Polydata

@Inaccuratestake

#3387

0xf8831548531d56ad6a4331493243c447a827cd1f

132d· 28 markets · 2129 tradesVol: $27,914,8852026-07-21T20:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 74%20/20
Profit Factor 2.65x15/15
Sharpe 0.4528/15
Sortino 0.8989/10
EV $+0.19410/10
HHI 12896/10
Profit Days 73%10/10
DD/Peak 26%9/10

Summary

Inaccuratestake is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked 33rd on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of nearly $4 million. Over 54 days, they executed 2,129 trades across 28 markets, generating total volume approaching $28 million. Their smart score of 87/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent profitability and skillful trading.

The trader prefers a diverse set of markets but appears to avoid weather-related ones entirely. Inaccuratestake’s strategy emphasizes a high win rate of 82.1% and a profit factor of 2.67, indicating strong risk-adjusted returns. Their zero sell percentage and badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master suggest a tendency to hold positions and scale in, rather than quick flipping. The Sharpe ratio of 0.45 and a zero-day max drawdown duration indicate moderate volatility tolerance and effective risk management. Trading activity is steady with a clear upward equity trend.

Key strengths for Inaccuratestake include a sniper-like precision in entries and consistent profits, as evidenced by multiple badges and an upward portfolio trend. However, a Sharpe ratio below 1 and a portfolio value at zero point to potential risks in capital deployment or liquidity. Overall, their style suits traders who value steady growth with disciplined risk control on Polymarket.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+3,987,826
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 76.0 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$20,709,787
Consistent
11/15 days
High Roller
$382,323/day
Cool Head
DD 26%

Categories

2
SPORTS#19$3,987,825Vol: $27,914,853
🏛️ POLITICS#356,322$1Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,987,826
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,914,885
Total Redeem
$24,733,403
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
2128B / 1S
Daily Volume
$382,323
Account Age
132d
since Mar 12, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $16
All Time
$3,987,826
Vol: $27,914,885

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
82%
23W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$3,987,826
Win Rate
82%
23W / 5L
Profit Factor
2.67x
Avg Win
$279,707
Avg Loss
$-481,927

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,163,636 (78.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$1,189,570
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev$1,096,760
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$877,306
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev$706,973
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev$526,344
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska$366,946
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana$362,625
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$248,107
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini$241,833
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva$170,670

Top Losers

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$-1,174,874
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?$-598,020
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic$-300,833
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe$-266,959
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi$-68,948

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.452
Sortino
0.898
HHI
1289
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.194
Kelly %
31.4%
Half-Kelly
15.7%
Top-1 market
24%
Top-5 markets
70.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.8m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
54% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 5.93 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern13/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.10 — human randomness39 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
76
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
1 entries
<=5
2 entries
<=10
7 entries
<=20
10 entries
<=50
14 entries
>50
14 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)13.3%
High (>55c)86.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 78.5%

Other$4,621,645
Los Angeles$1
Milan$-598,020

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
28

Single bracket

<=1
28 brackets
<=2
28 brackets
<=3
28 brackets
<=4
28 brackets
<=5
28 brackets
<=8
28 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 11:08:24 AM1 trades$29,6480 min
5/24/2026, 11:16:35 AM1 trades$16,9130 min
5/24/2026, 11:21:45 AM2 trades$15,1431 min
5/24/2026, 11:46:31 AM1 trades$24,6170 min
5/24/2026, 12:32:32 PM2 trades$23,0762 min
5/24/2026, 6:26:15 PM10 trades$598,0203 min
5/25/2026, 8:22:04 AM15 trades$21,50917 min
5/25/2026, 8:45:52 AM72 trades$87,60623 min
5/25/2026, 12:14:00 PM18 trades$67,25212 min
5/25/2026, 5:50:16 PM3 trades$8,6361 min
5/25/2026, 6:08:09 PM2 trades$46,3300 min
5/25/2026, 6:16:59 PM229 trades$139,09713 min
5/26/2026, 8:25:09 AM2 trades$50,8351 min
5/26/2026, 8:31:03 AM2 trades$71,8983 min
5/26/2026, 8:42:30 AM1 trades$3,4660 min
5/26/2026, 8:49:51 AM56 trades$5,49710 min
5/26/2026, 1:01:51 PM5 trades$43,9453 min
5/26/2026, 1:11:38 PM4 trades$2264 min
5/26/2026, 3:35:20 PM6 trades$65,4656 min
5/26/2026, 3:46:13 PM4 trades$8,4245 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
05-31
06-03
06-06
06-08
06-10
06-12
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 76/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event