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@Last-Deck

#257,60559

0x6769ec83e123b508de2aaa76746c36b0c7afe207

85d· 57 markets · 85 tradesVol: $3,7052026-06-27T02:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 34%2/20
Profit Factor 1.90x14/15
Sharpe 0.3326/15
Sortino 1.15810/10
EV $+1.09710/10
HHI 8918/10
Profit Days 38%2/10
DD/Peak 34%7/10

Summary

Last-Deck is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having placed 85 trades across 57 different markets over 53 days. With a net profit and loss of $76.35 and a global PnL leaderboard rank of #257,605, Last-Deck shows consistent engagement though with modest overall returns. Their smart score of 59/100 indicates a good performance relative to peers, supported by a high win rate of 70.4% and a strong profit factor of 13.23.

The trading style of Last-Deck appears to focus on a diverse range of markets, avoiding weather-related ones entirely. They maintain a low sell percentage of 20%, suggesting a tendency to hold positions rather than quick flipping. The Sharpe ratio of 0.33 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the zero-day max drawdown duration indicates effective risk control in terms of capital preservation. Their trading pattern does not resemble an automated bot, implying manual or semi-manual decision-making with a balanced risk profile.

Key strengths for Last-Deck include a solid win rate and profit factor, demonstrating consistent profitability on Polymarket. However, the downward equity trend and relatively low Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns about scalability and volatility in their portfolio. Additionally, the small net PnL relative to volume and rank suggests room for improvement in capital efficiency and market timing.

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+76
Lottery Player
31% entries <$0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#102,913$79Vol: $2,383
🏛️ POLITICS#873,393$-1Vol: $1,000
SPORTS#1,014,433$-2Vol: $322

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$76
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,705
Total Redeem
$144
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
68B / 17S
Daily Volume
$5
Account Age
85d
since Apr 12, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-2
Vol: $21
All Time
$76
Vol: $3,705

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
34%
19W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$143
Win Rate
70%
19W / 8L
Profit Factor
13.23x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $89 (63.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$18
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score$16
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$3

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$-0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.332
Sortino
1.158
HHI
891
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.097
Kelly %
56.2%
Half-Kelly
28.1%
Top-1 market
18.7%
Top-5 markets
57.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.3m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 292s — typical for humanSize CV 2.20 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps13/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.69 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
48 entries
<=2
55 entries
<=5
57 entries
<=10
57 entries
<=20
57 entries
<=50
57 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.9%
Mid (20-55c)51.5%
High (>55c)17.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57%

Other$123
Madrid$16

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
56

Single bracket

<=1
55 brackets
<=2
56 brackets
<=3
56 brackets
<=4
56 brackets
<=5
56 brackets
<=8
56 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 5:09:15 PM2 trades$471 min
4/13/2026, 5:16:35 PM1 trades$10 min
4/13/2026, 5:22:23 PM5 trades$68 min
4/13/2026, 6:11:17 PM3 trades$32 min
4/13/2026, 10:18:37 PM2 trades$22 min
4/13/2026, 11:24:39 PM8 trades$3311 min
4/13/2026, 11:45:27 PM1 trades$10 min
4/14/2026, 12:18:53 AM1 trades$10 min
4/14/2026, 12:26:27 AM2 trades$90 min
4/14/2026, 12:58:03 AM3 trades$31 min
4/14/2026, 1:04:25 AM2 trades$23 min
4/14/2026, 9:49:51 AM1 trades$10 min
4/14/2026, 1:05:47 PM5 trades$59 min
4/14/2026, 7:12:04 PM1 trades$500 min
4/14/2026, 7:32:58 PM1 trades$650 min
4/14/2026, 8:21:14 PM2 trades$20 min
4/14/2026, 8:30:00 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 12:00:46 AM2 trades$55 min
4/17/2026, 12:19:40 AM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 12:28:58 AM3 trades$36 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-13
04-14
04-17
04-18
04-19
04-21
04-30
06-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event