Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...

@Link

#2,046,45124

0x6978e2d91414c59864acdc95a287b20e770da398

749d· 16 markets · 20 tradesVol: $5702026-06-27T13:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 56%13/20
Profit Factor 0.16x0/15
HHI 13936/10
Profit Days 50%5/10

Summary

Link is a low-activity trader on Polymarket with 20 trades spread over 549 days, ranking #2,046,451 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a modest total volume of $570, their net PnL stands at -$23.67, reflecting an overall loss. The trader holds a portfolio valued at $2.33 and has a below-average Smart Score of 24/100, indicating limited effectiveness in generating profits compared to peers.

The trader’s strategy appears conservative with minimal selling activity at 5%, suggesting a tendency to hold positions longer, consistent with their “Diamond Hands” badge. Link trades across 16 different markets but shows no activity in weather markets, indicating a preference for other categories. Their win rate is reasonably high at 63.6%, although the low profit factor of 0.28 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.48 reveal that winning trades often yield small gains, while losses may be more significant.

Link’s key strength lies in their patience and consistent participation over a long period, but the downward equity trend and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight potential concerns. The low Smart and Bot Scores suggest limited use of advanced strategies or automation, which may contribute to suboptimal performance on Polymarket. Overall, Link’s approach reflects a cautious style but struggles to generate sustainable profits.

Badges

1
Diamond Hands
5% sell

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,225,567$-21Vol: $508
🏛️ POLITICS#841,256$-1Vol: $51
SPORTS#1,023,638$-2Vol: $10
💰 FINANCE#260,283$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-24
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$570
Total Redeem
$12
Portfolio
$2
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
19B / 1S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
749d
since Jun 29, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-24
Vol: $570

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
9W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-11
Win Rate
64%
7W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-4

Top Winners

Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?$1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1
OpenSea airdrop before April?$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?$0
Tether Insolvent in 2024?$0
OpenSea token announcement in 2024?$0

Top Losers

Abstract token launch by January 31?$-11
Will England win the 2024 Euros?$-2
Ethereum all time high in June?$-1
Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.477
Sortino
-0.421
HHI
1393
Moderate
EV per $1
$-1.552
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26%
Top-5 markets
66.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
12
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastSize CV 1.29 — diverse, typical for human35% at night — bot never sleeps8/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.74 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
13 entries
<=2
16 entries
<=5
16 entries
<=10
16 entries
<=20
16 entries
<=50
16 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.1%
Mid (20-55c)31.6%
High (>55c)47.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.7%

Other$-11

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
16

Single bracket

<=1
16 brackets
<=2
16 brackets
<=3
16 brackets
<=4
16 brackets
<=5
16 brackets
<=8
16 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/29/2024, 11:48:17 PM6 trades$81 min
9/24/2024, 4:20:44 AM1 trades$10 min
10/26/2024, 1:46:41 PM1 trades$10 min
12/29/2024, 6:11:58 AM1 trades$110 min
1/11/2025, 2:36:25 AM3 trades$41 min
2/24/2025, 1:41:24 PM1 trades$10 min
5/8/2025, 7:32:51 AM1 trades$10 min
5/31/2025, 4:26:38 PM1 trades$10 min
5/31/2025, 4:35:48 PM1 trades$10 min
8/3/2025, 4:35:40 AM1 trades$10 min
9/16/2025, 6:51:34 AM1 trades$30 min
12/16/2025, 1:27:11 AM2 trades$130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-30
07-14
12-30
01-31
06-03
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event