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@Joyous-Hectare

#82193

0xa9b44dca52ed35e59ac2a6f49d1203b8155464ed

788d· 3720 markets · 26767 tradesVol: $80,927,6342026-06-26T23:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 48.47x15/15
Sharpe 0.4228/15
Sortino 26540496.30110/10
EV $+24.71610/10
HHI 13810/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Joyous-Hectare is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking #821 globally by net profit and holding an elite Smart Score of 93/100. Over 877 days, they executed 26,767 trades across 235 markets, generating a net PnL of approximately $227,000 with a total volume exceeding $80 million. Their portfolio value remains stable around $88,000, reflecting consistent engagement and moderate capital allocation.

The trading style of Joyous-Hectare reveals a preference for a diverse set of markets, although they avoid weather-related markets entirely. With a relatively low win rate of 23.2% but a high volume of trades, their approach seems high-frequency and possibly contrarian, as indicated by their badges. The sell percentage at 30% suggests selective profit-taking, and the flat equity trend alongside a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.42 points to cautious risk management with limited volatility exposure.

Joyous-Hectare’s key strengths lie in their elite scoring and sustained activity, combined with a low maximum drawdown duration, indicating effective loss control. However, the low profit factor of 0.10 and modest Sharpe ratio suggest limited profitability per trade and potential challenges in scaling gains. The combination of a fast interface score and human-like behavior implies disciplined manual trading rather than automated strategies. Overall, this trader balances steady engagement with a risk-aware and contrarian methodology on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+226,945
Lottery Player
57% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
62% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Whale
$7,150,219
Consistent
106/107 days
High Roller
$8,153/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#343$146,271Vol: $47,351,539
SPORTS#9,150$4,384Vol: $13,737,221
🎭 CULTURE#253$30,638Vol: $6,766,986
CRYPTO#2,821$15,782Vol: $4,336,668
💰 FINANCE#4,368$897Vol: $2,348,178
💻 TECH#338$5,152Vol: $1,793,194
📈 ECONOMICS#631$8,602Vol: $1,776,643
📢 MENTIONS#422$3,971Vol: $1,419,432
🌤️ WEATHER#4,766$177Vol: $177,732

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$226,945
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$80,927,634
Total Redeem
$905,874
Portfolio
$88,025
Predictions
3720
total markets
Trades
18655B / 8112S
Daily Volume
$8,153
Account Age
788d
since May 20, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $0
Week
$25
Vol: $0
Month
$-14
Vol: $0
All Time
$226,945
Vol: $80,927,634

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
216W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$2,866,708
Win Rate
23%
51W / 169L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$9,613
Avg Loss
$-28,738

Top Winners

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market $59,037
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$48,840
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by Februa$43,049
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$42,184
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$38,796
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$37,963
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$34,909
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at mark$31,422
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$24,893
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$22,877

Top Losers

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-258,630
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$-219,257
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-218,861
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$-181,933
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-169,134
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-153,083
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-114,117
Will there be a US Government shutdown? $-113,656
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$-107,219
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-95,706

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.422
Sortino
inf
HHI
138
Diversified
EV per $1
$24.716
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.6m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — typical for humanSize CV 3.68 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.89 — human randomness41 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
81.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
10 entries
<=2
24 entries
<=5
36 entries
<=10
56 entries
<=20
83 entries
<=50
147 entries
>50
83 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.4%
Mid (20-55c)6.8%
High (>55c)35.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.8%

Milan$2,359
Seattle$0
Atlanta$-125
Russia$-3,918
New York City$-483,632
Other$-3,881,118

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
189

Single bracket

<=1
161 brackets
<=2
178 brackets
<=3
185 brackets
<=4
187 brackets
<=5
188 brackets
<=8
189 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/15/2024, 1:47:54 PM1 trades$1,0820 min
6/15/2024, 2:37:10 PM1 trades$3820 min
6/15/2024, 4:10:01 PM1 trades$1140 min
6/16/2024, 11:15:46 PM1 trades$4670 min
6/18/2024, 12:55:52 AM1 trades$1,0920 min
6/19/2024, 1:37:39 AM1 trades$9600 min
6/19/2024, 2:42:32 PM1 trades$50 min
6/19/2024, 6:41:25 PM1 trades$120 min
6/20/2024, 6:02:43 PM1 trades$1,0050 min
6/21/2024, 6:46:11 PM1 trades$1,0200 min
6/22/2024, 2:04:11 AM1 trades$140 min
6/22/2024, 7:06:02 AM1 trades$290 min
6/25/2024, 4:24:08 PM1 trades$310 min
6/27/2024, 9:41:26 PM1 trades$1,0420 min
6/28/2024, 6:33:27 AM1 trades$00 min
7/4/2024, 8:22:18 PM1 trades$160 min
7/4/2024, 8:32:40 PM1 trades$80 min
7/8/2024, 12:25:33 AM1 trades$1680 min
7/8/2024, 1:06:39 AM1 trades$1750 min
7/8/2024, 7:13:50 AM1 trades$3550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-24
01-26
05-09
09-02
11-16
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 81.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event