Polydata

@Intent-Difference

#50,75478

0x4d1221c98952afae2b0afa40aa72ab9e7bc1552b

100d· 738 markets · 14157 tradesVol: $254,0022026-07-15T07:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 63%17/20
Profit Factor 2.15x15/15
Sharpe 0.3106/15
Sortino 0.3243/10
EV $+1.15410/10
HHI 30610/10
Profit Days 78%10/10
DD/Peak 35%7/10

Summary

Intent-Difference is an active trader on Polymarket, holding the global PnL leaderboard rank of #50754. Over 55 days, they executed 14,157 trades across 251 markets, generating a net profit of $2,015.57 on a total volume of $254,002. Their smart score of 78/100 reflects very good trading performance, although their portfolio currently holds no open positions.

This trader exhibits a high-frequency strategy characterized by a low win rate of 8.4% but a substantial trading volume, indicating a contrarian and automated approach. Intent-Difference focuses on quick, short-term trades without selling positions, relying heavily on bot-driven execution. Their profit factor of 0.31 and Sharpe ratio of 0.31 suggest modest risk-adjusted returns, while their zero max drawdown duration points to effective risk containment.

Key strengths for Intent-Difference include disciplined bot trading and an upward equity trend, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, the low win rate and profit factor highlight potential concerns around sustainability and profitability. Traders following Intent-Difference on Polymarket should note the automated, high-volume style that drives gains but also carries inherent risk of frequent small losses.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+2,016
Contrarian
63% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Consistent
40/51 days

Categories

1
CRYPTO#20,012$2,016Vol: $254,002

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,016
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$254,002
Total Redeem
$18,493
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
738
total markets
Trades
14157B / 0S
Daily Volume
$777
Account Age
100d
since Apr 6, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
63%
250W / 144L events
Realized PnL
$25,979
Win Rate
8%
9W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$637
Avg Loss
$-187

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET$1,879
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET$1,515
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET$1,116
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7PM ET$1,041
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET$144
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET$25
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET$7
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET$5
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET$-1,792
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5PM ET$-1,535
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET$-1,444
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET$-1,390
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12AM ET$-994
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET$-945
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11PM ET$-916
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET$-843
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET$-542
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET$-502

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.310
Sortino
0.324
HHI
306
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.154
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
30.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
378.7
Very active
Markets / Day
6.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
81% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 3.96 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.36 — human randomness379 trades/day — automation394 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
56.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
33 entries
<=2
59 entries
<=5
98 entries
<=10
126 entries
<=20
154 entries
<=50
179 entries
>50
72 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.3%
Mid (20-55c)47.7%
High (>55c)30%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 7.2%

Other$-12,622

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
251

Single bracket

<=1
251 brackets
<=2
251 brackets
<=3
251 brackets
<=4
251 brackets
<=5
251 brackets
<=8
251 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 2:45:08 AM29 trades$603 min
4/25/2026, 2:53:46 AM88 trades$2126 min
4/26/2026, 2:49:38 AM60 trades$22811 min
4/26/2026, 11:23:16 PM1 trades$20 min
4/26/2026, 11:29:12 PM1 trades$10 min
4/29/2026, 5:54:34 AM2 trades$11 min
4/29/2026, 9:57:14 AM1 trades$2760 min
4/29/2026, 8:00:10 PM1 trades$10 min
4/30/2026, 2:00:14 AM1 trades$10 min
4/30/2026, 3:54:22 AM6 trades$5035 min
4/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM2 trades$1880 min
5/4/2026, 11:54:40 PM1 trades$10 min
5/5/2026, 5:53:14 AM7 trades$220 min
5/5/2026, 7:47:08 AM3 trades$110 min
5/5/2026, 7:54:24 AM1 trades$10 min
5/5/2026, 7:56:14 PM10 trades$21 min
5/5/2026, 10:45:42 PM17 trades$422 min
5/5/2026, 11:13:34 PM21 trades$383 min
5/6/2026, 3:32:14 AM4 trades$83 min
5/6/2026, 7:10:08 AM3 trades$33 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-15
04-23
05-06
05-14
05-22
05-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 56.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event