Polydata
Lucky-Soccer

@Lucky-Soccer

#81,89488

0xfbe6717a7b235417aaee2823aa5edd1a052b4a1b

107d· 156 markets · 355 tradesVol: $7,8462026-07-16T06:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 73%20/20
Profit Factor 7.49x15/15
Sharpe 0.3927/15
Sortino 6.08210/10
EV $+2.79110/10
HHI 13066/10
Profit Days 79%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Lucky-Soccer is an active Polymarket trader ranked #81894 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $972.07. Over 57 days, they have conducted 355 trades across 153 markets, generating a total volume of $7,846. Their Smart Score of 88/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent profitability and skill. The portfolio value stands at $629.62, with an upward equity trend and a moderate Sharpe Ratio of 0.39, indicating steady but not highly volatile returns.

This trader tends to favor a diverse range of markets, avoiding weather-related ones entirely, and shows a preference for a contrarian and sniper approach, as suggested by their badges. Lucky-Soccer maintains a balanced risk profile with a 61.9% win rate and a profit factor of 1.49, indicating more gains than losses. Their trading style appears timely and opportunistic, with a 29% sell rate and no prolonged drawdown periods, suggesting disciplined risk management and quick response to market shifts.

Lucky-Soccer’s strengths lie in their consistent upward equity trend, elite smart score, and diversified exposure across many markets, which reduces concentration risk. However, the relatively low Sharpe Ratio implies moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their Bot Score suggests manual trading, which may limit scalability. Overall, their performance on Polymarket highlights skillful, steady trading with room to optimize risk-return balance.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+972
Lottery Player
37% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
81% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Consistent
26/33 days
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

1
SPORTS#38,396$972Vol: $7,846

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$972
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,846
Total Redeem
$280
Portfolio
$630
Predictions
156
total markets
Trades
252B / 103S
Daily Volume
$29
Account Age
107d
since Mar 31, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$29
Vol: $132
Week
$510
Vol: $3,630
Month
$933
Vol: $7,274
All Time
$972
Vol: $7,846

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
85W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$691
Win Rate
62%
65W / 40L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $170 (108.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will FK Mornar Bar vs. Atlétic Club d'Escaldes end in a draw?$94
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-07-05?$53
Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër win on 2026-07-15?$23
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5$16
Will Wydad Athletic Club vs. UnionTouargaSports end in a draw?$14
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$14
Will FC Ballkani vs. Connah's Quay Nomads FC end in a draw?$14
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-17?$12
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-16?$12
Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2026-07-16?$11

Top Losers

Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK end in a draw?$-188
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$-10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?$-10
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5$-10
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)$-8
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)$-5
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)$-5
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$-5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-5
Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.392
Sortino
6.082
HHI
1306
Moderate
EV per $1
$2.791
Kelly %
18.2%
Half-Kelly
9.1%
Top-1 market
33%
Top-5 markets
56.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 918s — typical for humanSize CV 2.99 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.89 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
105 entries
<=2
130 entries
<=5
150 entries
<=10
151 entries
<=20
153 entries
<=50
153 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.3%
Mid (20-55c)54.8%
High (>55c)7.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 30.7%

Other$156
Atlanta$0
Wuhan$0
Jinmen Hu FC win$0
Beijing$0
Toronto$0
Miami$0
Los Angeles$0
Houston$0
Shanghai$-0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
121

Single bracket

<=1
101 brackets
<=2
115 brackets
<=3
118 brackets
<=4
119 brackets
<=5
120 brackets
<=8
121 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 6:02:47 AM1 trades$20 min
6/3/2026, 6:10:42 AM1 trades$50 min
6/3/2026, 1:20:59 PM1 trades$30 min
6/4/2026, 5:49:42 AM1 trades$120 min
6/17/2026, 6:26:53 PM1 trades$50 min
6/17/2026, 6:42:55 PM1 trades$50 min
6/17/2026, 8:27:49 PM1 trades$30 min
6/18/2026, 4:05:37 PM1 trades$30 min
6/19/2026, 7:53:31 PM1 trades$50 min
6/19/2026, 9:15:28 PM2 trades$104 min
6/21/2026, 12:54:17 PM2 trades$204 min
6/22/2026, 1:22:40 PM2 trades$153 min
6/22/2026, 1:32:05 PM3 trades$182 min
6/23/2026, 4:08:59 AM2 trades$240 min
6/23/2026, 4:19:50 PM1 trades$50 min
6/23/2026, 8:37:26 PM1 trades$80 min
6/24/2026, 7:58:34 PM2 trades$204 min
6/25/2026, 2:02:11 PM4 trades$265 min
6/26/2026, 3:42:22 AM2 trades$42 min
6/29/2026, 1:47:13 PM2 trades$104 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-30
06-20
06-25
07-05
07-10
07-16
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event