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@Little-Soot

#25,99382

0x00a7d9642760fa25660486acce8ae4b7d0f62bb0

234d· 92 markets · 299 tradesVol: $163,5692026-07-18T05:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 1.82x13/15
Sharpe 0.1363/15
Sortino 86448.07510/10
EV $+0.37410/10
HHI 11057/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Little-Soot is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 299 trades across 92 markets over 397 days. With a net profit and loss of $4,754.65, they rank #25,993 globally by PnL. Their Smart Score of 82/100 reflects a very good overall performance, supported by a high win rate of 97.8%. Despite this, their Sharpe Ratio is low at 0.14, indicating limited risk-adjusted returns, and their portfolio value is currently zero.

The trading style of Little-Soot appears balanced but with a clear preference for weather-related markets, which constitute 28% of their trades. They demonstrate a measured risk profile, as evidenced by a flat equity trend and no recorded drawdown duration. The trader tends to hold positions rather than frequently selling, with a sell percentage of 28%, suggesting a patient approach. Their badges such as "Sniper" and "Win Streak" imply a focus on precision and consistent short-term gains rather than high-frequency or high-risk speculation.

Little-Soot’s strengths include an exceptional win rate and a stable equity trajectory on Polymarket, which indicate disciplined trade selection and risk management. However, the zero profit factor and low Sharpe Ratio highlight potential concerns regarding the efficiency of returns relative to risk taken. Additionally, the current portfolio value of zero may signal a temporary pause or exit from active trading, which could affect future performance data.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+4,755
Lottery Player
36% entries <$0.20
Win Streak
47 wins in a row
Whale
$58,373
Consistent
54/55 days

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#112,682$30Vol: $79,106
CRYPTO#10,073$4,706Vol: $14,598
🎭 CULTURE#52,267$17Vol: $13,332
🌤️ WEATHER#52,133$1Vol: $557
SPORTS#474,372$0Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,755
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$163,569
Total Redeem
$29,435
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
216B / 83S
Daily Volume
$147
Account Age
234d
since Nov 29, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $142
All Time
$4,755
Vol: $163,569

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
82W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$4,755
Win Rate
98%
90W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$243
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,817 (99.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$8,583
Maduro out in 2025?$8,534
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$4,700
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$10
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 20$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 15?$1
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 13 to February 2$1

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.136
Sortino
inf
HHI
1105
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.374
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
64%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.1m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — typical for humanSize CV 3.27 — diverse, typical for human38% at night — bot never sleeps16/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.95 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
88 entries
<=2
89 entries
<=5
90 entries
<=10
90 entries
<=20
90 entries
<=50
91 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)63.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 19%

Other$21,857
New York City$0
Austin$0
Atlanta$0
Wellington$0
Tokyo$0
London$0
Moscow$0
Kuala Lumpur$0
Shanghai$0
Seattle$0
Hong Kong$0
Denver$0
Chicago$0
Seoul$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
84

Single bracket

<=1
78 brackets
<=2
82 brackets
<=3
84 brackets
<=4
84 brackets
<=5
84 brackets
<=8
84 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/29/2025, 8:54:35 AM1 trades$180 min
11/29/2025, 10:11:05 AM1 trades$4,7000 min
11/30/2025, 7:33:57 AM1 trades$180 min
12/3/2025, 3:09:33 AM5 trades$877 min
12/6/2025, 3:03:17 AM5 trades$633 min
12/8/2025, 8:41:51 AM16 trades$2,2437 min
12/8/2025, 8:56:13 AM3 trades$692 min
12/8/2025, 9:04:27 AM6 trades$2,2929 min
12/8/2025, 9:20:57 AM15 trades$6,73114 min
12/8/2025, 9:40:23 AM6 trades$1223 min
12/8/2025, 9:49:35 AM6 trades$8853 min
12/8/2025, 10:03:49 AM5 trades$1,1778 min
12/8/2025, 10:23:31 AM1 trades$3300 min
12/8/2025, 10:29:39 AM14 trades$48318 min
12/8/2025, 11:04:03 AM2 trades$1,7144 min
12/8/2025, 11:15:15 AM1 trades$1,4860 min
12/8/2025, 2:00:55 PM1 trades$1120 min
12/8/2025, 2:10:37 PM17 trades$4,94719 min
12/8/2025, 2:36:15 PM17 trades$3,4798 min
12/9/2025, 12:36:31 AM3 trades$8428 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-09
01-14
03-03
04-24
06-17
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
28.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event