Polydata

@Lululololol

#3,058,0020

0x2dc244ba95ff7cdd2bf632c1c76fbce1233c1e51

~86d· 116 markets · 4181 tradesVol: $3,293,9602026-07-31 15:26:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (14/104)0/20
0.21x (win $12,803 / loss $60,343)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7060/15
Sortino -4.6790/10
$-0.2448 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2647 (104 markets)0/10
5/42 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 1646% of peak ($50,615 / $3,075)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Whale
$194,183 invested
High Roller
$1,367/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,193$-14,474Vol: $2,780,602
SPORTS#1,842,667$-1,527Vol: $309,037
💰 FINANCE#639,183$-179Vol: $48,162
🌤️ WEATHER#297,546$-1,786Vol: $34,965
CRYPTO#1,510,634$-156Vol: $4,858
📈 ECONOMICS#581,279$-6Vol: $2,886
🎭 CULTURE#758,726$-48Vol: $1,584
💻 TECH#218,690$-6Vol: $523

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,776
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,293,960
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
1467B / 2714S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,666
Vol: $338,992
All Time
$-14,776
Vol: $3,293,960

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
13%
14W / 90L events
Realized PnL
$-14,776
Win Rate
13%
14W / 90L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$915
Avg Loss
$-686

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,446 (0.8423097252837615% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$6,225
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$5,629
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$592
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$219
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$40

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-24,048
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-15,879
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,246
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-3,205
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$-2,585
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$-716
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$-652
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$-580
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-431
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?$-374

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.243
Sortino
-0.239
HHI
1795
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.258
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.4%
Top-5 markets
74.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 3.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
34.58
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.8%
Mid (20-55c)8.6%
High (>55c)26.7%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 7:45:13 PM40 trades$51,7483 min
5/8/2026, 10:05:27 PM114 trades$48,2964 min
5/21/2026, 6:33:06 PM33 trades$47,6000 min
5/7/2026, 4:54:04 PM20 trades$42,2633 min
5/19/2026, 7:18:24 PM24 trades$29,9020 min
4/7/2026, 5:21:41 PM29 trades$29,7931 min
5/10/2026, 5:56:49 PM4 trades$28,0170 min
5/26/2026, 6:09:36 PM13 trades$27,3163 min
5/7/2026, 4:22:17 PM24 trades$24,3702 min
5/23/2026, 7:02:32 PM79 trades$23,2340 min
5/30/2026, 10:14:28 AM4 trades$22,0001 min
7/3/2026, 11:02:32 PM11 trades$21,6790 min
7/7/2026, 12:20:22 PM5 trades$20,4831 min
5/24/2026, 9:25:58 AM85 trades$20,2250 min
4/7/2026, 4:19:17 PM60 trades$19,9373 min
5/16/2026, 4:12:30 PM92 trades$19,8461 min
3/31/2026, 8:06:09 PM23 trades$19,5437 min
6/7/2026, 3:26:00 AM82 trades$19,1563 min
4/11/2026, 2:04:51 PM59 trades$19,0852 min
4/11/2026, 9:41:41 PM27 trades$16,8111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
03-15
03-25
04-07
04-30
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 132 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34.58/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.8 / M8.6 / H26.7