Polydata

@Lively-Authenticity

#80875

0xb55fa1296e6ec55d0ce53d93b9237389f11764d4

18d· 11957 markets · 31026 tradesVol: $17,526,6512026-05-17T22:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 91%20/20
Profit Factor 0.00x0/15
Sharpe 1.54615/15
Sortino 43383848.17810/10
HHI 5410/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Lively-Authenticity is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #808 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $197,198.34. Over 18 days, they executed 31,026 trades across 335 markets, generating total volume exceeding $17.5 million. Their smart score of 75/100 and a Sharpe ratio of 1.55 indicate strong performance and risk-adjusted returns, backed by an equity trend showing consistent growth.

The trading style of Lively-Authenticity appears automated, as supported by an 80/100 bot score and a zero percent sell rate, suggesting a buy-and-hold or long-position bias. Despite a relatively low win rate of 16.8%, their strategy benefits from high trade volume and selective market exposure, possibly favoring high-volatility or contrarian markets. Their badges, including Sniper and Contrarian, imply precise entries and a willingness to trade against prevailing trends.

Lively-Authenticity’s key strengths lie in their disciplined automation, strong risk management with zero days of max drawdown duration, and consistent upward equity trend. However, the low win rate combined with a profit factor of 0.00 highlights potential vulnerability to market swings or occasional large losses. Traders monitoring Lively-Authenticity on Polymarket should consider both their proven profitability and the risks inherent in their high-frequency, bot-driven approach.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+197,198
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$1,397,457
Consistent
17/17 days
High Roller
$77,637/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#121$197,198Vol: $17,526,651

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$197,198
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,526,651
Total Redeem
$58,998
Portfolio
$26,525
Predictions
11957
total markets
Trades
31026B / 0S
Daily Volume
$77,637
Account Age
18d
since Apr 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$5,008
Vol: $521,151
Week
$82,001
Vol: $521,151
Month
$204,987
Vol: $17,102,326
All Time
$197,198
Vol: $17,526,651

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
266W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$737,806
Win Rate
17%
51W / 253L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$106
Avg Loss
$-5,207

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET$708
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$483
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$469
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$396
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$257
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET$246
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$227
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET$183
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$179
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$165

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$-30,298
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11AM ET$-19,287
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET$-15,289
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET$-14,819
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET$-13,285
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET$-13,206
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET$-11,966
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$-11,886
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET$-11,532
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$-11,333

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.546
Sortino
inf
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.957
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
6.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1849.0
Very active
Markets / Day
20.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
51s
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
24 min
Avg Trades / Session
72.1

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
59% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 2.26 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.47 — human randomness1849 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage303 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
92.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
9 entries
<=2
9 entries
<=5
15 entries
<=10
32 entries
<=20
58 entries
<=50
108 entries
>50
227 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.2%
Mid (20-55c)43.2%
High (>55c)38.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.4%

Other$-1,311,944

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
335

Single bracket

<=1
335 brackets
<=2
335 brackets
<=3
335 brackets
<=4
335 brackets
<=5
335 brackets
<=8
335 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 4:00:18 AM211 trades$11,50171 min
5/1/2026, 5:33:34 AM1 trades$220 min
5/1/2026, 5:42:58 AM4 trades$2335 min
5/1/2026, 6:05:20 AM13 trades$69725 min
5/1/2026, 6:35:20 AM129 trades$2,94085 min
5/1/2026, 10:00:42 AM148 trades$8,27159 min
5/1/2026, 11:45:26 AM151 trades$8,80714 min
5/1/2026, 3:01:36 PM4 trades$7513 min
5/1/2026, 3:12:20 PM299 trades$18,53646 min
5/4/2026, 3:13:44 PM1 trades$2900 min
5/4/2026, 3:19:54 PM21 trades$1,1873 min
5/4/2026, 3:29:46 PM1 trades$10 min
5/4/2026, 3:36:30 PM4 trades$8612 min
5/4/2026, 3:45:22 PM440 trades$38,69335 min
5/4/2026, 4:28:58 PM215 trades$12,04940 min
5/4/2026, 5:17:24 PM8 trades$4174 min
5/4/2026, 5:35:30 PM2 trades$210 min
5/4/2026, 5:51:42 PM18 trades$31310 min
5/4/2026, 6:20:12 PM1 trades$60 min
5/4/2026, 6:25:58 PM2 trades$253 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-04
05-06
05-08
05-10
05-12
05-14
05-16
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 92.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event