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Mealy-Itinerary

@Mealy-Itinerary

#4,41530

0xb77b6ef359f02192fb077227499f9f853d4870a5

186d· 6635 markets · 4995 tradesVol: $24,992,6682026-06-27T03:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.01x0/15
HHI 4310/10
Profit Days 24%0/10
DD/Peak 3447793%0/10

Summary

Mealy-Itinerary is an active Polymarket trader ranked #4415 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $35,222.01 over 170 days. They have executed 4,995 trades across 1,439 markets, generating a total volume of nearly $25 million. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 30/100, Mealy-Itinerary maintains an upward equity trend and holds a portfolio valued at $3,118.95.

The trader’s strategy appears focused on high-volume, high-frequency trading with a strong preference for holding positions, as indicated by a low sell percentage of 2% and absence of weather market trades. Mealy-Itinerary exhibits a high win rate of 84.2%, suggesting effective timing and market selection, but a low profit factor of 0.01 and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.90) indicate riskier returns and volatility. Their badges such as Sniper and Diamond Hands imply a style that combines precise entry points with patience.

Key strengths for Mealy-Itinerary include consistent winning trades and an upward portfolio trend, which reflect solid execution on Polymarket. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and low profit factor raise concerns about risk management and sustainable profitability. The trader’s likely human-driven approach may limit algorithmic efficiency but supports adaptive decision-making in dynamic markets.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+35,222
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Win Streak
1204 wins in a row
Whale
$5,277,439
High Roller
$31,044/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,034$37,489Vol: $19,927,720
SPORTS#120,970$85Vol: $2,110,184

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$35,222
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,992,668
Total Redeem
$1,064,112
Portfolio
$3,119
Predictions
6635
total markets
Trades
4876B / 119S
Daily Volume
$31,044
Account Age
186d
since Jan 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $3,935
Week
$568
Vol: $321,409
Month
$3,757
Vol: $1,066,941
All Time
$35,222
Vol: $24,992,668

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
252W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$44,716
Win Rate
84%
1207W / 226L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-18,269

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$12,015
Ethereum above 1,540 on June 25, 1AM ET?$6,002
Bitcoin above 69,000 on June 2, 9AM ET?$1,259
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 2?$1,140
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$270
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$225
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$168
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 10?$147
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$76

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 2AM ET$-43,052
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-30,969
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11AM ET$-30,969
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-30,690
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$-28,971
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$-28,971
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$-28,971
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET$-28,971
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$-28,971
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-28,971

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.902
Sortino
-0.922
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.779
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.7
Active
Markets / Day
9.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
40.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 30s — typical for humanSize CV 3.84 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness32 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.4
Moderate DCA
<=1
1164 entries
<=2
1259 entries
<=5
1325 entries
<=10
1365 entries
<=20
1396 entries
<=50
1419 entries
>50
20 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)99.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.2%

São Paulo$-973
Madrid$-13,860
Miami$-15,912
Up or Down$-114,022
Other$-3,961,041

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
990

Single bracket

<=1
790 brackets
<=2
894 brackets
<=3
936 brackets
<=4
956 brackets
<=5
969 brackets
<=8
981 brackets
>8
9 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/20/2026, 12:45:40 PM195 trades$39,96096 min
1/20/2026, 4:59:50 PM1 trades$500 min
1/20/2026, 5:05:52 PM8 trades$9,3046 min
1/20/2026, 5:19:22 PM9 trades$2,86613 min
1/20/2026, 5:38:24 PM5 trades$2,7526 min
1/21/2026, 9:07:40 AM3 trades$6948 min
1/21/2026, 9:21:14 AM11 trades$11,69211 min
1/21/2026, 9:41:12 AM6 trades$1,19910 min
1/21/2026, 10:00:44 AM3 trades$232 min
1/21/2026, 10:11:14 AM3 trades$315 min
1/21/2026, 3:39:20 PM3 trades$1,0181 min
1/21/2026, 3:47:10 PM19 trades$23521 min
1/21/2026, 4:18:42 PM1 trades$10 min
1/21/2026, 4:24:12 PM2 trades$64 min
1/21/2026, 4:46:06 PM3 trades$1,3084 min
1/21/2026, 5:04:06 PM2 trades$4260 min
1/21/2026, 5:19:52 PM1 trades$3100 min
1/21/2026, 5:30:44 PM2 trades$723 min
1/21/2026, 5:40:36 PM1 trades$1430 min
1/21/2026, 5:48:40 PM1 trades$1,3850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
02-26
03-21
04-09
05-01
06-04
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event