@Makesmesicktomystomach
#3,058,802150x49ebd7ba46eca5e7a7336027d7b46792bf39cf37
~38d· 28 markets · 4160 tradesVol: $2,202,1572026-07-31 15:30:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (11/24)7.9/20
0.38x (win $58,321 / loss $151,983)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5860/15
Sortino -5.8440/10
$-0.1941 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1374 (24 markets)5.6/10
7/20 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 2456% of peak ($127,814 / $5,204)0/10
Badges
5DCA Master
Avg 164.4 entries/market
Whale
$482,522 invested
High Roller
$4,468/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,183$41,801Vol: $1,323,622
⚽ SPORTS#1,873,217$-7,743Vol: $342,510
📈 ECONOMICS#683,755$-44,842Vol: $338,757
🌤️ WEATHER#298,196$-5,206Vol: $197,268
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-15,990
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,202,157
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
3256B / 904S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
Periods
#2Week
$-545
Vol: $121,197
Month
$-38,969
Vol: $563,570
All Time
$-15,990
Vol: $2,202,157
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
46%
11W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-15,990
Win Rate
46%
11W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$5,302
Avg Loss
$-11,691
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45,173 (2.82511122701819% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$23,348
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$16,905
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$4,920
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$4,093
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$3,198
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$1,530
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$1,500
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$1,342
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1,333
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?$102
Top Losers
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-53,721
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-29,509
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-20,849
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17,065
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11,305
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-7,782
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-7,766
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-2,494
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-544
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$-479
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.285
Sortino
-0.295
HHI
1072
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.229
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.7%
Top-5 markets
60.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
38.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.9m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
68.2
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
81% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 8.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency0.3 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
164.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.9%
High (>55c)86.4%
Sessions
#124/18/2026, 7:20:28 PM119 trades$214,3230 min
7/1/2026, 7:38:46 PM41 trades$111,8403 min
4/17/2026, 2:17:08 PM42 trades$68,6111 min
6/15/2026, 2:51:09 PM23 trades$60,53626 min
4/15/2026, 11:03:44 AM41 trades$58,1190 min
5/5/2026, 11:04:38 PM60 trades$56,0243 min
6/15/2026, 9:08:31 PM32 trades$46,1354 min
6/29/2026, 7:46:19 PM3 trades$44,5480 min
4/17/2026, 8:41:36 AM19 trades$42,5580 min
4/16/2026, 7:51:02 PM18 trades$34,6372 min
5/18/2026, 7:03:27 PM90 trades$27,43223 min
7/10/2026, 5:38:14 AM15 trades$26,4990 min
4/16/2026, 6:37:46 AM30 trades$25,8660 min
7/5/2026, 4:41:16 PM27 trades$25,5740 min
5/12/2026, 2:02:31 PM9 trades$21,1131 min
7/10/2026, 5:46:56 AM2 trades$21,0000 min
4/14/2026, 6:21:02 PM20 trades$19,6750 min
7/5/2026, 9:45:56 PM26 trades$18,1780 min
5/20/2026, 9:36:50 PM19 trades$15,3661 min
5/21/2026, 7:32:21 PM1049 trades$14,730106 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
04-25
05-09
05-21
06-16
06-27
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 73 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 164.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.7 / M10.9 / H86.4