Polydata
JAHODA

@JAHODA

#76391

0x0e5bd76779e74304d08e759072abf126d87da593

~206d· 216 markets · 27379 tradesVol: $72,759,216 @JAHODA_J2026-07-31 11:50:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (175/206)20/20
2.90x (win $732,168 / loss $252,636)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.25715/15
Sortino 20.04210/10
$+0.0109 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 286 (206 markets)10/10
51/60 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($82,662 / $533,239)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+307,214
DCA Master
Avg 121.0 entries/market
Whale
$44,082,559 invested
Consistent
51/60 profitable days
High Roller
$171,527/day
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#36$163,425Vol: $33,874,999
🏛️ POLITICS#16,136$1,180Vol: $21,669,228
🎭 CULTURE#449$17,302Vol: $5,163,838
CRYPTO#806$49,241Vol: $4,187,921
💻 TECH#747$2,310Vol: $3,269,604
💰 FINANCE#286$18,458Vol: $3,029,306
SPORTS#11,504$3,910Vol: $1,179,247
📢 MENTIONS#1,355$916Vol: $2,791

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$262,707
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,759,216
Total Redeem
$1,726,729
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
216
total markets
Trades
17665B / 9714S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~206d

Periods

#2
Week
$-19,293
Vol: $971,088
Month
$-60,458
Vol: $4,978,516
All Time
$262,707
Vol: $72,759,216

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
85%
175W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$307,214
Win Rate
85%
175W / 31L
Profit Factor
2.9x
Avg Win
$4,184
Avg Loss
$-8,150

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $291,950 (0.9503147655085581% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$155,871
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$73,059
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$63,021
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$58,729
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$31,766
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$30,015
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$19,993
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$17,672
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$17,361
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$17,098

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-62,150
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-55,515
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-53,707
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-27,490
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-24,288
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-10,380
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$-5,019
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-3,783
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-3,178

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.377
Sortino
0.426
HHI
213
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
50.9%
Half-Kelly
25.5%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
22%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
106.5
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.9m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 6.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock107 trades/day — automation0.8 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
121
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)93.6%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 9:02:16 AM73 trades$799,20045 min
4/30/2026, 8:15:06 PM43 trades$788,4041 min
1/27/2026, 4:58:29 PM2 trades$744,7504 min
12/21/2025, 6:04:59 PM1 trades$723,0360 min
6/17/2026, 9:17:55 PM11 trades$706,1123 min
12/21/2025, 7:40:46 PM3 trades$698,6000 min
4/9/2026, 9:32:51 AM35 trades$698,60013 min
1/30/2026, 12:27:56 PM160 trades$687,67629 min
1/28/2026, 7:05:52 PM199 trades$632,85995 min
3/4/2026, 4:27:53 PM74 trades$607,76420 min
5/4/2026, 5:24:46 PM1 trades$599,4000 min
6/2/2026, 7:12:22 AM22 trades$597,3034 min
1/1/2026, 7:42:13 PM8 trades$560,3617 min
12/5/2025, 3:36:43 PM81 trades$554,16528 min
4/28/2026, 8:10:48 PM28 trades$546,4694 min
3/11/2026, 1:34:55 PM11 trades$519,54214 min
12/10/2025, 7:00:10 PM14 trades$509,2330 min
1/4/2026, 12:56:01 AM1 trades$500,9860 min
4/1/2026, 4:44:07 AM13 trades$500,1455 min
1/26/2026, 5:56:31 PM50 trades$495,00422 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2025-10-31 00:00:00
2025-11-18 00:00:00
2025-11-30 00:00:00
2026-01-01 05:00:00
2026-04-21 00:00:00
2026-06-15 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 121/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M2.5 / H93.6