Polydata
Data is 11 days old — refreshing in background...

@LQC

#24,80492

0x97339058d01a7710770d550041335056fb4bbe31

83d· 617 markets · 637 tradesVol: $230,243 @LightningQuant2026-06-24T23:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 16.56x15/15
Sharpe 0.3867/15
Sortino 842078.87810/10
EV $+0.32110/10
HHI 19310/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

LQC is an active trader on Polymarket with a strong presence despite only 18 days of activity. Ranked #24,804 globally by profit and loss, LQC has accumulated a net PnL of $4,745.11 from 637 trades across 333 markets. Their trading volume totals $230,243, and they hold an elite Smart Score of 92/100, indicating sophisticated and successful trading behavior.

LQC exclusively focuses on weather markets, showing a specialized strategy that leverages domain expertise. Their trading style is moderately balanced, with a sell ratio of 46%, suggesting a mix of long and short positions. The high win rate of 94.8% and profit factor of 16.56 reflect a low-risk, high-precision approach. LQC’s trades are timely and effective, with no drawdown duration reported, which implies consistent management of downside risk. Despite a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.39, their portfolio equity shows an upward trend, signaling steady growth.

The key strength of LQC lies in their impressive accuracy and high profitability on a focused market segment, supported by badges like Weather Pro and Sniper. However, the relatively short trading history and a semi-bot trading style introduce some uncertainty about long-term consistency. Additionally, the zero portfolio value at present may indicate recent position closures or withdrawals, which traders should monitor when assessing LQC’s ongoing activity on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+4,745
Weather Pro
100% weather
Hedger
avg 2.7 brackets/event
Win Streak
137 wins in a row
Whale
$53,638
Consistent
19/20 days
High Roller
$2,928/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#360$4,745Vol: $230,243

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,745
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$230,243
Total Redeem
$80,050
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
617
total markets
Trades
345B / 292S
Daily Volume
$2,928
Account Age
83d
since Apr 13, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
114W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$29,584
Win Rate
95%
254W / 14L
Profit Factor
16.56x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,139 (18.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 4?$1,729
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 5?$807
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 4?$602
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 6?$530
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 4?$511
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?$510
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 6$509
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 4?$502
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on Ma$501
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May$501

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on April $-260
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 24?$-166
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April $-151
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 21?$-104
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 21?$-97
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 20?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 23?$-54
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 23?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 19?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 19?$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.386
Sortino
inf
HHI
193
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.321
Kelly %
93.3%
Half-Kelly
46.7%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
22.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.8
Active
Markets / Day
18.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.3m
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 76s — typical for humanSize CV 2.25 — diverse, typical for human43% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high18 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
162 entries
<=2
207 entries
<=5
228 entries
<=10
231 entries
<=20
231 entries
<=50
231 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.8%
Mid (20-55c)15.1%
High (>55c)68.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 23.6%

Taipei$2,812
Seoul$2,707
Chongqing$1,940
Tokyo$1,897
Wuhan$1,524
Shanghai$1,360
Singapore$1,356
Chengdu$1,206
Beijing$1,119
Ankara$367
Warsaw$207
Amsterdam$89
Helsinki$76
London$51
Paris$46
Munich$24
Lucknow$18
Shenzhen$16

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.7
Events covered
123

Moderate coverage

<=1
33 brackets
<=2
65 brackets
<=3
89 brackets
<=4
108 brackets
<=5
117 brackets
<=8
122 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 7:04:30 PM13 trades$63710 min
4/18/2026, 3:24:26 AM16 trades$77218 min
4/18/2026, 3:57:32 AM2 trades$1443 min
4/18/2026, 5:18:40 AM2 trades$1,4580 min
4/18/2026, 5:24:44 AM11 trades$29313 min
4/18/2026, 5:49:52 AM7 trades$2372 min
4/18/2026, 9:08:08 PM4 trades$3381 min
4/18/2026, 9:14:58 PM39 trades$1,93724 min
4/19/2026, 5:51:26 AM19 trades$1,76212 min
4/19/2026, 6:11:56 AM1 trades$1210 min
4/19/2026, 6:18:10 AM3 trades$2261 min
4/19/2026, 7:23:54 AM4 trades$3832 min
4/19/2026, 11:22:18 AM12 trades$88511 min
4/19/2026, 12:52:36 PM2 trades$6511 min
4/19/2026, 2:48:04 PM1 trades$10 min
4/19/2026, 2:57:00 PM3 trades$3,1911 min
4/19/2026, 4:38:28 PM1 trades$660 min
4/20/2026, 1:58:50 AM7 trades$4423 min
4/20/2026, 2:07:20 AM6 trades$1,0035 min
4/20/2026, 2:17:52 AM4 trades$1752 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-17
04-20
04-23
04-26
04-29
05-02
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.7 br/event