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@Jaunty-Sweatshirt

#2,896,99340

0x3c7851a6ad34b0c09442b55911c5b13881ae8ebf

180d· 2430 markets · 1999 tradesVol: $577,8162026-06-27T10:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.81x0/15
HHI 1710/10
Profit Days 83%10/10
DD/Peak 3287%0/10

Summary

Jaunty-Sweatshirt is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 1,999 trades across 1,121 markets over 142 days. Despite a high win rate of 91.8%, their net PnL stands at a significant loss of $4,965.98, placing them at rank #2,896,993 on the global leaderboard. Their overall Smart Score is below average at 40/100, reflecting challenges in converting wins into profits.

This trader tends to engage in a high volume of trades with a focus on consistency, as indicated by their badges like "Sniper" and "Consistent." Jaunty-Sweatshirt exhibits a low sell percentage of 9%, suggesting a tendency to hold positions rather than exit early. Their Sharpe ratio is negative (-0.06), signaling poor risk-adjusted returns, and a profit factor below 1 (0.81) indicates losses outweigh gains despite frequent wins. The zero percent weather market involvement shows a preference for other categories.

Jaunty-Sweatshirt’s strengths lie in their disciplined trading approach and high win rate, supported by an upward equity trend. However, the negative net PnL and poor profit factor highlight inefficiencies in trade sizing or market selection. Their low Bot Score suggests manual trading with potential timing or execution issues. Without improvements, these risks may continue to limit their profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Diamond Hands
9% sell
Win Streak
142 wins in a row
Whale
$189,703
Consistent
54/65 days
High Roller
$1,336/day

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,601,795$-4,964Vol: $576,648
💰 FINANCE#508,094$-3Vol: $933
SPORTS#382,623$2Vol: $210
🎭 CULTURE#481,613$-1Vol: $20
📢 MENTIONS#67,004$-0Vol: $4
🏛️ POLITICS#581,497$-0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,966
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$577,816
Total Redeem
$128,496
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2430
total markets
Trades
1813B / 186S
Daily Volume
$1,336
Account Age
180d
since Jan 18, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $50
Month
$-133
Vol: $1,690
All Time
$-4,966
Vol: $577,816

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
250W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$18,189
Win Rate
92%
897W / 80L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-291

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$360
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$225
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$222
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$202
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$194
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$185
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$175
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$169
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$165
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$157

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$-998
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$-968
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$-872
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-847
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-812
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$-811
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$-792
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$-621
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$-585
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$-581

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.065
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
35.5%
Half-Kelly
17.8%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.8
Active
Markets / Day
8.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.9m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 268s — typical for humanSize CV 1.22 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
753 entries
<=2
989 entries
<=5
1096 entries
<=10
1116 entries
<=20
1121 entries
<=50
1121 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.3%
High (>55c)86.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.4%

Other$-4,425

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1121

Single bracket

<=1
1121 brackets
<=2
1121 brackets
<=3
1121 brackets
<=4
1121 brackets
<=5
1121 brackets
<=8
1121 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/6/2026, 12:40:23 PM3 trades$3765 min
2/6/2026, 8:16:53 PM1 trades$50 min
2/6/2026, 8:23:29 PM5 trades$2287 min
2/6/2026, 10:52:13 PM5 trades$4981 min
2/6/2026, 10:59:53 PM1 trades$5840 min
2/7/2026, 5:49:13 AM5 trades$2584 min
2/7/2026, 6:00:07 AM1 trades$3260 min
2/7/2026, 7:09:35 AM2 trades$8195 min
2/7/2026, 12:33:15 PM5 trades$42711 min
2/7/2026, 7:51:07 PM3 trades$1312 min
2/8/2026, 5:48:05 AM1 trades$200 min
2/8/2026, 5:56:47 AM3 trades$3903 min
2/8/2026, 10:16:15 AM7 trades$1277 min
2/8/2026, 10:28:19 AM2 trades$21 min
2/9/2026, 2:30:43 AM11 trades$44710 min
2/9/2026, 3:03:33 AM4 trades$4725 min
2/9/2026, 9:50:09 AM11 trades$4639 min
2/9/2026, 9:21:41 PM1 trades$1620 min
2/9/2026, 9:30:11 PM1 trades$2290 min
2/10/2026, 6:52:47 AM5 trades$1,0003 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
03-21
04-06
04-19
04-29
05-10
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event