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@Knowledgeable-Socialism

#1,50937

0xfcbecc7e5186e88e03445b81f593685d62828f44

385d· 3476 markets · 7560 tradesVol: $11,033,486 @ascetic0x2026-06-24T22:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.28x0/15
HHI 15710/10
Profit Days 59%7/10

Summary

Knowledgeable-Socialism is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1509 globally by net profit and has generated $113,353.47 in profits over 243 days. With a total trading volume exceeding $11 million and 7,560 trades across 326 markets, this trader shows significant engagement on the platform. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 37/100, Knowledgeable-Socialism maintains a consistent upward equity trend and a win rate of 70.4%, suggesting effective trade selection over time.

The trader’s strategy appears to favor a high-frequency, diversified approach with moderate risk exposure. Knowledgeable-Socialism trades broadly across hundreds of markets, employing tactics like dollar-cost averaging (DCA) as indicated by the relevant badge. The sell percentage is relatively balanced at 38%, reflecting a mix of holding and exiting positions. The low profit factor of 0.28 and a negative Sharpe ratio suggest that while the trader wins often, the average gains may be small relative to losses or volatility. Timing seems opportunistic rather than strictly long-term, with no prolonged drawdown periods.

Knowledgeable-Socialism’s strengths lie in consistent activity, a solid win rate, and an upward portfolio trend, which support steady growth on Polymarket. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential risks around trade efficiency and risk-adjusted returns. The trader’s relatively low Smart and Bot Scores indicate human decision-making with room for strategic refinement. Overall, Knowledgeable-Socialism demonstrates effective volume and persistence but should monitor risk to improve long-term profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+113,353
DCA Master
avg 14.4 entries/market
Win Streak
111 wins in a row
Whale
$2,409,613
High Roller
$9,916/day

Categories

8
CRYPTO#262$114,040Vol: $10,957,560
🏛️ POLITICS#1,579,447$-976Vol: $40,139
💰 FINANCE#9,499$288Vol: $33,060
SPORTS#1,307,851$-12Vol: $1,151
📈 ECONOMICS#22,337$28Vol: $1,100
🌤️ WEATHER#245,750$-16Vol: $389
🎭 CULTURE#205,816$0Vol: $74
📢 MENTIONS#48,581$0Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$113,353
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,033,486
Total Redeem
$13,799
Portfolio
$9,424
Predictions
3476
total markets
Trades
4668B / 2892S
Daily Volume
$9,916
Account Age
385d
since Jun 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-71
Vol: $22,816
Week
$1,415
Vol: $70,472
Month
$4,572
Vol: $502,998
All Time
$113,353
Vol: $11,033,486

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
218W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$330,648
Win Rate
70%
224W / 94L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$776
Avg Loss
$-6,500

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?$14,607
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$8,577
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$6,023
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$5,070
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$4,767
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$4,169
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3,953
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3,930
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3,473
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3,460

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1?$-32,459
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?$-25,097
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$-16,991
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?$-15,151
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 26?$-14,238
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?$-13,612
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26?$-13,254
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9AM ET$-13,082
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3PM ET$-13,077
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11AM ET$-12,868

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.324
Sortino
-0.259
HHI
157
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.183
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
27s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.5m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 27s — typical for humanSize CV 2.59 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.22 — human randomness34 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
111 entries
<=2
135 entries
<=5
162 entries
<=10
201 entries
<=20
262 entries
<=50
309 entries
>50
15 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.7%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)60.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.7%

Up or Down$-77,189
Other$-360,010

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
247

Single bracket

<=1
222 brackets
<=2
230 brackets
<=3
233 brackets
<=4
236 brackets
<=5
240 brackets
<=8
247 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/13/2025, 11:18:52 PM1 trades$1010 min
11/14/2025, 4:04:02 AM1 trades$4060 min
11/14/2025, 10:27:48 AM1 trades$7270 min
11/14/2025, 2:04:34 PM1 trades$2,4400 min
11/14/2025, 7:49:50 PM1 trades$2,9680 min
11/16/2025, 3:07:13 PM6 trades$5,8240 min
11/18/2025, 10:40:21 PM1 trades$7,2910 min
11/29/2025, 4:52:39 PM3 trades$5893 min
11/29/2025, 5:00:43 PM34 trades$2,6395 min
11/29/2025, 6:13:01 PM29 trades$7,9784 min
12/9/2025, 4:56:16 PM101 trades$23,59214 min
12/9/2025, 9:41:02 PM12 trades$8100 min
12/9/2025, 9:49:30 PM8 trades$2101 min
12/9/2025, 10:00:52 PM6 trades$590 min
12/9/2025, 10:38:58 PM21 trades$1857 min
12/10/2025, 12:05:08 AM15 trades$273 min
12/10/2025, 12:15:34 AM9 trades$1730 min
12/10/2025, 1:58:36 AM19 trades$1503 min
12/10/2025, 3:10:27 AM7 trades$2962 min
12/10/2025, 4:37:25 AM1 trades$1,2830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
02-13
03-09
03-29
04-22
06-02
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event