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@Limping-Spread

#2,927,33911

0xc660ae71765d0d9eaf5fa8328c1c959841d2bd28

239d· 1981 markets · 7774 tradesVol: $69,802,3552026-06-27T12:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 24%0/20
Profit Factor 0.81x0/15
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 36%1/10
DD/Peak 327%0/10

Summary

Limping-Spread is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 7,774 trades across 824 markets over 228 days. Despite a high win rate of 82.6% and a profit factor of 3.85, Limping-Spread’s overall performance is negative, with a net PnL of -$378,201.64 and a rank of #2,927,339 on the global leaderboard. The trader’s portfolio value currently stands at zero, indicating a full exit or loss of capital.

The trader’s strategy appears to favor frequent trading with a semi-automated approach, as suggested by a bot score of 60/100. Limping-Spread shows no activity in weather markets and does not engage in selling positions, suggesting a buy-and-hold or dollar-cost averaging style. The presence of badges like Contrarian and DCA Master imply a willingness to take positions against prevailing trends and to average down losses. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and equity trend reveal poor risk-adjusted returns and a downward trajectory in portfolio value.

Limping-Spread’s strengths include a disciplined win rate and a high volume of trades, which generally indicate experience and persistence. However, the significant net losses, zero portfolio value, and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns about risk management and capital preservation. The trader’s beginner-level smart score also suggests there is room for improvement in market analysis and decision-making on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 9.4 entries/market
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
Whale
$13,376,312
High Roller
$58,668/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,761,403$-378,527Vol: $69,800,941

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-378,202
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,802,355
Total Redeem
$3,759,906
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1981
total markets
Trades
7767B / 7S
Daily Volume
$58,668
Account Age
239d
since Nov 10, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$4,943
Vol: $96,900
Week
$-429,762
Vol: $3,503,482
Month
$-182,052
Vol: $13,160,284
All Time
$-378,202
Vol: $69,802,355

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
26%
241W / 702L events
Realized PnL
$8,451,626
Win Rate
83%
38W / 8L
Profit Factor
3.85x
Avg Win
$42,086
Avg Loss
$-51,908

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $996,918 (84.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$568,085
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$291,137
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$137,696
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$101,093
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$61,828
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$52,828
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$48,975
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$34,230
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?$30,349
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Pr$29,880

Top Losers

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$-142,212
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-133,308
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-71,980
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?$-20,808
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-17,278
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweigh$-15,539
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-7,587
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweigh$-6,552

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.130
Sortino
-0.149
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.193
Kelly %
67.3%
Half-Kelly
33.6%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.4m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 3.25 — diverse, typical for human37% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness34 trades/day — suspiciously high1033 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.4
Active DCA
<=1
267 entries
<=2
419 entries
<=5
594 entries
<=10
696 entries
<=20
751 entries
<=50
792 entries
>50
32 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)73.4%
High (>55c)23%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 39.8%

Other$1,183,942
Seattle$67
Miami$0
Houston$0
Atlanta$0
San Francisco$0
Los Angeles$0
Chicago$0
Toronto$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
757

Single bracket

<=1
694 brackets
<=2
753 brackets
<=3
757 brackets
<=4
757 brackets
<=5
757 brackets
<=8
757 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/11/2025, 11:35:37 PM2 trades$3481 min
11/11/2025, 11:56:17 PM5 trades$5356 min
11/12/2025, 12:22:59 AM2 trades$3780 min
11/12/2025, 2:23:29 AM1 trades$1380 min
11/12/2025, 3:03:09 AM3 trades$3284 min
11/13/2025, 1:47:16 AM1 trades$1070 min
11/15/2025, 12:56:34 AM6 trades$9000 min
11/15/2025, 4:22:13 PM1 trades$1470 min
11/15/2025, 4:32:17 PM8 trades$1,2001 min
11/15/2025, 4:38:37 PM9 trades$1,2013 min
11/15/2025, 4:47:27 PM7 trades$1,0290 min
11/15/2025, 4:53:29 PM13 trades$1,7264 min
11/16/2025, 4:29:39 PM5 trades$7350 min
11/16/2025, 5:56:57 PM2 trades$713 min
11/16/2025, 8:26:35 PM2 trades$1663 min
11/17/2025, 11:30:11 PM1 trades$1500 min
11/18/2025, 1:34:55 AM8 trades$1,1521 min
11/18/2025, 1:46:25 AM3 trades$2640 min
11/18/2025, 1:59:05 AM2 trades$2820 min
11/18/2025, 2:08:39 AM1 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-11
12-21
01-24
03-05
04-08
05-17
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event