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@Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath

#1,977,15676

0x1e313b649b6932c3c3c73b89ff9254b2989a594b

69d· 1549 markets · 1650 tradesVol: $31,3512026-06-30T15:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 3.96x15/15
Sharpe 0.3667/15
Sortino 0.4905/10
EV $+0.0422/10
HHI 1310/10
Profit Days 87%10/10
DD/Peak 34%7/10

Summary

Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 1,650 trades executed over 246 days. Despite a high volume of $31,351, their net profit and loss stands at a slight loss of $18.52, placing them at rank #1,977,156 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is steady at $1,077.21, supported by a strong smart score of 76/100, indicating very good trading acumen.

This trader favors a high-frequency approach, engaging in 1,418 different markets and maintaining an exceptional win rate of 98.9%. Their strategy appears to be low-risk with a profit factor of 3.96 and no recorded drawdown duration, suggesting careful management of downside risk. Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath avoids selling positions and does not trade weather markets, indicating a preference for holding long positions and focusing on non-weather-related events. The semi-bot score of 45/100 suggests a mix of automated and manual trading styles.

Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath’s strengths lie in their consistency and risk control, highlighted by badges such as Sniper and Diamond Hands, and a flat equity trend that shows portfolio stability. However, the low Sharpe ratio of 0.37 indicates limited risk-adjusted returns, and their minimal profit despite high volume raises questions about the overall effectiveness of their strategy. Additionally, their semi-bot trading style might expose them to algorithmic risks or missed opportunities for optimization.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
1269 wins in a row
Consistent
47/54 days

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,220,479$-20Vol: $31,239
🏛️ POLITICS#1,049,333$-3Vol: $82
🌤️ WEATHER#30,998$4Vol: $24
📈 ECONOMICS#134,674$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,351
Total Redeem
$27,728
Portfolio
$1,077
Predictions
1549
total markets
Trades
1650B / 0S
Daily Volume
$115
Account Age
69d
since Apr 29, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $253
Week
$-38
Vol: $809
Month
$-110
Vol: $24,377
All Time
$-19
Vol: $31,351

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
259W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$968
Win Rate
99%
1269W / 14L
Profit Factor
3.96x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $71 (6.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$10

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$-35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$-35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$-34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.366
Sortino
0.490
HHI
13
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.042
Kelly %
79.9%
Half-Kelly
39.9%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
0.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.7
Active
Markets / Day
24.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.8m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 903s — typical for humanSize CV 0.98 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness29 trades/day — suspiciously high25 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
1282 entries
<=2
1363 entries
<=5
1413 entries
<=10
1418 entries
<=20
1418 entries
<=50
1418 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47%

Other$1,121
London$4

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1412

Single bracket

<=1
1412 brackets
<=2
1412 brackets
<=3
1412 brackets
<=4
1412 brackets
<=5
1412 brackets
<=8
1412 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 2:09:14 AM1 trades$250 min
5/4/2026, 2:19:04 AM1 trades$250 min
5/4/2026, 10:14:08 AM1 trades$240 min
5/4/2026, 3:10:10 PM1 trades$250 min
5/4/2026, 3:39:14 PM3 trades$220 min
5/4/2026, 4:14:24 PM3 trades$250 min
5/5/2026, 11:14:32 AM4 trades$100 min
5/5/2026, 2:19:08 PM2 trades$250 min
5/6/2026, 6:34:06 PM1 trades$250 min
5/7/2026, 5:14:36 AM1 trades$350 min
5/10/2026, 10:54:05 PM3 trades$350 min
5/11/2026, 1:04:12 AM1 trades$340 min
5/11/2026, 10:39:37 AM2 trades$350 min
5/12/2026, 1:54:21 AM6 trades$350 min
5/14/2026, 7:14:03 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2026, 7:24:14 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2026, 7:29:25 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2026, 12:39:08 PM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2026, 12:44:09 PM2 trades$105 min
5/14/2026, 12:54:13 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-04
05-16
05-25
06-04
06-13
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event