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@Irresponsible-Pupa

#2,42675

0xb8d14d0488bee8a3f1403d118ba876f2e6ee40c3

260d· 31885 markets · 19534 tradesVol: $7,969,8392026-06-27T05:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.01x0/15
Sharpe 1.02615/15
Sortino 2188504.68910/10
HHI 20910/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Irresponsible-Pupa is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2426 globally by net profit and holding a Smart Score of 75/100, indicating very good performance. Over 427 days, they executed 19,534 trades across 1,144 markets, generating a net profit of $69,150.46 on a total volume of nearly $8 million. Their portfolio value is stable at $3,892.39, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 1.03, reflecting reasonable risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Irresponsible-Pupa leans towards high-frequency, diversified market participation with a contrarian approach, as suggested by their badges and a win rate of 38.6%. They maintain a profit factor of 0.01, which is unusually low, indicating that losses may outweigh gains in individual trades despite overall profitability. The trader does not engage in selling positions actively and shows strong holding tendencies ("Diamond Hands"). Their activity does not focus on weather markets, and their bot score suggests a mixed automated and manual trading approach.

Irresponsible-Pupa’s strengths include consistent trading volume and a disciplined equity trend without significant drawdowns, enabling steady performance on Polymarket. However, the low profit factor and modest win rate highlight potential risks related to trade efficiency and profitability per trade. Their contrarian and sniper badges imply selective, tactical entries but may also expose them to volatility and occasional large losses. Overall, their profile suggests a well-rounded trader balancing risk and reward with some inherent execution challenges.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+69,150
Contrarian
60% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$452,886
Consistent
83/84 days
High Roller
$1,061/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

5
CRYPTO#518$68,802Vol: $7,339,825
SPORTS#28,934$1,321Vol: $493,305
💰 FINANCE#613,479$-106Vol: $122,871
🏛️ POLITICS#1,578,532$-868Vol: $13,800
🎭 CULTURE#154,774$1Vol: $38

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$69,150
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,969,839
Total Redeem
$23,706
Portfolio
$3,892
Predictions
31885
total markets
Trades
19533B / 1S
Daily Volume
$1,061
Account Age
260d
since Oct 16, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-27
Vol: $0
Month
$-160
Vol: $8,193
All Time
$69,150
Vol: $7,969,839

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
251W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$183,594
Win Rate
39%
294W / 468L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-897

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$24

Top Losers

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$-55,466
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien$-10,800
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina$-9,232
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$-8,672
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner$-8,593
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$-8,413
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz$-6,280
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek$-6,049
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud$-5,856
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-5,359

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.026
Sortino
inf
HHI
209
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.946
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
20.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
95.6
Very active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — typical for humanSize CV 2.84 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness96 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
233 entries
<=2
386 entries
<=5
691 entries
<=10
907 entries
<=20
968 entries
<=50
1014 entries
>50
130 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.2%
Mid (20-55c)52.4%
High (>55c)33.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.1%

Other$-417,331

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1136

Single bracket

<=1
1135 brackets
<=2
1135 brackets
<=3
1135 brackets
<=4
1135 brackets
<=5
1135 brackets
<=8
1135 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/11/2025, 5:15:58 AM45 trades$91812 min
11/11/2025, 6:16:01 AM34 trades$83414 min
11/14/2025, 5:46:10 PM15 trades$1,3643 min
11/14/2025, 5:54:52 PM8 trades$870 min
11/16/2025, 5:16:37 AM25 trades$35810 min
11/16/2025, 4:40:19 PM27 trades$6294 min
11/18/2025, 4:45:45 AM71 trades$1,30012 min
11/19/2025, 2:50:21 PM4 trades$541 min
11/19/2025, 2:56:47 PM5 trades$4352 min
11/19/2025, 6:04:13 PM27 trades$24710 min
11/19/2025, 7:00:21 PM25 trades$47612 min
11/20/2025, 1:23:09 PM82 trades$2,42919 min
11/20/2025, 4:15:35 PM81 trades$3,27314 min
11/20/2025, 4:45:31 PM28 trades$1,16011 min
11/20/2025, 7:02:47 PM4 trades$470 min
11/20/2025, 7:11:57 PM14 trades$4142 min
11/21/2025, 4:31:05 AM10 trades$3343 min
11/21/2025, 4:41:37 AM20 trades$1503 min
11/21/2025, 10:02:45 AM95 trades$1,77827 min
11/21/2025, 4:01:49 PM34 trades$87213 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
11-26
12-16
01-05
03-01
03-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event