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Known-Hydrolyse

@Known-Hydrolyse

#1,82735

0x9055a9e36aa73274e3a92dc2dbb081bb4d9e756a

716d· 5033 markets · 4869 tradesVol: $12,197,1552026-06-27T05:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 0.25x0/15
HHI 3810/10
Profit Days 52%5/10
DD/Peak 1793%0/10

Summary

Known-Hydrolyse is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1827 globally by net profit. Over 675 days, they have executed 4,869 trades across 497 markets, generating a net PnL of $94,608.20 from a total trading volume exceeding $12 million. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 35/100 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.37, Known-Hydrolyse’s portfolio value shows an upward equity trend, reflecting steady growth.

The trader favors a diverse range of markets with no exposure to weather-related contracts, maintaining a significant win rate of 73.2%. Known-Hydrolyse’s trading style appears to balance moderate risk and frequent activity, as indicated by a 36% sell percentage and a relatively low profit factor of 0.25. Their strategy includes elements of manual trading, supported by badges like Sniper and DCA Master, suggesting tactical entry points combined with dollar-cost averaging to manage positions over time.

Known-Hydrolyse’s key strength lies in consistent profitability and volume, supported by a strong win streak and whale status reflecting high capital deployment. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe Ratio indicate risk management challenges and potential vulnerability during market downturns. The absence of drawdown duration may signal quick recovery from losses, but the below-average Smart and Bot Scores highlight room for improved efficiency and automation on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+94,608
DCA Master
avg 6.3 entries/market
Win Streak
53 wins in a row
Whale
$1,383,059
High Roller
$2,049/day

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,634$31,958Vol: $3,346,569
₿ CRYPTO#7,728$6,091Vol: $630,554
🏛️ POLITICS#8,160$3,354Vol: $529,209
📢 MENTIONS#761$1,872Vol: $115,361
🎭 CULTURE#797,569$-1,424Vol: $76,739
💰 FINANCE#12,894$175Vol: $23,427
💻 TECH#239,218$-364Vol: $18,506
📈 ECONOMICS#14,926$61Vol: $10,402
🌤️ WEATHER#13,413$26Vol: $3,264

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$94,608
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,197,155
Total Redeem
$616,764
Portfolio
$40,000
Predictions
5033
total markets
Trades
3140B / 1729S
Daily Volume
$2,049
Account Age
716d
since Jul 31, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$290
Vol: $7,524
Week
$1,692
Vol: $216,531
Month
$4,130
Vol: $630,843
All Time
$94,608
Vol: $12,197,155

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
229W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$90,474
Win Rate
73%
355W / 130L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$197
Avg Loss
$-2,188

Top Winners

US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova$3,881
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?$1,824
Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?$1,620
Will AC Milan beat Red Star Belgrade?$1,451
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 7?$1,435
Will $Mog be listed first on Coinbase?$1,418
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles$1,273
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas$1,255
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian$1,214
Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner$938

Top Losers

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Japan (BO1)$-9,680
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Gro$-9,334
Dota 2: OG vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-8,122
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$-7,770
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group St$-7,682
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Nigma Galaxy$-7,440
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner$-7,300
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Grou$-6,573
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag$-6,310
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-6,111

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.371
Sortino
-0.326
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.156
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
30.9m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — typical for humanSize CV 1.89 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.3
Active DCA
<=1
121 entries
<=2
192 entries
<=5
314 entries
<=10
404 entries
<=20
473 entries
<=50
495 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.8%
High (>55c)90.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 48.5%

Up or Down$1,972
Milan$1,451
New York City$760
Atlanta$531
Shanghai$410
Miami$228
Chicago$0
Other$-219,763

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
383

Single bracket

<=1
298 brackets
<=2
356 brackets
<=3
381 brackets
<=4
383 brackets
<=5
383 brackets
<=8
383 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/19/2024, 3:55:52 PM2 trades$542 min
11/2/2024, 6:23:31 PM3 trades$1,1151 min
11/3/2024, 6:03:12 PM3 trades$1,0051 min
11/3/2024, 6:25:58 PM1 trades$3960 min
11/9/2024, 7:11:46 PM1 trades$620 min
11/10/2024, 9:22:02 PM4 trades$1,5780 min
11/18/2024, 12:04:07 AM2 trades$1831 min
11/23/2024, 5:44:28 PM1 trades$1030 min
11/23/2024, 5:54:36 PM3 trades$1383 min
11/23/2024, 6:08:56 PM1 trades$610 min
11/23/2024, 6:45:27 PM7 trades$3654 min
11/24/2024, 8:19:27 PM4 trades$2489 min
11/24/2024, 9:05:16 PM1 trades$1950 min
11/24/2024, 9:18:00 PM6 trades$9477 min
11/24/2024, 9:41:56 PM4 trades$1373 min
11/26/2024, 9:12:08 PM2 trades$2,3092 min
11/26/2024, 9:36:21 PM2 trades$2,1624 min
11/26/2024, 9:47:15 PM2 trades$6171 min
11/27/2024, 5:57:12 PM2 trades$1131 min
11/27/2024, 6:12:26 PM4 trades$1,1004 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-19
01-31
09-28
01-01
03-22
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event