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@Inexperienced-Underneath

#73,39970

0xba825e33808b60258a07c0459ceee8f997bfdf47

264d· 92 markets · 256 tradesVol: $72,1502026-06-27T18:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 77%20/20
Profit Factor 1.70x11/15
Sharpe 0.1573/15
Sortino 0.1582/10
EV $+0.85610/10
HHI 57010/10
Profit Days 85%10/10
DD/Peak 45%5/10

Summary

Inexperienced-Underneath is a moderately active Polymarket trader ranked #73,399 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 429 days, they have completed 256 trades across 92 markets, generating a net profit of $1,090.50 from a total trading volume of $72,150. Their portfolio value currently stands at $1,236.34, reflecting stable equity growth. The trader holds a good Smart Score of 70/100, indicating solid trading skills despite a relatively low Sharpe Ratio of 0.16, which suggests modest risk-adjusted returns.

This trader favors a consistent, low-risk approach as evidenced by an 85.5% win rate and a profit factor of 2.10. Inexperienced-Underneath avoids weather-related markets entirely and maintains a low sell percentage of 22%, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping. Their trading style appears methodical and measured, with no extended drawdown periods, pointing to disciplined timing and risk management. The manual trading Bot Score of 15/100 confirms hands-on decision-making rather than algorithm-driven strategies.

Inexperienced-Underneath's key strengths include high consistency and profitability over a diverse set of markets, supported by badges like Sniper and Win Streak. However, the relatively low Sharpe Ratio and flat equity trend highlight potential limitations in scaling returns or adapting to volatile conditions. The stable but unspectacular performance suggests that while this trader manages risk well, there may be missed opportunities for higher gains on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+1,090
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Consistent
35/41 days

Categories

7
SPORTS#69,467$277Vol: $24,632
📈 ECONOMICS#620,598$-28Vol: $16,900
CRYPTO#40,663$524Vol: $13,703
🏛️ POLITICS#35,639$299Vol: $10,774
🎭 CULTURE#85,377$6Vol: $3,800
💰 FINANCE#16,368$113Vol: $1,980
💻 TECH#27,465$3Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,091
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,150
Total Redeem
$10,979
Portfolio
$1,236
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
200B / 56S
Daily Volume
$56
Account Age
264d
since Oct 27, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$12
Vol: $0
Week
$96
Vol: $19,318
Month
$178
Vol: $20,891
All Time
$1,091
Vol: $72,150

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
83%
49W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$1,013
Win Rate
86%
71W / 11L
Profit Factor
2.1x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-96

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,218 (104.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1,016
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$102
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$100
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$87
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$60
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$60
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?$58
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Oly$54
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$50
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$50

Top Losers

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$-595
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$-160
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meetin$-105
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9AM ET$-49
Games Total: O/U 3.5$-38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Pla$-33
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$-17
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-8
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.157
Sortino
0.159
HHI
570
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.856
Kelly %
66.5%
Half-Kelly
33.2%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
40%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 986s — typical for humanSize CV 1.69 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
61 entries
<=2
73 entries
<=5
83 entries
<=10
89 entries
<=20
90 entries
<=50
91 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.5%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)69.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.9%

Other$1,079
New York City$87
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
66

Single bracket

<=1
56 brackets
<=2
61 brackets
<=3
62 brackets
<=4
64 brackets
<=5
64 brackets
<=8
65 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/27/2025, 4:03:33 PM1 trades$9800 min
10/30/2025, 12:04:51 AM1 trades$9000 min
10/31/2025, 6:27:44 PM2 trades$325 min
11/2/2025, 2:12:43 PM3 trades$2984 min
11/2/2025, 2:29:37 PM4 trades$5959 min
11/2/2025, 2:50:39 PM1 trades$970 min
11/2/2025, 11:43:25 PM1 trades$1,0050 min
11/3/2025, 10:01:41 AM1 trades$340 min
11/3/2025, 6:04:15 PM1 trades$9400 min
11/3/2025, 9:26:15 PM1 trades$2800 min
11/5/2025, 9:22:05 AM1 trades$180 min
11/5/2025, 10:20:05 AM1 trades$720 min
11/5/2025, 3:25:57 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/6/2025, 11:03:21 AM2 trades$681 min
11/6/2025, 11:57:05 AM1 trades$180 min
11/6/2025, 8:22:59 PM1 trades$1,0800 min
11/6/2025, 8:54:41 PM3 trades$1,0953 min
11/7/2025, 9:41:41 AM1 trades$7100 min
11/7/2025, 10:47:37 AM1 trades$3880 min
11/7/2025, 11:29:49 AM5 trades$3946 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-10
01-24
02-12
03-31
05-27
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event