Polydata

@Little-Soot

#26,13082

0x00a7d9642760fa25660486acce8ae4b7d0f62bb0

234d· 92 markets · 299 tradesVol: $163,5692026-07-22T00:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 1.82x13/15
Sharpe 0.1363/15
Sortino 86448.07510/10
EV $+0.37410/10
HHI 11057/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Little-Soot is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #26130 globally by net profit and maintaining a very good Smart Score of 82/100. Over 397 days, they have executed 299 trades across 92 markets with a total volume exceeding $163,000, resulting in a net profit of $4,754.65. Despite a low Sharpe ratio of 0.14, Little-Soot’s win rate is exceptionally high at 97.8%, indicating consistent profitability over time.

The trader shows a preference for weather-related markets, which make up 28% of their activity, suggesting specialization in that area. Little-Soot’s trading style appears to be low risk with a conservative approach, evidenced by a stable equity trend and zero max drawdown duration. Their sell percentage matches their weather market exposure, implying a balanced entry and exit strategy. The low Bot Score confirms manual trading, supporting the high Smart Score and badges indicating precision and profitability.

Little-Soot’s strengths include a high win rate and stable equity performance, making them a reliable trader within their niche on Polymarket. However, the low Sharpe ratio and zero profit factor suggest limited risk-adjusted returns and potential vulnerability to market volatility. Overall, Little-Soot demonstrates consistent results but may face challenges scaling profits or managing unexpected drawdowns.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+4,755
Lottery Player
36% entries <$0.20
Win Streak
47 wins in a row
Whale
$58,373
Consistent
54/55 days

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#112,734$30Vol: $79,106
CRYPTO#10,110$4,706Vol: $14,598
🎭 CULTURE#52,358$17Vol: $13,332
🌤️ WEATHER#52,440$1Vol: $557
SPORTS#472,565$0Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,755
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$163,569
Total Redeem
$29,435
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
216B / 83S
Daily Volume
$147
Account Age
234d
since Nov 29, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $142
All Time
$4,755
Vol: $163,569

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
82W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$4,755
Win Rate
98%
90W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$243
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,817 (99.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$8,583
Maduro out in 2025?$8,534
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$4,700
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$10
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 20$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 15?$1
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 13 to February 2$1

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.136
Sortino
inf
HHI
1105
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.374
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
64%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.1m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — typical for humanSize CV 3.27 — diverse, typical for human38% at night — bot never sleeps16/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.95 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
88 entries
<=2
89 entries
<=5
90 entries
<=10
90 entries
<=20
90 entries
<=50
91 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)63.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 19%

Other$21,857
New York City$0
Austin$0
Atlanta$0
Wellington$0
Tokyo$0
London$0
Moscow$0
Kuala Lumpur$0
Shanghai$0
Seattle$0
Hong Kong$0
Denver$0
Chicago$0
Seoul$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
84

Single bracket

<=1
78 brackets
<=2
82 brackets
<=3
84 brackets
<=4
84 brackets
<=5
84 brackets
<=8
84 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/29/2025, 8:54:35 AM1 trades$180 min
11/29/2025, 10:11:05 AM1 trades$4,7000 min
11/30/2025, 7:33:57 AM1 trades$180 min
12/3/2025, 3:09:33 AM5 trades$877 min
12/6/2025, 3:03:17 AM5 trades$633 min
12/8/2025, 8:41:51 AM16 trades$2,2437 min
12/8/2025, 8:56:13 AM3 trades$692 min
12/8/2025, 9:04:27 AM6 trades$2,2929 min
12/8/2025, 9:20:57 AM15 trades$6,73114 min
12/8/2025, 9:40:23 AM6 trades$1223 min
12/8/2025, 9:49:35 AM6 trades$8853 min
12/8/2025, 10:03:49 AM5 trades$1,1778 min
12/8/2025, 10:23:31 AM1 trades$3300 min
12/8/2025, 10:29:39 AM14 trades$48318 min
12/8/2025, 11:04:03 AM2 trades$1,7144 min
12/8/2025, 11:15:15 AM1 trades$1,4860 min
12/8/2025, 2:00:55 PM1 trades$1120 min
12/8/2025, 2:10:37 PM17 trades$4,94719 min
12/8/2025, 2:36:15 PM17 trades$3,4798 min
12/9/2025, 12:36:31 AM3 trades$8428 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-09
01-14
03-03
04-24
06-17
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
28.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event