Polydata

@Instructive-County

#2,504,43099

0x426a6aea4bf2f1e855269d68cda18dcfd83751c1

172d· 600 markets · 895 tradesVol: $9,9442026-05-27T13:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 109.99x15/15
Sharpe 0.73314/15
Sortino 10632.65510/10
EV $+0.47910/10
HHI 11710/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Instructive-County is a highly active trader on Polymarket with 895 trades across 581 markets over 391 days. Despite a high volume of nearly $10,000, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$292.95 and ranks #2,504,430 on the global leaderboard. The portfolio value remains low at $26, suggesting limited capital retention or frequent withdrawals. The trader’s Smart Score of 99/100 indicates elite analytical capabilities, while a Sharpe ratio of 0.73 reflects moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trader’s style is marked by a strong preference for high-frequency, low-risk trades, demonstrated by a 98.1% win rate and an exceptionally high profit factor of 109.99. Instructive-County appears to favor a contrarian approach, supported by the Contrarian badge, and maintains a low sell percentage of 18%, indicating a tendency to hold positions rather than rapid flipping. The absence of weather market trades and a zero-day max drawdown duration point to careful risk management and consistent timing in market entry and exits.

Key strengths include remarkable consistency and the ability to maintain a long win streak, as indicated by multiple badges like Sniper and Win Streak. However, the negative overall PnL and flat equity trend highlight concerns about profitability sustainability. Additionally, the low portfolio value despite high trading activity suggests potential issues with capital allocation or market selection, which could limit long-term growth for Instructive-County on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
74 wins in a row
Consistent
70/70 days

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,564,658$-254Vol: $8,563
CRYPTO#1,248,625$-38Vol: $1,349

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-293
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,944
Total Redeem
$784
Portfolio
$26
Predictions
600
total markets
Trades
736B / 159S
Daily Volume
$7
Account Age
172d
since Dec 6, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $111
Week
$-0
Vol: $207
Month
$-125
Vol: $1,848
All Time
$-293
Vol: $9,944

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
242W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$744
Win Rate
98%
259W / 5L
Profit Factor
109.99x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $104 (14.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$55
Will United States win on 2026-03-31?$29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-04?$18
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-04-06?$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$15
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-11?$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?$10
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?$10

Top Losers

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$-1
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?$-0
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?$-0
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-26?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.733
Sortino
inf
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.479
Kelly %
96.7%
Half-Kelly
48.3%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
17.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 242s — typical for humanSize CV 2.41 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.61 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
473 entries
<=2
546 entries
<=5
581 entries
<=10
581 entries
<=20
581 entries
<=50
581 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.4%
Mid (20-55c)51.6%
High (>55c)34%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 48.6%

Other$662
Madrid$51
Milan$17
Paris$3
Miami$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
535

Single bracket

<=1
490 brackets
<=2
534 brackets
<=3
535 brackets
<=4
535 brackets
<=5
535 brackets
<=8
535 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/6/2025, 5:08:07 PM1 trades$80 min
12/6/2025, 5:30:29 PM2 trades$111 min
12/6/2025, 5:43:45 PM1 trades$10 min
12/6/2025, 7:16:47 PM2 trades$34 min
12/6/2025, 8:13:07 PM1 trades$40 min
12/7/2025, 3:18:37 PM1 trades$30 min
12/7/2025, 6:52:37 PM1 trades$10 min
12/10/2025, 6:12:03 AM1 trades$20 min
12/10/2025, 11:02:13 AM1 trades$20 min
12/10/2025, 9:42:10 PM1 trades$30 min
12/11/2025, 1:40:07 PM2 trades$22 min
12/12/2025, 7:14:47 PM1 trades$30 min
12/14/2025, 11:18:27 AM4 trades$46 min
12/14/2025, 1:26:45 PM1 trades$30 min
12/24/2025, 9:52:43 AM5 trades$63 min
12/27/2025, 5:49:59 PM2 trades$41 min
12/28/2025, 8:47:11 PM2 trades$31 min
12/30/2025, 10:35:15 PM2 trades$42 min
1/14/2026, 10:59:00 AM2 trades$21 min
1/14/2026, 12:47:32 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
02-17
02-28
03-20
04-09
04-28
05-23
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event