Polydata

@Knowledgeable-Socialism

#1,43036

0xfcbecc7e5186e88e03445b81f593685d62828f44

339d· 3311 markets · 7216 tradesVol: $10,530,488 @ascetic0x2026-05-29T21:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.23x0/15
HHI 16110/10
Profit Days 53%6/10

Summary

Knowledgeable-Socialism is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1430 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Over 192 days, they have executed 7,216 trades across 634 markets, generating a net profit of $108,780.76 on a total volume exceeding $10.5 million. Despite a high win rate of 82.4%, their profit factor is low at 0.23, and their Sharpe ratio is negative at -0.38, indicating issues with risk-adjusted returns.

The trader prefers a high-frequency, high-volume approach that spans a diverse array of markets, although none are weather-related. They exhibit a moderate sell rate of 36%, suggesting a balanced exit strategy rather than a strict hold or immediate sell approach. Knowledgeable-Socialism’s trading style appears to lean towards short-term gains and frequent position adjustments, supported by badges like Sniper and DCA Master, pointing to precise entries and dollar-cost averaging techniques.

Strengths for Knowledgeable-Socialism include a strong upward equity trend and a solid win streak, showing consistent profitability on Polymarket. However, the below-average Smart Score and low Bot Score imply potential inefficiencies or emotional trading. The negative Sharpe ratio and low profit factor highlight risks related to volatility and suboptimal risk management. Maintaining long-term profitability may require addressing these weaknesses.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+108,781
DCA Master
avg 7.2 entries/market
Win Streak
453 wins in a row
Whale
$2,374,780
High Roller
$12,400/day

Categories

6
CRYPTO#257$108,808Vol: $10,528,163
SPORTS#1,257,053$-12Vol: $1,151
🏛️ POLITICS#834,894$-1Vol: $1,016
🎭 CULTURE#200,701$0Vol: $74
🌤️ WEATHER#235,815$-16Vol: $72
📢 MENTIONS#48,049$0Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$108,781
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,530,488
Total Redeem
$12,662
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3311
total markets
Trades
4580B / 2636S
Daily Volume
$12,400
Account Age
339d
since Jun 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$38
Vol: $399
Week
$-816
Vol: $11,065
Month
$1,010
Vol: $389,168
All Time
$108,781
Vol: $10,530,488

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
218W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$314,994
Win Rate
82%
520W / 111L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$290
Avg Loss
$-5,962

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?$14,607
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$8,577
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$6,023
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$5,070
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$4,169
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3,953
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3,930
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3,473
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3,460
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$3,331

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1?$-32,459
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?$-25,097
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$-16,991
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?$-15,151
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 26?$-14,238
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?$-13,612
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26?$-13,254
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9AM ET$-13,082
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3PM ET$-13,077
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11AM ET$-12,868

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.384
Sortino
-0.323
HHI
161
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.216
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
20.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.1m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — typical for humanSize CV 2.62 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness38 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.2
Active DCA
<=1
435 entries
<=2
459 entries
<=5
489 entries
<=10
521 entries
<=20
573 entries
<=50
620 entries
>50
12 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)30.6%
High (>55c)62.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.8%

Up or Down$-82,796
Other$-428,462

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.1
Events covered
301

Moderate coverage

<=1
221 brackets
<=2
231 brackets
<=3
240 brackets
<=4
255 brackets
<=5
268 brackets
<=8
296 brackets
>8
5 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/13/2025, 11:18:52 PM1 trades$1010 min
11/14/2025, 4:04:02 AM1 trades$4060 min
11/14/2025, 10:27:48 AM1 trades$7270 min
11/14/2025, 2:04:34 PM1 trades$2,4400 min
11/14/2025, 7:49:50 PM1 trades$2,9680 min
11/16/2025, 3:07:13 PM6 trades$5,8240 min
11/18/2025, 10:40:21 PM1 trades$7,2910 min
11/29/2025, 4:52:39 PM3 trades$5893 min
11/29/2025, 5:00:43 PM34 trades$2,6395 min
11/29/2025, 6:13:01 PM29 trades$7,9784 min
12/9/2025, 4:56:16 PM101 trades$23,59214 min
12/9/2025, 9:41:02 PM12 trades$8100 min
12/9/2025, 9:49:30 PM8 trades$2101 min
12/9/2025, 10:00:52 PM6 trades$590 min
12/9/2025, 10:38:58 PM21 trades$1857 min
12/10/2025, 12:05:08 AM15 trades$273 min
12/10/2025, 12:15:34 AM9 trades$1730 min
12/10/2025, 1:58:36 AM19 trades$1503 min
12/10/2025, 3:10:27 AM7 trades$2962 min
12/10/2025, 4:37:25 AM1 trades$1,2830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
02-12
03-04
03-22
04-12
05-01
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.1 br/event