Polydata
Infantile-Acorn

@Infantile-Acorn

#3,73675

0x51f93522a37c5c2464890fabd10a0d0e092526f8

44d· 70 markets · 252 tradesVol: $245,7602026-06-08T16:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 49%9/20
Profit Factor 2.32x15/15
Sharpe 0.3116/15
Sortino 0.9389/10
EV $+0.46210/10
HHI 34010/10
Profit Days 51%5/10
DD/Peak 12%10/10

Summary

Infantile-Acorn is an active Polymarket trader ranked #3736 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit and loss of $39,792.41. Over 77 days, they executed 252 trades across 70 markets, generating a total volume of $245,760. Their Smart Score of 75/100 reflects a very good overall performance, supported by a profit factor of 2.32 and a win rate slightly above 51%. Despite their portfolio value currently being zero, Infantile-Acorn shows a consistent upward equity trend.

The trader prefers a moderate-risk approach, balancing a win rate just over half with a strong profit factor that suggests good trade management. Their trading style leans toward manual execution, given the low bot score of 5/100, and they maintain a relatively low sell percentage at 17%. Infantile-Acorn seems to avoid weather-related markets entirely and focuses on maintaining steady gains rather than high-risk volatility plays. Their maximum drawdown duration is zero days, indicating disciplined risk control and quick recovery from losses.

Infantile-Acorn’s strengths lie in consistent profitability, a solid win streak, and a high volume of trades across diverse markets, which points to adaptability on Polymarket. However, the modest Sharpe ratio of 0.31 suggests returns could be improved relative to volatility. Additionally, the zero portfolio value may indicate a temporary withdrawal from active positions, which could affect short-term momentum. Overall, Infantile-Acorn combines experience with effective risk management but may face challenges in scaling returns without increasing risk exposure.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+39,792
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$86,598
High Roller
$1,125/day
Cool Head
DD 12%

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,429$39,792Vol: $245,760

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$39,792
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$245,760
Total Redeem
$108,296
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
210B / 42S
Daily Volume
$1,125
Account Age
44d
since Apr 24, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
33W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$39,792
Win Rate
51%
36W / 33L
Profit Factor
2.32x
Avg Win
$1,952
Avg Loss
$-918

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,886 (67.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka$12,838
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$8,549
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$5,499
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?$5,014
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$4,634
Cavaliers vs. Knicks$4,292
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$3,861
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?$3,119
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges$2,958
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$2,902

Top Losers

Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27?$-3,780
Roland Garros WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Emiliana Arango$-3,359
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-3,039
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5$-2,180
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulp$-1,894
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$-1,765
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$-1,472
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-1,242
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic$-1,203
Will Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?$-1,045

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.311
Sortino
0.938
HHI
340
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.462
Kelly %
15.3%
Half-Kelly
7.6%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
30.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 296s — typical for humanSize CV 2.00 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern19/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.01 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
31 entries
<=2
44 entries
<=5
62 entries
<=10
66 entries
<=20
67 entries
<=50
68 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)67.6%
High (>55c)21%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 6.4%

Other$36,690
Paris$2,888
Milan$772
Chicago$485
Atlanta$18
Madrid$-852

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
67

Single bracket

<=1
65 brackets
<=2
66 brackets
<=3
67 brackets
<=4
67 brackets
<=5
67 brackets
<=8
67 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 7:19:32 AM1 trades$1,3420 min
4/25/2026, 7:31:26 AM1 trades$2370 min
4/25/2026, 12:31:40 PM2 trades$7801 min
4/26/2026, 9:11:48 AM1 trades$1,7070 min
4/27/2026, 7:41:56 AM1 trades$2080 min
4/27/2026, 11:57:22 AM1 trades$1800 min
4/27/2026, 3:25:04 PM1 trades$1680 min
5/1/2026, 5:07:52 PM1 trades$790 min
5/1/2026, 5:52:58 PM1 trades$300 min
5/1/2026, 6:20:32 PM1 trades$7350 min
5/1/2026, 11:01:24 PM1 trades$00 min
5/2/2026, 8:26:00 AM1 trades$3670 min
5/2/2026, 8:33:26 AM1 trades$1,0200 min
5/2/2026, 8:46:20 AM1 trades$1,0480 min
5/2/2026, 8:52:36 AM1 trades$3500 min
5/2/2026, 9:10:10 AM1 trades$1670 min
5/2/2026, 10:30:44 AM1 trades$1,0200 min
5/2/2026, 10:59:44 PM1 trades$1730 min
5/3/2026, 11:52:38 AM1 trades$2900 min
5/3/2026, 7:38:32 PM1 trades$690 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
05-02
05-07
05-12
05-17
05-22
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event