Polydata

@Jubilant-Remark

#2,711,72146

0x5e10c472aa76cf2afff09949234eb2ec8ddf1186

355d· 247 markets · 2023 tradesVol: $356,968 @NftChoup2026-06-17T18:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 64%17/20
Profit Factor 1.02x3/15
Sharpe 0.0070/15
Sortino 0.0070/10
EV $+0.48010/10
HHI 28410/10
Profit Days 53%6/10
DD/Peak 103%0/10

Summary

Jubilant-Remark is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 2,023 trades spread across 245 markets over 537 days. Despite a substantial total volume of $356,968, their net profit and loss currently stands at negative $724.13, placing them at rank #2,711,721 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is relatively low at $184.24, accompanied by an average Smart Score of 46 out of 100.

The trader demonstrates a preference for a broad range of markets with a slight focus on weather-related questions, which make up 6% of their activity. Jubilant-Remark’s win rate is 58.5% with a profit factor of 1.42, indicating moderate profitability per winning trade. Their Sharpe ratio is close to zero, reflecting minimal risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of prolonged drawdowns suggests a pattern of quick recovery. The sell percentage is 39%, implying a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions. Manual trading is confirmed by a low Bot Score of 15.

Strengths for Jubilant-Remark include consistent win streaks and a sniper-like precision in trade entries, as indicated by their badges. However, the downward equity trend and negative net PnL highlight challenges in maintaining long-term profitability. The low Sharpe ratio and portfolio value suggest limited capital growth, while the broad market exposure might expose them to varied and unoptimized risks.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 64%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$87,142

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,572,845$-977Vol: $169,120
SPORTS#1,689,976$-2,124Vol: $87,051
CRYPTO#15,826$2,645Vol: $70,641
💻 TECH#234,364$-174Vol: $7,133
📈 ECONOMICS#603,620$-18Vol: $6,962
💰 FINANCE#15,227$126Vol: $5,709
🎭 CULTURE#42,156$26Vol: $4,202
🌤️ WEATHER#274,942$-237Vol: $3,963
📢 MENTIONS#20,346$8Vol: $2,187

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-724
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$356,968
Total Redeem
$2,900
Portfolio
$184
Predictions
247
total markets
Trades
1225B / 798S
Daily Volume
$162
Account Age
355d
since Jun 27, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $529
Week
$47
Vol: $16,884
Month
$-863
Vol: $33,496
All Time
$-724
Vol: $356,968

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
109W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$365
Win Rate
58%
138W / 89L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$82
Avg Loss
$-90

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,362 (70.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$842
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$841
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$679
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$643
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31?$590
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?$523
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$425
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$404
US government shutdown Saturday?$390
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$363

Top Losers

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?$-704
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$-635
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$-594
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5$-520
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5$-506
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?$-487
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5$-466
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5$-368
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$-231
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?$-212

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.007
Sortino
0.007
HHI
284
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.480
Kelly %
8.6%
Half-Kelly
4.3%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
29.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 340s — typical for humanSize CV 2.39 — diverse, typical for human9% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5
Moderate DCA
<=1
107 entries
<=2
151 entries
<=5
195 entries
<=10
216 entries
<=20
236 entries
<=50
242 entries
>50
3 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)28.7%
High (>55c)58.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38.8%

Other$3,702
London$188
Sao Paulo$129
New York City$128
Buenos Aires$-0
Madrid$-7
Istanbul$-249
Paris$-529

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
184

Single bracket

<=1
147 brackets
<=2
177 brackets
<=3
178 brackets
<=4
180 brackets
<=5
182 brackets
<=8
183 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/27/2025, 6:58:54 AM1 trades$10 min
10/23/2025, 6:40:49 PM1 trades$950 min
10/24/2025, 9:29:11 AM2 trades$1463 min
10/26/2025, 11:29:09 PM1 trades$4920 min
10/27/2025, 3:14:39 PM1 trades$6540 min
10/27/2025, 10:42:39 PM1 trades$6540 min
10/28/2025, 3:15:31 PM1 trades$4980 min
10/30/2025, 8:50:03 AM1 trades$1,4720 min
10/30/2025, 10:25:35 AM1 trades$1,4720 min
10/30/2025, 10:31:49 AM1 trades$1,4370 min
10/30/2025, 10:50:27 AM1 trades$1,4370 min
10/30/2025, 11:08:25 AM1 trades$1,5650 min
10/30/2025, 11:22:49 AM1 trades$1,5650 min
10/30/2025, 11:30:13 AM1 trades$1,8670 min
10/30/2025, 11:35:27 AM1 trades$4340 min
10/30/2025, 11:55:09 AM1 trades$1,4330 min
10/30/2025, 12:01:17 PM1 trades$2,0320 min
10/30/2025, 12:13:53 PM1 trades$2,0320 min
10/30/2025, 12:38:29 PM3 trades$4,2434 min
10/30/2025, 12:57:31 PM1 trades$2,3140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-20
03-10
04-15
05-03
06-04
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event