other$11,743
Paris$612
Madrid$301
Shanghai$204
Tel Aviv$127
Milan$57
Shenzhen$37
Miami$34
Atlanta$22
Beijing$20
Denver$19
Up or Down$1
Seoul$0
New York City$0
Los Angeles$0
Ankara$0
London$0
Istanbul$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
485

Single bracket

<=1
455 brackets
<=2
483 brackets
<=3
483 brackets
<=4
484 brackets
<=5
485 brackets
<=8
485 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/27/2025, 9:10:11 PM1 trades$1660 min
11/1/2025, 2:41:01 PM1 trades$100 min
11/11/2025, 10:00:59 PM1 trades$1390 min
11/12/2025, 9:07:19 AM1 trades$100 min
11/12/2025, 9:14:07 AM2 trades$432 min
11/12/2025, 5:08:13 PM1 trades$1200 min
11/13/2025, 3:33:12 PM1 trades$100 min
11/13/2025, 3:46:14 PM1 trades$510 min
11/16/2025, 9:05:17 PM1 trades$210 min
1/18/2026, 7:52:24 PM1 trades$1020 min
1/18/2026, 9:43:36 PM1 trades$1520 min
1/18/2026, 10:04:58 PM1 trades$1520 min
1/19/2026, 7:48:06 AM1 trades$1750 min
1/19/2026, 8:24:44 PM1 trades$2270 min
1/19/2026, 8:35:20 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/19/2026, 10:09:02 PM1 trades$1920 min
1/19/2026, 10:32:38 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/20/2026, 12:41:00 AM1 trades$1820 min
1/20/2026, 11:23:56 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/20/2026, 1:58:14 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-16
04-04
04-21
05-17
06-06
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event