Polydata
Lzaruss

@Lzaruss

#2,740,26191

0x0604c0752be439aa26521f93ac11873f7d876dfe

60d· 649 markets · 1906 tradesVol: $15,6932026-07-08T13:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 5.24x15/15
Sharpe 0.3106/15
Sortino 15940.48210/10
EV $+0.28510/10
HHI 4310/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Lzaruss is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 1,906 trades spanning 518 markets over 55 days. Despite a net PnL of -$375.52 and a current portfolio value of zero, Lzaruss holds an elite Smart Score of 91/100, indicating strong analytical skills. Ranked #2,740,261 globally by PnL, their total trading volume is $15,693, reflecting consistent engagement rather than large-scale profitability.

The trader’s style is characterized by a focus on weather markets, which comprise 27% of their trades, and a relatively low sell percentage of 28%, suggesting a preference for holding positions. Lzaruss exhibits a high win rate of 80.3% and a profit factor of 5.24, signaling a selective and risk-managed approach. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.31 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the flat equity trend and zero max drawdown duration imply stable performance without significant volatility. The semi-bot score of 45/100 indicates a hybrid strategy combining automated and manual trading.

Lzaruss’s strengths lie in consistency, evidenced by badges like “Consistent” and “Win Streak,” and a cool-headed contrarian approach. However, the negative net PnL and flat portfolio value highlight challenges in turning high win rates into overall profitability. The combination of a moderate Sharpe ratio and a low bot score suggests potential room for improvement in risk control and automation. Overall, Lzaruss demonstrates disciplined trading on Polymarket but faces hurdles in scaling gains.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Contrarian
70% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
90 wins in a row
Consistent
39/40 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,511,042$-249Vol: $12,324
🌤️ WEATHER#279,575$-126Vol: $3,354
SPORTS#978,534$-1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-376
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,693
Total Redeem
$1,466
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
649
total markets
Trades
1365B / 541S
Daily Volume
$60
Account Age
60d
since May 11, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $31
Month
$3
Vol: $76
All Time
$-376
Vol: $15,693

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
241W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$995
Win Rate
80%
228W / 56L
Profit Factor
5.24x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $147 (23.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$88
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$33
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$19
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$15

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$-5
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-5
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.310
Sortino
inf
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.285
Kelly %
70.8%
Half-Kelly
35.4%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.5
Active
Markets / Day
9.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
28.9m
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 26s — typical for humanSize CV 1.12 — diverse, typical for human48% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness34 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.6
Moderate DCA
<=1
306 entries
<=2
373 entries
<=5
442 entries
<=10
502 entries
<=20
518 entries
<=50
518 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.1%
Mid (20-55c)57.7%
High (>55c)25.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 59.4%

Other$552
Seoul$29
Los Angeles$8
Buenos Aires$7
New York City$6
Shenzhen$4
Toronto$3
Dallas$3
Sao Paulo$3
Houston$3
Chicago$3
Ankara$2
Atlanta$2
Miami$2
Tel Aviv$2
Hong Kong$2
Munich$2
Warsaw$2

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
481

Single bracket

<=1
454 brackets
<=2
475 brackets
<=3
479 brackets
<=4
479 brackets
<=5
481 brackets
<=8
481 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 5:16:31 PM4 trades$814 min
5/12/2026, 6:33:18 PM1 trades$20 min
5/12/2026, 7:33:18 PM1 trades$20 min
5/12/2026, 8:34:17 PM3 trades$65 min
5/13/2026, 11:11:55 AM1 trades$20 min
5/14/2026, 11:42:54 AM3 trades$62 min
5/14/2026, 11:53:49 AM13 trades$131 min
5/14/2026, 1:57:50 PM4 trades$40 min
5/15/2026, 10:54:25 AM2 trades$20 min
5/15/2026, 2:21:34 PM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2026, 3:19:06 PM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2026, 4:58:37 PM2 trades$20 min
5/15/2026, 6:10:47 PM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2026, 7:12:25 PM3 trades$30 min
5/15/2026, 7:57:44 PM2 trades$20 min
5/15/2026, 11:20:06 PM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 3:36:44 AM1 trades$120 min
5/16/2026, 12:50:14 PM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 1:05:45 PM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 2:05:44 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
05-19
05-25
05-31
06-08
06-21
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
26.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event