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Impossible-Banker

@Impossible-Banker

#2,866,21898

0x764f3045794e83b5fca2983e28700c2abefb6b8a

252d· 583 markets · 1258 tradesVol: $455,707 @0xgoodfellas2026-06-28T17:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 11.93x15/15
Sharpe 0.91915/15
Sortino 0.7898/10
EV $+0.21910/10
HHI 5210/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Impossible-Banker is a highly active trader on Polymarket with 1,258 trades across 529 markets over 266 days. Despite a large total volume of $455,707, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$2,089.60 and ranks #2,866,218 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is zero, indicating full liquidation or inactivity in open positions. The smart score of 98/100 places Impossible-Banker in the elite category, reflecting strong technical and analytical skills.

The trader favors a diverse range of markets, including a small focus on weather markets (5%), and demonstrates a high win rate of 98.1% alongside a profit factor of 11.93, suggesting highly effective trade selection and risk management. The sell percentage is 34%, indicating a balanced approach between holding and taking profits. Timing appears consistent, with a stable equity trend and no extended drawdowns. The low bot score confirms manual trading, emphasizing disciplined human decision-making rather than algorithmic execution.

Impossible-Banker’s key strengths include exceptional accuracy and consistency, as highlighted by badges such as Sniper and Win Streak. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.92 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of drawdown duration points to strong capital preservation. However, the negative net PnL despite a high win rate and volume raises concerns about the impact of trading costs or occasional large losses. The flat equity trend further implies limited growth, which could be a risk for long-term profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Win Streak
136 wins in a row
Whale
$97,564
Consistent
104/107 days
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,738,940$-1,857Vol: $438,798
🏛️ POLITICS#1,451,049$-58Vol: $6,648
🌤️ WEATHER#267,152$-59Vol: $5,047
CRYPTO#1,439,754$-122Vol: $4,043
📢 MENTIONS#6,230$91Vol: $710
🎭 CULTURE#88,427$5Vol: $211

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,090
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$455,707
Total Redeem
$37,169
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
583
total markets
Trades
837B / 421S
Daily Volume
$367
Account Age
252d
since Oct 23, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$182
Vol: $712
Week
$72
Vol: $712
Month
$371
Vol: $235,861
All Time
$-2,090
Vol: $455,707

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
245W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$15,434
Win Rate
98%
316W / 6L
Profit Factor
11.93x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-229

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,291 (8.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?$588
Heat vs. Celtics$375
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-13?$328
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$280
Virtus Bologna vs. Fenerbahce$257
Rockets vs. Warriors$225
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?$224
Spurs vs. Lakers$212
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$206
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-11?$204

Top Losers

Turk Telekom vs. Esenler Erokspor$-670
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers$-564
Galatasaray vs. Besiktas$-86
Valencia vs. Real Madrid$-46
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9
Barcelona vs. Panathinaikos$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.919
Sortino
0.788
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.219
Kelly %
95.4%
Half-Kelly
47.7%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1887s — typical for humanSize CV 1.60 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.88 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
419 entries
<=2
474 entries
<=5
509 entries
<=10
521 entries
<=20
528 entries
<=50
528 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)71%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 62.8%

Other$13,427
Paris$625
Madrid$421
Shanghai$204
Tel Aviv$164
Milan$57
Shenzhen$36
Miami$34
Atlanta$22
Beijing$20
Denver$19
Up or Down$1
Seoul$0
New York City$0
Los Angeles$0
Ankara$0
London$0
Istanbul$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
493

Single bracket

<=1
461 brackets
<=2
491 brackets
<=3
491 brackets
<=4
493 brackets
<=5
493 brackets
<=8
493 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/27/2025, 9:10:11 PM1 trades$1660 min
11/1/2025, 2:41:01 PM1 trades$100 min
11/11/2025, 2:26:55 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/11/2025, 9:46:25 PM1 trades$1390 min
11/11/2025, 10:00:59 PM1 trades$1390 min
11/12/2025, 9:07:19 AM1 trades$100 min
11/12/2025, 9:14:07 AM2 trades$432 min
11/12/2025, 5:08:13 PM1 trades$1200 min
11/13/2025, 3:33:12 PM1 trades$100 min
11/13/2025, 3:46:14 PM1 trades$510 min
11/16/2025, 5:58:43 PM1 trades$80 min
11/16/2025, 9:03:21 PM2 trades$422 min
1/18/2026, 7:52:24 PM1 trades$1020 min
1/18/2026, 9:43:36 PM1 trades$1520 min
1/18/2026, 10:04:58 PM1 trades$1520 min
1/19/2026, 7:48:06 AM1 trades$1750 min
1/19/2026, 8:24:44 PM1 trades$2270 min
1/19/2026, 8:35:20 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/19/2026, 10:09:02 PM1 trades$1920 min
1/19/2026, 10:32:38 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-14
04-02
04-19
05-14
06-03
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
5.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event