Polydata

@Juicy-Veal

#3,064,75619

0xe0f01e5ce19e71138a1fc77d3b466f50b7f3bad3

134d· 18 markets · 87 tradesVol: $1,768,2332026-07-29T11:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 44%7/20
Profit Factor 0.51x0/15
HHI 12756/10
Profit Days 55%6/10
DD/Peak 617%0/10

Summary

Juicy-Veal is an active trader on Polymarket with 87 trades executed across 18 different markets over 37 days. Despite a significant total volume of $1.77 million, the trader currently ranks #3,064,756 globally with a net PnL of approximately negative $315,652. Their portfolio value stands at zero, reflecting realized losses, and their Smart Score indicates a beginner level of proficiency.

The trader appears to engage manually rather than using bots, focusing across a range of markets without a specific preference for weather-related questions. Juicy-Veal’s win rate is 44.4%, indicating less than half of trades are profitable, and the profit factor of 0.51 suggests losses outweigh gains. Their trading style may involve high risk, as indicated by a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.34) and a lack of any selling activity, which might imply holding positions rather than exiting early.

Juicy-Veal’s strengths include a high trading volume and active engagement, which could provide valuable experience for future improvement. However, the substantial losses, low Smart Score, and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight potential concerns about risk management and market timing. The trader’s “Diamond Hands” badge suggests a tendency to hold positions, which might contribute to prolonged exposure to unfavorable outcomes.

Badges

3
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Whale
$963,171
High Roller
$26,032/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,880,419$-315,652Vol: $1,768,233

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-315,652
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,768,233
Total Redeem
$658,053
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
87B / 0S
Daily Volume
$26,032
Account Age
134d
since Mar 17, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
8W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-315,652
Win Rate
44%
8W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$39,645
Avg Loss
$-62,228

Top Winners

Spread: Magic (-10.5)$162,226
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5$36,012
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5$34,688
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5$32,299
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5$30,946
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)$20,521
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5$464
76ers vs. Heat$3

Top Losers

Pistons vs. Hornets$-200,896
Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)$-142,798
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles$-107,750
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5$-69,592
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5$-50,402
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5$-28,789
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5$-14,535
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$-7,510
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)$-3
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.335
Sortino
-0.331
HHI
1275
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.317
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.9%
Top-5 markets
72.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.0m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — typical for humanSize CV 2.95 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?11/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.02 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
6 entries
<=2
10 entries
<=5
12 entries
<=10
16 entries
<=20
17 entries
<=50
18 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)72.4%
High (>55c)27.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 22.2%

Madrid$30,946
Paris$464
Chicago$-50,402
Other$-286,126

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
17

Single bracket

<=1
16 brackets
<=2
17 brackets
<=3
17 brackets
<=4
17 brackets
<=5
17 brackets
<=8
17 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/30/2026, 7:53:51 PM1 trades$20 min
3/31/2026, 12:43:03 AM1 trades$30 min
4/8/2026, 4:20:39 PM1 trades$67,5840 min
4/8/2026, 4:27:01 PM1 trades$1,9260 min
4/8/2026, 4:34:09 PM2 trades$830 min
4/8/2026, 5:25:33 PM6 trades$39,4764 min
4/8/2026, 6:00:53 PM2 trades$49,3882 min
4/8/2026, 6:07:41 PM5 trades$1,0142 min
4/8/2026, 10:26:45 PM1 trades$140,4350 min
4/8/2026, 10:53:57 PM7 trades$38,1656 min
4/9/2026, 12:34:15 AM3 trades$142,7980 min
4/10/2026, 11:06:19 PM1 trades$200,8960 min
4/10/2026, 11:59:47 PM1 trades$18,3740 min
4/14/2026, 10:11:06 PM2 trades$107,7501 min
4/23/2026, 1:11:28 AM1 trades$39,3930 min
4/29/2026, 12:01:48 AM8 trades$14,5351 min
5/5/2026, 1:13:58 AM2 trades$28,7890 min
5/5/2026, 3:57:06 PM1 trades$29,4000 min
5/5/2026, 5:58:06 PM2 trades$1,5113 min
5/5/2026, 6:46:06 PM9 trades$2,5365 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
03-31
04-08
04-09
04-10
04-11
04-21
04-23
04-29
05-05
05-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event