Polydata

@Little-Soot

#23,86582

0x00a7d9642760fa25660486acce8ae4b7d0f62bb0

188d· 76 markets · 281 tradesVol: $163,2302026-06-05T23:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 1.82x13/15
Sharpe 0.1493/15
Sortino 103330.87610/10
EV $+4.85610/10
HHI 11167/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Little-Soot is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 281 trades spread across 76 markets over 397 days. Ranked #23,865 globally by net PnL, they have generated $4,753.23 in profits on a total volume of $163,230. Their portfolio value remains stable at $981.78, reflecting a consistent but cautious trading approach. The trader’s Smart Score of 82/100 indicates strong performance, while the Sharpe ratio of 0.15 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Little-Soot favors weather-related markets, which constitute 28% of their activity. They maintain a high win rate of 97.1%, indicating precise market entries and exits, supported by a sniper badge that suggests selective trades. Despite a sell percentage of 29%, the equity trend remains flat, implying a conservative risk profile with limited volatility. Their manual trading style, as denoted by a low bot score, points to deliberate and thoughtful decision-making rather than automated strategies.

Little-Soot’s strengths lie in their consistent profitability and high accuracy, which allow them to capitalize on favorable market conditions without significant drawdowns. However, the low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend may indicate limited upside potential and cautious exposure. The zero profit factor and short max drawdown duration could also signal that gains come from small, frequent wins rather than large, sustained trends. Overall, Little-Soot demonstrates disciplined manual trading on Polymarket with a solid but conservative edge.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+4,753
Lottery Player
38% entries <$0.20
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
Whale
$58,089
Consistent
45/46 days

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#112,815$29Vol: $79,051
CRYPTO#9,678$4,705Vol: $14,431
🎭 CULTURE#50,936$17Vol: $13,332
🌤️ WEATHER#51,214$1Vol: $440
SPORTS#429,598$0Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,753
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$163,230
Total Redeem
$28,220
Portfolio
$982
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
200B / 81S
Daily Volume
$146
Account Age
188d
since Nov 29, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,753
Vol: $163,230

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
66W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$4,750
Win Rate
97%
68W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$321
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,817 (99.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$8,583
Maduro out in 2025?$8,534
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$4,700
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$10
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 20$5
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 15?$1
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 13 to February 2$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 8?$1

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.149
Sortino
inf
HHI
1116
Moderate
EV per $1
$4.856
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.7%
Top-5 markets
64.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.9m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — typical for humanSize CV 3.15 — diverse, typical for human41% at night — bot never sleeps16/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.97 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.6
Moderate DCA
<=1
72 entries
<=2
73 entries
<=5
74 entries
<=10
74 entries
<=20
74 entries
<=50
75 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.5%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)61%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 19%

Other$21,852
New York City$0
Atlanta$0
Austin$0
Wellington$0
London$0
Shanghai$0
Seattle$0
Hong Kong$0
Denver$0
Chicago$0
Seoul$0
Kuala Lumpur$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
68

Single bracket

<=1
62 brackets
<=2
66 brackets
<=3
68 brackets
<=4
68 brackets
<=5
68 brackets
<=8
68 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/29/2025, 8:54:35 AM1 trades$180 min
11/29/2025, 10:11:05 AM1 trades$4,7000 min
11/30/2025, 7:33:57 AM1 trades$180 min
12/3/2025, 3:09:33 AM5 trades$877 min
12/6/2025, 3:03:17 AM5 trades$633 min
12/8/2025, 8:41:51 AM16 trades$2,2437 min
12/8/2025, 8:56:13 AM3 trades$692 min
12/8/2025, 9:04:27 AM6 trades$2,2929 min
12/8/2025, 9:20:57 AM15 trades$6,73114 min
12/8/2025, 9:40:23 AM6 trades$1223 min
12/8/2025, 9:49:35 AM6 trades$8853 min
12/8/2025, 10:03:49 AM5 trades$1,1778 min
12/8/2025, 10:23:31 AM1 trades$3300 min
12/8/2025, 10:29:39 AM14 trades$48318 min
12/8/2025, 11:04:03 AM2 trades$1,7144 min
12/8/2025, 11:15:15 AM1 trades$1,4860 min
12/8/2025, 2:00:55 PM1 trades$1120 min
12/8/2025, 2:10:37 PM17 trades$4,94719 min
12/8/2025, 2:36:15 PM17 trades$3,4798 min
12/9/2025, 12:36:31 AM3 trades$8428 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-05
12-31
01-31
03-06
04-23
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
27.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event