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@Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath

#167,39383

0x1e313b649b6932c3c3c73b89ff9254b2989a594b

21d· 241 markets · 269 tradesVol: $2,3342026-05-15T20:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 93%20/20
Profit Factor 1.19x5/15
Sharpe 1.09215/15
Sortino 4.80410/10
EV $+0.0553/10
HHI 8610/10
Profit Days 82%10/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath is a relatively new but active trader on Polymarket, with 16 days of activity and 269 trades across 241 different markets. Despite a modest global rank of #167,393, the trader has achieved a net profit of $164.37 on a portfolio valued at $3,000. Their smart score of 83/100 indicates strong trading skills, supported by a win rate of 95.4% and a profit factor of 3.63, reflecting effective trade selection and profitability.

This trader prefers a broad range of markets, avoiding weather-related events entirely, and exhibits a low-risk profile with a Sharpe ratio of 1.09 and zero days of max drawdown duration. Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath shows consistent upward equity growth and a tendency to hold positions without selling prematurely, as indicated by a 0% sell rate. Their trading style appears disciplined and focused on precision, earning badges like 🎯 Sniper and 💎 Diamond Hands, which suggest methodical timing and strong conviction in their positions.

The key strengths of Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath include high consistency, low drawdowns, and a clear upward equity trend on Polymarket, making them a reliable trader in terms of performance. However, their concentrated holding style and minimal selling could expose them to sudden market reversals or missed opportunities to lock in gains. Monitoring their adaptation to changing market conditions will be crucial for assessing ongoing risk.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+164
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
62 wins in a row
Consistent
14/17 days
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#64,327$164Vol: $2,334

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$164
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,334
Total Redeem
$2,212
Portfolio
$3,000
Predictions
241
total markets
Trades
269B / 0S
Daily Volume
$126
Account Age
21d
since Apr 29, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$20
Vol: $471
Week
$69
Vol: $1,318
Month
$121
Vol: $1,919
All Time
$164
Vol: $2,334

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
93%
226W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$185
Win Rate
95%
226W / 11L
Profit Factor
3.63x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50 (26.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$4

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.092
Sortino
4.804
HHI
86
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
60.8%
Half-Kelly
30.4%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
10.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.6
Active
Markets / Day
14.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 1190s — typical for humanSize CV 1.03 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.23 — human randomness17 trades/day — very active15 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
222 entries
<=2
236 entries
<=5
240 entries
<=10
241 entries
<=20
241 entries
<=50
241 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)99.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.4%

Other$190

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
241

Single bracket

<=1
241 brackets
<=2
241 brackets
<=3
241 brackets
<=4
241 brackets
<=5
241 brackets
<=8
241 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 3:14:04 PM1 trades$250 min
4/29/2026, 4:04:04 PM1 trades$250 min
4/29/2026, 4:24:04 PM1 trades$250 min
4/29/2026, 8:14:06 PM1 trades$180 min
4/29/2026, 9:00:24 PM1 trades$250 min
4/29/2026, 11:10:10 PM1 trades$160 min
4/30/2026, 1:29:04 AM1 trades$250 min
4/30/2026, 2:45:08 AM1 trades$250 min
4/30/2026, 3:40:06 AM2 trades$90 min
4/30/2026, 4:35:08 AM1 trades$200 min
4/30/2026, 5:29:18 AM1 trades$250 min
4/30/2026, 5:39:24 AM1 trades$250 min
4/30/2026, 5:59:16 AM1 trades$250 min
4/30/2026, 7:34:08 AM2 trades$250 min
4/30/2026, 3:09:18 PM1 trades$250 min
4/30/2026, 3:44:12 PM1 trades$250 min
4/30/2026, 7:06:48 PM2 trades$50 min
5/1/2026, 1:09:06 AM1 trades$250 min
5/1/2026, 12:39:08 PM1 trades$50 min
5/1/2026, 4:23:48 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
05-01
05-04
05-06
05-08
05-10
05-12
05-14
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event