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@John

#1,731,52617

0x0bf11e04d79f0ae83b2ac981b60f8c88f1ba4b29

1703d· 20 markets · 21 tradesVol: $412026-06-28T16:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 43%6/20
Profit Factor 0.30x0/15
HHI 52210/10
Profit Days 33%1/10
DD/Peak 13511%0/10

Summary

John is a low-activity trader on Polymarket, ranked #1,731,526 globally with a net PnL of -$9.11 after 21 trades spanning 20 markets. Despite being active over 1507 days, John’s total volume is modest at $41, and his portfolio value has declined to $6.72. His Smart Score of 17/100 indicates a beginner level, and his performance metrics reflect ongoing challenges, including a Sharpe ratio of -0.63 and a profit factor of 0.12.

John’s trading style appears cautious but lacks effectiveness, with no exposure to weather markets and a 0% sell percentage, suggesting a buy-and-hold approach reinforced by his Diamond Hands badge. His win rate of 33.3% points to frequent losses, and his short maximum drawdown duration of zero days could imply quick exits or limited risk-taking per trade. John does not show signs of algorithmic trading, as indicated by a low bot score and likely human fast interface usage.

The strengths of John’s approach include persistence and a long-term presence on Polymarket, but his declining equity trend and negative performance metrics highlight significant risks. His beginner status and low Smart Score suggest that improving strategy and market selection could be crucial for better outcomes, while current patterns expose him to continued portfolio erosion.

Badges

1
Diamond Hands
0% sell

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,166,077$-6Vol: $21
CRYPTO#904,711$-2Vol: $9
SPORTS#1,007,815$-2Vol: $9
🎭 CULTURE#163,067$1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41
Total Redeem
$6
Portfolio
$7
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
21B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
1703d
since Nov 9, 2021

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-9
Vol: $41

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
43%
9W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-8
Win Rate
33%
4W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Top Winners

India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?$0
Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$0
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$0
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$0

Top Losers

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-2
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New Yor$-1
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 35% and 40% of the vote in the Sout$-1
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Mar 21?$-1
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 $-1
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$-1
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.630
Sortino
-1.294
HHI
522
Moderate
EV per $1
$-1.139
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
28.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
4/24
Normal
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.00
Very consistent
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 450s — typical for humanSize CV 0.00 — templated orders0% at night — normal sleep pattern4/24 hours — normal hours

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
19 entries
<=2
20 entries
<=5
20 entries
<=10
20 entries
<=20
20 entries
<=50
20 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)71.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 88.9%

Atlanta$0
Toronto$0
Milan$-1
New York City$-1
Other$-6

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
20

Single bracket

<=1
20 brackets
<=2
20 brackets
<=3
20 brackets
<=4
20 brackets
<=5
20 brackets
<=8
20 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/29/2024, 10:44:49 AM1 trades$10 min
11/29/2024, 10:54:20 AM1 trades$10 min
3/20/2025, 6:46:29 PM1 trades$10 min
5/10/2025, 6:50:28 PM1 trades$10 min
5/10/2025, 6:55:36 PM4 trades$411 min
5/11/2025, 10:34:28 AM1 trades$10 min
5/11/2025, 10:41:58 AM1 trades$10 min
5/11/2025, 10:48:16 AM1 trades$10 min
5/11/2025, 10:59:40 AM1 trades$10 min
5/11/2025, 11:16:48 AM1 trades$10 min
5/29/2025, 10:54:15 AM1 trades$10 min
5/29/2025, 11:05:49 AM1 trades$10 min
5/29/2025, 11:17:25 AM1 trades$10 min
6/14/2025, 10:06:26 AM1 trades$10 min
7/5/2025, 10:55:49 AM1 trades$10 min
7/19/2025, 10:32:04 AM1 trades$10 min
7/19/2025, 10:37:44 AM2 trades$24 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
03-21
05-16
05-28
06-24
10-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event