Polydata

@Incomplete-Halfbrother

#432,76950

0xc03ff3bbadfcc16aa4dcea7ba84c771ae40d4e0c

781d· 55 markets · 145 tradesVol: $2,656 @hovsep1990282026-07-03T08:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 73%20/20
Profit Factor 1.30x6/15
Sharpe 0.2014/15
Sortino 1.58910/10
EV $+0.0211/10
HHI 7219/10
Profit Days 17%0/10
DD/Peak 83%0/10

Summary

Incomplete-Halfbrother is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 145 trades across 55 markets over 100 days. With a net profit of $15.98 and a global PnL rank of #432,769, their overall financial impact is modest. Their smart score of 50 indicates an average level of trading effectiveness, while their portfolio value currently stands at zero, suggesting they may be closing positions frequently.

This trader favors a manual, low-risk approach, as evidenced by a high win rate of 70.9%, a profit factor of 1.33, and a very low sell percentage of 4%. Incomplete-Halfbrother appears to focus on sustained, small gains rather than large, volatile bets, supported by a positive equity trend and a Sharpe ratio of 0.20. Their lack of engagement in weather markets and zero bot score confirm a preference for human-driven decision-making and specific market niches.

Incomplete-Halfbrother’s strengths lie in consistent profitability and disciplined trade management, reflected in badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, their low Sharpe ratio and relatively small net profit indicate limited upside potential and exposure to modest market fluctuations. The short max drawdown duration suggests good risk control but may also reflect cautious position sizing. Overall, Incomplete-Halfbrother demonstrates steady but conservative trading on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+16
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

1
CRYPTO#193,441$16Vol: $2,656

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,656
Total Redeem
$762
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
139B / 6S
Daily Volume
$8
Account Age
781d
since May 14, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
39W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$16
Win Rate
71%
39W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (152.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.201
Sortino
1.589
HHI
721
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.5%
Top-5 markets
49%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — typical for humanSize CV 2.03 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern9/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.23 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA
<=1
23 entries
<=2
30 entries
<=5
52 entries
<=10
55 entries
<=20
55 entries
<=50
55 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)89.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.8%

Other$16

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
55

Single bracket

<=1
55 brackets
<=2
55 brackets
<=3
55 brackets
<=4
55 brackets
<=5
55 brackets
<=8
55 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/23/2026, 1:43:29 PM3 trades$32 min
3/23/2026, 1:51:47 PM10 trades$1010 min
3/30/2026, 8:30:46 AM4 trades$59 min
3/30/2026, 8:50:56 AM2 trades$24 min
4/27/2026, 2:21:48 PM1 trades$40 min
4/27/2026, 4:59:22 PM3 trades$129 min
4/27/2026, 5:13:04 PM2 trades$105 min
5/10/2026, 12:43:27 PM8 trades$811 min
5/10/2026, 4:04:47 PM1 trades$10 min
5/10/2026, 4:14:28 PM3 trades$30 min
5/10/2026, 4:23:24 PM4 trades$41 min
5/10/2026, 4:29:38 PM8 trades$89 min
5/10/2026, 4:44:25 PM9 trades$910 min
5/10/2026, 4:59:41 PM3 trades$35 min
5/10/2026, 5:13:18 PM1 trades$10 min
5/10/2026, 5:18:24 PM30 trades$3025 min
5/10/2026, 5:48:27 PM6 trades$61 min
5/16/2026, 10:48:20 AM4 trades$202 min
5/16/2026, 10:54:58 AM2 trades$74 min
5/16/2026, 11:19:03 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
03-30
04-27
05-10
05-16
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event