Polydata
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@Left-Talking

#2,871,86310

0x1c6dd9c5ab05e5cafd6960b920d54ee12a798cc4

271d· 3248 markets · 3503 tradesVol: $282,781 @Y74DAAcbzK685932026-06-26T14:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 13%0/20
Profit Factor 0.65x0/15
HHI 910/10
Profit Days 24%0/10

Summary

Left-Talking is an active Polymarket trader with 3,503 trades spread across 2,286 markets over 248 days. Despite a high trading volume of $282,781, their net PnL stands at -$2,873.87, placing them at rank #2,871,863 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently low at $30.91, and their Smart Score signals a beginner level of expertise.

The trader shows a preference for weather markets, which make up 19% of their activity. Left-Talking exhibits a contrarian style, supported by their “Contrarian” badge and a low sell percentage of 10%, indicating a hold-biased approach. Their risk profile appears aggressive given the large volume and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.39), suggesting volatility in returns. The very high win rate of 98.0% paired with an extreme profit factor points to many small wins but overall losses, hinting at potential issues in trade sizing or risk management.

Left-Talking’s key strength is persistence, as reflected in an upward equity trend and a zero-day max drawdown duration, which shows resilience against prolonged losses. However, the negative net PnL and low portfolio value raise concerns about sustainability and capital preservation. The beginner status and large trading footprint imply a learning phase on Polymarket, where improving risk controls and strategic refinement could be beneficial.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Lottery Player
59% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
97% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
28 wins in a row

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,590,975$-2,654Vol: $151,913
🌤️ WEATHER#5,456$138Vol: $70,890
SPORTS#1,616,954$-160Vol: $31,122
📈 ECONOMICS#589,486$-11Vol: $542
🏛️ POLITICS#872,537$-1Vol: $167

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,874
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$282,781
Total Redeem
$1,381
Portfolio
$31
Predictions
3248
total markets
Trades
3150B / 353S
Daily Volume
$94
Account Age
271d
since Oct 19, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $267
Week
$-220
Vol: $4,290
Month
$-166
Vol: $29,379
All Time
$-2,874
Vol: $282,781

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
14%
324W / 1979L events
Realized PnL
$12,526
Win Rate
98%
50W / 1L
Profit Factor
5256.93x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $216 (15.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$96
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?$63
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 18?$57
Spread: Germany (-5.5)$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9PM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 1AM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 11PM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1AM ET$39

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: MAGICOS vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm $-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.389
Sortino
-0.517
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.337
Kelly %
98.0%
Half-Kelly
49.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
2.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.1
Active
Markets / Day
9.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 574s — typical for humanSize CV 1.06 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.78 — human randomness14 trades/day — very active2492 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
1809 entries
<=2
2122 entries
<=5
2256 entries
<=10
2278 entries
<=20
2285 entries
<=50
2286 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.6%
Mid (20-55c)39.6%
High (>55c)1.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 69.6%

Other$1,313
Taipei$57
Paris$38
São Paulo$14
Madrid$0
Milan$0
Up or Down$0
Beijing$0
Hong Kong$0
Miami$0
Buenos Aires$0
Istanbul$0
Shanghai$0
Shenzhen$0
Sao Paulo$0
Munich$0
London$0
Singapore$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
2158

Single bracket

<=1
2053 brackets
<=2
2137 brackets
<=3
2156 brackets
<=4
2158 brackets
<=5
2158 brackets
<=8
2158 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/21/2025, 3:18:11 PM1 trades$50 min
10/21/2025, 4:30:13 PM1 trades$100 min
10/22/2025, 11:14:38 AM3 trades$206 min
10/22/2025, 2:13:48 PM2 trades$131 min
10/22/2025, 2:32:00 PM1 trades$20 min
10/22/2025, 3:00:54 PM1 trades$50 min
10/23/2025, 8:32:49 AM2 trades$150 min
10/23/2025, 3:34:59 PM1 trades$80 min
10/24/2025, 8:43:55 AM1 trades$50 min
10/24/2025, 11:54:09 AM1 trades$50 min
10/24/2025, 12:28:25 PM1 trades$40 min
10/26/2025, 2:01:23 PM1 trades$50 min
10/26/2025, 2:35:31 PM1 trades$50 min
10/26/2025, 3:51:51 PM1 trades$50 min
10/27/2025, 12:27:21 AM1 trades$160 min
10/27/2025, 3:44:27 PM1 trades$50 min
10/27/2025, 4:05:27 PM1 trades$50 min
10/28/2025, 1:10:55 PM1 trades$70 min
10/28/2025, 2:03:17 PM1 trades$50 min
10/28/2025, 4:04:45 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
11-24
12-29
03-22
04-22
05-23
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
19.3% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event