Polydata

@Last-Deck

#264,05759

0x6769ec83e123b508de2aaa76746c36b0c7afe207

85d· 57 markets · 85 tradesVol: $3,7052026-07-06T18:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 34%2/20
Profit Factor 1.90x14/15
Sharpe 0.3326/15
Sortino 1.15810/10
EV $+1.09710/10
HHI 9068/10
Profit Days 38%2/10
DD/Peak 34%7/10

Summary

Last-Deck is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 85 trades across 57 different markets over 53 days. Ranked #264,057 globally by net profit and holding a net PnL of $76.35, Last-Deck demonstrates a positive but modest overall return. Their total trading volume is $3,705, and they maintain a good Smart Score of 59/100, indicating decent trading skills and decision-making.

In terms of strategy, Last-Deck appears to focus on a varied set of markets rather than specializing. Their win rate of 74.1% and profit factor of 14.81 suggest a high success rate on individual trades, though the portfolio value is currently zero and the Sharpe ratio is low at 0.33, implying limited risk-adjusted returns. The trader's sell percentage is 20%, indicating a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently taking profits. The lack of weather market trades and a quick max drawdown duration of zero days point to a cautious approach in risk management.

Last-Deck’s strengths include a strong win streak and consistent profitability, as reflected in their badges and profit factor. However, the downward equity trend and low Bot Score suggest some recent decline in performance and a likely reliance on manual trading. This combination implies potential for improvement but also indicates vulnerability to market shifts or emotional decision-making. Overall, Last-Deck shows promising fundamentals with room to refine their approach on Polymarket.

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+76
Lottery Player
31% entries <$0.20
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#103,715$79Vol: $2,383
🏛️ POLITICS#877,837$-1Vol: $1,000
SPORTS#1,040,781$-2Vol: $322

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$76
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,705
Total Redeem
$144
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
68B / 17S
Daily Volume
$5
Account Age
85d
since Apr 12, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
34%
19W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$143
Win Rate
74%
20W / 7L
Profit Factor
14.81x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $90 (62.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$19
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score$16
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$3

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.332
Sortino
1.158
HHI
906
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.097
Kelly %
62.3%
Half-Kelly
31.1%
Top-1 market
19%
Top-5 markets
57.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.3m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 292s — typical for humanSize CV 2.23 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps13/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.69 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
48 entries
<=2
55 entries
<=5
57 entries
<=10
57 entries
<=20
57 entries
<=50
57 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.9%
Mid (20-55c)51.5%
High (>55c)17.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.3%

Other$127
Madrid$16

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
56

Single bracket

<=1
55 brackets
<=2
56 brackets
<=3
56 brackets
<=4
56 brackets
<=5
56 brackets
<=8
56 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 5:09:15 PM2 trades$471 min
4/13/2026, 5:16:35 PM1 trades$10 min
4/13/2026, 5:22:23 PM5 trades$68 min
4/13/2026, 6:11:17 PM3 trades$32 min
4/13/2026, 10:18:37 PM2 trades$22 min
4/13/2026, 11:24:39 PM8 trades$3311 min
4/13/2026, 11:45:27 PM1 trades$10 min
4/14/2026, 12:18:53 AM1 trades$10 min
4/14/2026, 12:26:27 AM2 trades$80 min
4/14/2026, 12:58:03 AM3 trades$31 min
4/14/2026, 1:04:25 AM2 trades$23 min
4/14/2026, 9:49:51 AM1 trades$10 min
4/14/2026, 1:05:47 PM5 trades$59 min
4/14/2026, 7:12:04 PM1 trades$490 min
4/14/2026, 7:32:58 PM1 trades$650 min
4/14/2026, 8:21:14 PM2 trades$20 min
4/14/2026, 8:30:00 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 12:00:46 AM2 trades$55 min
4/17/2026, 12:19:40 AM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 12:28:58 AM3 trades$36 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-13
04-14
04-17
04-18
04-19
04-21
04-30
06-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event