Polydata

@Jaded-Mastoid

#2,92865

0x87531c465a5a729850e1e2c4fd4af3dcb87d85ad

584d· 3347 markets · 3062 tradesVol: $7,520,8832026-06-12T16:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 47%9/20
Profit Factor 1.75x12/15
Sharpe 0.2946/15
Sortino 0.4354/10
EV $+0.71910/10
HHI 2610/10
Profit Days 76%10/10
DD/Peak 48%4/10

Summary

Jaded-Mastoid is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, holding the global PnL rank of #2928. Over 552 days, they have executed 3,062 trades across 562 markets, generating a net PnL of $52,466.11 on a total volume exceeding $7.5 million. Their portfolio value remains stable at around $14,800, supported by a strong win rate of 99.6% and a profit factor above 27,000, reflecting consistent profitability.

The trading style of Jaded-Mastoid is characterized by a high-frequency, low-risk approach with a focus on dollar-cost averaging, as indicated by their top badges. They avoid weather markets entirely and maintain a low sell percentage of 7%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than quick flips. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.29 points to modest risk-adjusted returns, and the flat equity trend implies careful capital preservation without aggressive growth attempts. The bot score of 35/100 suggests trades are likely human-driven but executed with speed and precision.

Jaded-Mastoid’s strengths lie in their exceptional win rate and disciplined risk management, minimizing drawdown duration to zero days. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and flat portfolio trend may indicate limited upside potential or cautious market exposure. While their consistent performance on Polymarket is notable, reliance on stable conditions and minimal position turnover could expose them to missed opportunities in more volatile environments.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+52,466
Diamond Hands
7% sell
DCA Master
avg 5.1 entries/market
Win Streak
237 wins in a row
Whale
$623,285
Consistent
143/188 days
High Roller
$1,129/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#942$56,752Vol: $7,514,987
🏛️ POLITICS#1,586,400$-4,286Vol: $5,896

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$52,466
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,520,883
Total Redeem
$546,687
Portfolio
$14,800
Predictions
3347
total markets
Trades
2843B / 219S
Daily Volume
$1,129
Account Age
584d
since Nov 5, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$2,612
Vol: $12,115
Week
$6,767
Vol: $164,619
Month
$22,277
Vol: $332,115
All Time
$52,466
Vol: $7,520,883

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
247W / 209L events
Realized PnL
$536,711
Win Rate
100%
263W / 1L
Profit Factor
27550.15x
Avg Win
$978
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,840 (5.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5$6,605
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5$5,216
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)$3,019
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5$2,962
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$2,838
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$2,750
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5$2,621
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$2,415
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)$2,401
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5$2,401

Top Losers

Power Slap 20: Brandon Wilson vs. Brice Jones (Fight 3)$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.294
Sortino
0.435
HHI
26
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.719
Kelly %
99.6%
Half-Kelly
49.8%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.6m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — typical for humanSize CV 1.72 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.06 — human randomness14 trades/day — very active547 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.1
Active DCA
<=1
262 entries
<=2
349 entries
<=5
443 entries
<=10
500 entries
<=20
540 entries
<=50
553 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)53.5%
High (>55c)44.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.7%

Other$154,808
Seattle$20,605
Chicago$19,753
Atlanta$18,754
Los Angeles$14,067
San Francisco$8,342
Miami$7,798
Houston$7,284
Toronto$5,815

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
373

Single bracket

<=1
233 brackets
<=2
334 brackets
<=3
365 brackets
<=4
371 brackets
<=5
373 brackets
<=8
373 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/12/2025, 6:11:09 AM1 trades$200 min
12/10/2025, 1:54:30 PM1 trades$10 min
3/5/2026, 12:11:57 AM2 trades$7370 min
3/11/2026, 5:23:17 AM2 trades$250 min
3/11/2026, 12:44:29 PM1 trades$00 min
3/11/2026, 12:49:41 PM1 trades$150 min
3/12/2026, 12:08:05 AM1 trades$600 min
3/12/2026, 8:00:49 AM1 trades$1670 min
3/14/2026, 12:55:25 AM2 trades$230 min
3/14/2026, 4:57:25 AM1 trades$20 min
3/15/2026, 3:51:49 AM1 trades$10 min
3/18/2026, 9:38:51 PM1 trades$600 min
3/18/2026, 9:45:11 PM1 trades$20 min
3/18/2026, 10:21:43 PM1 trades$00 min
3/18/2026, 11:49:49 PM2 trades$34 min
3/19/2026, 5:37:27 AM1 trades$20 min
3/20/2026, 7:03:33 PM1 trades$1500 min
3/20/2026, 9:04:01 PM2 trades$6081 min
3/21/2026, 4:08:05 PM1 trades$300 min
3/21/2026, 4:27:41 PM4 trades$32 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
08-30
10-30
01-15
04-11
05-23
06-12
11-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event