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@Limping-Spread

#2,715,19819

0xc660ae71765d0d9eaf5fa8328c1c959841d2bd28

189d· 1729 markets · 5418 tradesVol: $55,010,1962026-05-14T05:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 27%0/20
Profit Factor 1.04x3/15
Sharpe 0.0281/15
Sortino 0.0470/10
EV $+0.0352/10
HHI 2710/10
Profit Days 43%3/10
DD/Peak 77%0/10

Summary

Limping-Spread is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having engaged in 5,418 trades across 928 markets over 191 days. Despite a high win rate of 83.5% and a strong profit factor of 3.77, Limping-Spread holds a net PnL of -$58,963.07, ranking them at #2,715,198 globally. Their smart score of 19/100 classifies them as a beginner, while their portfolio value currently stands at $8,929.55, showing an upward equity trend.

This trader favors a contrarian style, as indicated by their top badge, and shows a tendency toward dollar-cost averaging strategies. With no exposure to weather markets and a zero percent sell rate, Limping-Spread appears to hold positions for longer durations, consistent with the "Diamond Hands" badge. Their semi-bot trading style combines automated and manual inputs, reflecting a cautious but persistent approach. The low Sharpe ratio of 0.03 suggests limited risk-adjusted returns, despite an impressive win streak.

Limping-Spread’s strengths lie in their disciplined approach and high win rate, which contribute to consistent performance despite the negative PnL. However, their beginner status and low smart score highlight potential gaps in risk management and market timing. The absence of drawdown duration implies minimal recent losses, but the overall negative net PnL and low Sharpe ratio suggest that better optimization of trades could improve outcomes on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Contrarian
57% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 5.8 entries/market
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
Whale
$12,816,674
High Roller
$67,103/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,642,524$-59,288Vol: $55,008,781

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-58,963
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,010,196
Total Redeem
$6,648,995
Portfolio
$8,930
Predictions
1729
total markets
Trades
5411B / 7S
Daily Volume
$67,103
Account Age
189d
since Nov 10, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,896
Vol: $31,039
Week
$10,341
Vol: $336,470
Month
$-50,167
Vol: $1,196,930
All Time
$-58,963
Vol: $55,010,196

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
29%
242W / 604L events
Realized PnL
$8,249,461
Win Rate
83%
217W / 43L
Profit Factor
3.77x
Avg Win
$13,231
Avg Loss
$-17,726

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $234,049 (11.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$81,972
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Mai$76,272
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies$75,805
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)$61,930
Flyers vs. Kings$56,167
Canucks vs. Flames$52,135
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche$51,279
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets$46,194
Islanders vs. Senators$45,224
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-31.5)$43,915

Top Losers

Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)$-116,220
Devils vs. Canadiens$-72,444
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels$-47,283
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds$-31,028
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Ma$-30,469
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)$-28,869
Ducks vs. Flames$-28,277
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders$-27,351
Blues vs. Kings$-27,319
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves$-26,247

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.028
Sortino
0.046
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
72.6%
Half-Kelly
36.3%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
47.1m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — typical for humanSize CV 2.07 — diverse, typical for human41% at night — bot never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness30 trades/day — suspiciously high927 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.8
Active DCA
<=1
291 entries
<=2
464 entries
<=5
682 entries
<=10
817 entries
<=20
881 entries
<=50
917 entries
>50
11 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)81.3%
High (>55c)17.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.4%

Other$1,787,544
San Francisco$84,004
Houston$80,962
Los Angeles$73,884
Chicago$60,048
Atlanta$25,315
Miami$19,391
Toronto$9,179
Seattle$-31,332

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
859

Single bracket

<=1
791 brackets
<=2
858 brackets
<=3
859 brackets
<=4
859 brackets
<=5
859 brackets
<=8
859 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/11/2025, 11:35:37 PM2 trades$3481 min
11/11/2025, 11:56:17 PM5 trades$5356 min
11/12/2025, 12:22:59 AM2 trades$3780 min
11/12/2025, 2:23:29 AM1 trades$1380 min
11/12/2025, 3:03:09 AM3 trades$3284 min
11/13/2025, 1:47:16 AM1 trades$1070 min
11/15/2025, 12:56:34 AM6 trades$9000 min
11/15/2025, 4:22:13 PM1 trades$1470 min
11/15/2025, 4:32:17 PM8 trades$1,2001 min
11/15/2025, 4:38:37 PM9 trades$1,2013 min
11/15/2025, 4:47:27 PM7 trades$1,0290 min
11/15/2025, 4:53:29 PM13 trades$1,7264 min
11/16/2025, 4:29:39 PM5 trades$7350 min
11/16/2025, 5:56:57 PM2 trades$713 min
11/16/2025, 8:26:35 PM2 trades$1663 min
11/17/2025, 11:30:11 PM1 trades$1500 min
11/18/2025, 1:34:55 AM8 trades$1,1521 min
11/18/2025, 1:46:25 AM3 trades$2640 min
11/18/2025, 1:59:05 AM2 trades$2820 min
11/18/2025, 2:08:39 AM1 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-11
12-16
01-14
02-14
03-18
04-15
05-19
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event