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Low-Futon

@Low-Futon

#2,722,25885

0xc21ea96be762bb55041529af6e386e7c53b80215

186d· 1619 markets · 116860 tradesVol: $122,292,855 @SkewDealer2026-05-16T02:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 61%15/20
Profit Factor 1.87x13/15
Sharpe 0.3537/15
Sortino 24.97010/10
EV $+2.43410/10
HHI 24210/10
Profit Days 87%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Low-Futon is a highly active Polymarket trader with over 116,000 trades across 331 markets and more than 523 days of activity. Despite a significant net loss of $54,145.47, their portfolio value stands at $85,295.97, reflecting ongoing engagement and capital allocation. Ranked #2,722,258 globally by net PnL, Low-Futon holds a strong Smart Score of 85/100, indicating solid trading skill, and has generated a total volume exceeding $122 million.

Low-Futon’s trading style is characterized by a high win rate of 75% and a profit factor of 2.38, suggesting effective risk management and selective market entry. Their strategy appears balanced with nearly equal buy and sell activity and no exposure to weather markets. The presence of badges like Sniper, Contrarian, and Hedger implies a preference for opportunistic trades, sometimes against prevailing trends, while Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) and hedging techniques help manage volatility. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.35 signals moderate risk-adjusted returns, consistent with a semi-automated approach blending bot and manual inputs.

Key strengths for Low-Futon include disciplined risk control, as evidenced by zero days of max drawdown duration and an upward equity trend. However, the substantial net loss despite high volume and win rate suggests potential challenges in scaling profits or occasional large losses. Traders following Low-Futon on Polymarket should consider both the demonstrated consistency and the notable drawdowns when evaluating this profile.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 61%
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 290.5 entries/market
Hedger
avg 6.6 brackets/event
Whale
$105,981
Consistent
60/69 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#938$48,065Vol: $65,679,629
SPORTS#1,646,838$-119,627Vol: $38,512,755
🎭 CULTURE#2,165$2,895Vol: $10,892,649
📈 ECONOMICS#1,494$2,275Vol: $4,758,242
💰 FINANCE#418$10,620Vol: $2,437,232
💻 TECH#831$1,627Vol: $12,349

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-54,145
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$122,292,855
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$85,296
Predictions
1619
total markets
Trades
60432B / 56428S
Daily Volume
$203
Account Age
186d
since Nov 19, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$95
Vol: $60,727
Week
$-38,937
Vol: $7,748,416
Month
$-148,915
Vol: $31,132,428
All Time
$-54,145
Vol: $122,292,855

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
96W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$215,368
Win Rate
75%
3W / 1L
Profit Factor
2.38x
Avg Win
$454
Avg Loss
$-574

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,363 (172.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$757
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$580
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 20$26

Top Losers

Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier $-574

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.353
Sortino
24.970
HHI
242
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.434
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.4%
Top-5 markets
21.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
685.7
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
16.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — typical for humanSize CV 16.52 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.85 — human randomness686 trades/day — automation660 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
290.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
15 entries
<=2
23 entries
<=5
30 entries
<=10
39 entries
<=20
49 entries
<=50
73 entries
>50
135 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 99.5%

Seattle$580
Other$210
Los Angeles$0
Mousavian$0
Seoul$0
Hatt$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
6.6
Events covered
50

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
15 brackets
<=2
24 brackets
<=3
30 brackets
<=4
31 brackets
<=5
33 brackets
<=8
36 brackets
>8
14 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/26/2025, 4:05:49 PM2 trades$693 min
12/4/2025, 11:56:07 AM1 trades$20 min
12/4/2025, 12:01:45 PM1 trades$320 min
12/4/2025, 1:01:33 PM2 trades$1165 min
12/4/2025, 7:37:17 PM1 trades$150 min
12/6/2025, 10:00:23 AM1 trades$390 min
12/6/2025, 10:11:01 AM1 trades$840 min
12/6/2025, 10:59:07 AM1 trades$10 min
12/14/2025, 6:37:01 PM1 trades$100 min
12/16/2025, 12:19:49 AM1 trades$2000 min
12/17/2025, 10:33:13 PM9 trades$311 min
12/17/2025, 10:57:19 PM1 trades$70 min
12/17/2025, 11:51:07 PM1 trades$980 min
12/18/2025, 12:57:26 AM1 trades$4070 min
12/18/2025, 2:12:14 AM3 trades$41 min
12/18/2025, 2:23:38 AM1 trades$00 min
12/18/2025, 5:35:00 AM1 trades$00 min
12/18/2025, 9:33:12 AM1 trades$350 min
12/18/2025, 10:01:46 AM1 trades$20 min
12/18/2025, 11:28:38 AM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-20
03-12
04-14
05-31
07-20
03-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 290.5/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 6.6 br/event