Polydata

@Kalkay11

#20,65613

0x6a1b1ad80fcf64d2d3c1fab082c558b120befbbd

~147d· 551 markets · 14738 tradesVol: $5,009,1552026-07-31 19:29:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (146/541)0/20
0.99x (win $9,627 / loss $9,702)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0500/15
Sortino -0.1070/10
$-0.0024 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 104 (541 markets)10/10
44/129 profitable days (34%)1/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($4,376 / $3,652)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+6,456
Lottery Player
86% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#1,261$6,371Vol: $4,901,819
🏛️ POLITICS#62,834$104Vol: $82,986
SPORTS#1,397,922$-14Vol: $22,800
💰 FINANCE#547,646$-5Vol: $1,550

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,455
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,009,155
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
551
total markets
Trades
9382B / 5356S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $30,247
Week
$172
Vol: $225,453
Month
$1,657
Vol: $1,055,719
All Time
$6,455
Vol: $5,009,155

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
27%
146W / 395L events
Realized PnL
$6,456
Win Rate
27%
146W / 395L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,131 (0.48506201505958313% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1,229
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$964
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$939
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$915
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$675
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$286
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$240
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$217
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$216
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$195

Top Losers

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-288
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-242
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$-229
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-227
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-224
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-177
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-170
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-158
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-151
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-149

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.003
Sortino
-0.006
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
92.1
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.3m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 149s — normal for humanCV 6.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock92 trades/day — mass trading3.4 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.01
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)86.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)12.9%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 9:22:35 PM4 trades$5,0000 min
4/6/2026, 4:05:55 PM19 trades$4,80812 min
5/11/2026, 2:32:03 AM22 trades$4,1150 min
6/4/2026, 4:13:51 PM8 trades$4,0000 min
5/11/2026, 3:15:48 PM12 trades$3,8290 min
4/9/2026, 2:32:45 PM5 trades$3,3893 min
7/28/2026, 3:20:47 PM6 trades$3,3661 min
5/13/2026, 4:33:26 AM18 trades$3,0675 min
6/28/2026, 3:55:47 PM15 trades$3,0040 min
4/2/2026, 12:53:27 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
7/12/2026, 2:49:07 PM4 trades$2,5000 min
4/5/2026, 10:43:39 PM25 trades$2,1905 min
4/23/2026, 2:18:00 PM4 trades$2,0705 min
7/12/2026, 12:23:17 PM17 trades$2,0621 min
7/14/2026, 7:24:28 PM4 trades$2,0070 min
6/26/2026, 1:33:25 PM5 trades$1,9015 min
6/25/2026, 4:51:47 AM9 trades$1,8217 min
6/19/2026, 4:24:31 PM10 trades$1,8111 min
7/27/2026, 6:29:04 AM4 trades$1,7930 min
4/21/2026, 5:31:46 PM21 trades$1,7374 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-15
04-06
05-06
06-05
06-28
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.01/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L86.2 / M0.9 / H12.9