Polydata

@Lively-Authenticity

#32180

0xb55fa1296e6ec55d0ce53d93b9237389f11764d4

65d· 64376 markets · 16612 tradesVol: $58,099,9692026-07-04T16:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 10%0/20
Profit Factor 16.99x15/15
Sharpe 0.80115/15
Sortino 15.77810/10
EV $+13.74710/10
HHI 11510/10
Profit Days 84%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Lively-Authenticity is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #321 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $574,263.30. Over 65 days, they executed 16,612 trades across 3,362 markets, generating a total volume of over $58 million. Their Smart Score of 80/100 and a Profit Factor of 1.42 indicate consistent profitability, while a Sharpe Ratio of 0.80 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns. The trader maintains a stable equity trend with no recorded drawdown duration, reflecting effective risk management.

This trader predominantly employs an automated trading strategy, as indicated by a Bot Score of 70/100 and the absence of sell trades, showing a strong buy-and-hold or “diamond hands” approach. Lively-Authenticity trades a broad range of markets but avoids weather markets entirely, favoring diversified exposure. Their win rate of 55.2% combined with a contrarian and lottery player badge suggests a willingness to take calculated risks and capitalize on less conventional opportunities. The portfolio value remains stable, reinforcing a disciplined timing pattern without significant volatility.

Lively-Authenticity’s key strengths lie in their high volume, diversified market coverage, and disciplined automated strategy that balances risk and reward effectively. However, the zero sell percentage and flat equity trend could imply missed opportunities for profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing. Additionally, the reliance on bot-driven trading necessitates ongoing monitoring to adapt to shifting market conditions. Overall, Lively-Authenticity demonstrates skilled, data-driven trading on Polymarket but should remain vigilant to potential risks in execution and market shifts.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Profitable
PnL $+574,263
Lottery Player
57% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
88% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$109,412
Consistent
54/64 days
High Roller
$1,683/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#30$574,263Vol: $58,099,969

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$574,263
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,099,969
Total Redeem
$50,447
Portfolio
$14,749
Predictions
64376
total markets
Trades
16612B / 0S
Daily Volume
$1,683
Account Age
65d
since Apr 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$148
Vol: $293,017
Week
$32,334
Vol: $4,827,167
Month
$14,749
Vol: $2,647,684
All Time
$574,263
Vol: $58,099,969

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
10%
300W / 2692L events
Realized PnL
$868,859
Win Rate
55%
37W / 30L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$91
Avg Loss
$-79

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,307 (131.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$615
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$438
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$254
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11AM ET$252
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$223
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$186
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10AM ET$148
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$147
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$122
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$107

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-665
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-394
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-329
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-225
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$-127
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-110
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-97
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-71
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-39
Ethereum above 1,780 on July 4, 10AM ET?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.801
Sortino
15.778
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$13.747
Kelly %
23.4%
Half-Kelly
11.7%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
18.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
259.2
Very active
Markets / Day
52.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.70 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.34 — human randomness259 trades/day — automation52 markets/day — mass coverage3613 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
1135 entries
<=2
1710 entries
<=5
2592 entries
<=10
3050 entries
<=20
3264 entries
<=50
3336 entries
>50
26 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56.7%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)9.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 66.1%

Other$993

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
2799

Single bracket

<=1
2519 brackets
<=2
2657 brackets
<=3
2729 brackets
<=4
2761 brackets
<=5
2783 brackets
<=8
2795 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 3:04:18 PM1 trades$00 min
5/5/2026, 9:54:02 PM1 trades$10 min
5/8/2026, 2:00:58 PM1 trades$00 min
5/10/2026, 9:57:11 PM1 trades$00 min
5/12/2026, 6:00:42 PM1 trades$00 min
5/16/2026, 11:21:11 AM2 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 4:00:14 AM1 trades$00 min
5/18/2026, 9:06:06 PM1 trades$10 min
5/20/2026, 10:06:16 AM1 trades$10 min
5/21/2026, 3:15:20 PM1 trades$00 min
5/23/2026, 4:16:51 PM1 trades$10 min
5/25/2026, 6:02:15 AM1 trades$00 min
5/25/2026, 10:05:44 PM1 trades$00 min
5/29/2026, 12:34:46 PM1 trades$10 min
5/30/2026, 10:45:25 PM1 trades$10 min
5/31/2026, 5:56:48 PM1 trades$10 min
6/1/2026, 8:55:59 AM1 trades$10 min
6/1/2026, 11:17:59 AM1 trades$00 min
6/2/2026, 10:30:33 AM1 trades$00 min
6/2/2026, 11:01:04 AM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-12
05-22
06-01
06-11
06-21
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event