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@Incomplete-Halfbrother

#425,07050

0xc03ff3bbadfcc16aa4dcea7ba84c771ae40d4e0c

779d· 55 markets · 145 tradesVol: $2,656 @hovsep1990282026-06-27T19:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 73%20/20
Profit Factor 1.30x6/15
Sharpe 0.2014/15
Sortino 1.58910/10
EV $+0.0211/10
HHI 7219/10
Profit Days 17%0/10
DD/Peak 83%0/10

Summary

Incomplete-Halfbrother is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 145 trades over 100 days, placing them at rank #425070 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their net profit stands at $15.98 from a total trading volume of $2,656. The trader has an average Smart Score of 50/100 and maintains a steady upward equity trend, indicating consistent, though modest, gains.

The trader's strategy favors a balanced approach, reflected by a 70.9% win rate and a profit factor of 1.33, suggesting moderate risk with disciplined trade selection. Incomplete-Halfbrother trades across 55 different markets but avoids weather-related markets entirely. Their low sell percentage of 4% and absence of automated bot trading imply a patient, manual style focused on holding positions rather than frequent flipping.

Incomplete-Halfbrother’s strengths include a solid win rate, positive equity growth, and a short max drawdown duration, which minimizes prolonged losses. However, their relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.20 and modest overall profit suggest limited risk-adjusted returns. The small portfolio value and rank indicate room for scaling up, but the consistent upward trend and badges earned highlight promising trading discipline on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+16
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

1
CRYPTO#192,126$16Vol: $2,656

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,656
Total Redeem
$762
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
139B / 6S
Daily Volume
$8
Account Age
779d
since May 14, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
39W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$16
Win Rate
71%
39W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (153.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.201
Sortino
1.589
HHI
721
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.5%
Top-5 markets
49%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — typical for humanSize CV 2.03 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern9/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.23 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA
<=1
23 entries
<=2
30 entries
<=5
52 entries
<=10
55 entries
<=20
55 entries
<=50
55 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)89.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.8%

Other$16

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
55

Single bracket

<=1
55 brackets
<=2
55 brackets
<=3
55 brackets
<=4
55 brackets
<=5
55 brackets
<=8
55 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/23/2026, 1:43:29 PM3 trades$32 min
3/23/2026, 1:51:47 PM10 trades$1010 min
3/30/2026, 8:30:46 AM4 trades$59 min
3/30/2026, 8:50:56 AM2 trades$24 min
4/27/2026, 2:21:48 PM1 trades$40 min
4/27/2026, 4:59:22 PM3 trades$129 min
4/27/2026, 5:13:04 PM2 trades$105 min
5/10/2026, 12:43:27 PM8 trades$811 min
5/10/2026, 4:04:47 PM1 trades$10 min
5/10/2026, 4:14:28 PM3 trades$30 min
5/10/2026, 4:23:24 PM4 trades$41 min
5/10/2026, 4:29:38 PM8 trades$89 min
5/10/2026, 4:44:25 PM9 trades$910 min
5/10/2026, 4:59:41 PM3 trades$35 min
5/10/2026, 5:13:18 PM1 trades$10 min
5/10/2026, 5:18:24 PM30 trades$3025 min
5/10/2026, 5:48:27 PM6 trades$61 min
5/16/2026, 10:48:20 AM4 trades$202 min
5/16/2026, 10:54:58 AM2 trades$74 min
5/16/2026, 11:19:03 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
03-30
04-27
05-10
05-16
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event