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@LQC

#22,71092

0x97339058d01a7710770d550041335056fb4bbe31

38d· 617 markets · 640 tradesVol: $230,243 @LightningQuant2026-05-14T14:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 16.59x15/15
Sharpe 0.3867/15
Sortino 843591.47810/10
EV $+0.32210/10
HHI 19410/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

LQC is an active trader on Polymarket with a strong performance record. Ranked #22,710 on the global PnL leaderboard, LQC has generated a net profit of $4,745.11 from a total trading volume exceeding $230,000. Over 18 days, they executed 640 trades across 334 different markets, maintaining an impressive win rate of 94.8%. Their Smart Score of 92/100 places them in the elite category, demonstrating consistent profitability and skill.

LQC primarily focuses on weather markets, dedicating 100% of their trades to this sector. Their trading style combines both manual and algorithmic elements, reflected in a semi-bot score of 55/100. With a balanced sell percentage of 46%, LQC manages risk carefully, avoiding prolonged drawdowns as indicated by a zero-day max drawdown duration. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.39 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns, while a profit factor of 16.59 highlights exceptional efficiency in generating profits relative to losses.

The key strength of LQC lies in their specialization in weather markets and a high win rate, supported by an upward equity trend and favorable badges such as Sniper and Hedger. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and short trading history of just 18 days may present risks in terms of long-term consistency and volatility. Overall, LQC’s disciplined approach and niche focus make them a notable participant in Polymarket’s trading community.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+4,745
Weather Pro
100% weather
Hedger
avg 2.7 brackets/event
Win Streak
139 wins in a row
Whale
$53,611
Consistent
19/20 days
High Roller
$2,927/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#290$4,745Vol: $230,243

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,745
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$230,243
Total Redeem
$80,050
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
617
total markets
Trades
344B / 296S
Daily Volume
$2,927
Account Age
38d
since Apr 13, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$1,268
Vol: $0
Month
$1,700
Vol: $50,855
All Time
$4,745
Vol: $230,243

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
114W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$29,584
Win Rate
95%
256W / 14L
Profit Factor
16.59x
Avg Win
$70
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,139 (18.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 4?$1,729
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 5?$807
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 4?$602
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 6?$530
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 4?$511
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?$510
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 6$509
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 4?$502
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on Ma$501
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May$501

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on April $-260
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 24?$-166
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April $-151
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 21?$-104
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 21?$-97
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 20?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 23?$-54
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 23?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 19?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 19?$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.387
Sortino
inf
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.322
Kelly %
93.4%
Half-Kelly
46.7%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
22.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.9
Active
Markets / Day
18.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.1m
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 78s — typical for humanSize CV 2.24 — diverse, typical for human43% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high18 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
161 entries
<=2
206 entries
<=5
227 entries
<=10
230 entries
<=20
230 entries
<=50
230 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)68.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 23.5%

Taipei$2,813
Seoul$2,707
Chongqing$1,940
Tokyo$1,927
Wuhan$1,524
Shanghai$1,360
Singapore$1,356
Chengdu$1,206
Beijing$1,119
Ankara$367
Warsaw$207
Amsterdam$89
Helsinki$76
London$51
Paris$46
Munich$24
Lucknow$18
Shenzhen$16

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.7
Events covered
124

Moderate coverage

<=1
34 brackets
<=2
66 brackets
<=3
89 brackets
<=4
109 brackets
<=5
118 brackets
<=8
123 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 7:04:30 PM13 trades$63710 min
4/18/2026, 3:24:26 AM16 trades$77218 min
4/18/2026, 3:57:32 AM2 trades$1443 min
4/18/2026, 5:18:40 AM2 trades$1,4580 min
4/18/2026, 5:24:44 AM11 trades$29313 min
4/18/2026, 5:49:52 AM7 trades$2372 min
4/18/2026, 9:08:08 PM4 trades$3381 min
4/18/2026, 9:14:58 PM39 trades$1,93724 min
4/19/2026, 5:51:26 AM19 trades$1,76212 min
4/19/2026, 6:11:56 AM1 trades$1210 min
4/19/2026, 6:18:10 AM3 trades$2261 min
4/19/2026, 7:23:54 AM4 trades$3832 min
4/19/2026, 11:22:18 AM12 trades$88511 min
4/19/2026, 12:52:36 PM2 trades$6511 min
4/19/2026, 2:48:04 PM1 trades$10 min
4/19/2026, 2:57:00 PM3 trades$3,1911 min
4/19/2026, 4:38:28 PM1 trades$660 min
4/20/2026, 1:58:50 AM7 trades$4423 min
4/20/2026, 2:07:20 AM6 trades$1,0035 min
4/20/2026, 2:17:52 AM4 trades$1752 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-17
04-20
04-23
04-26
04-29
05-02
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.7 br/event