Polydata
Data is 9 days old — refreshing in background...
Mealy-Itinerary

@Mealy-Itinerary

#4,68530

0xb77b6ef359f02192fb077227499f9f853d4870a5

132d· 4835 markets · 5495 tradesVol: $23,067,1282026-05-12T22:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.00x0/15
HHI 3910/10
Profit Days 16%0/10

Summary

Mealy-Itinerary is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 5,495 trades executed across 738 markets over 126 days. Ranked #4685 globally by net PnL, they have generated a net profit of $28,354.92 on a total trading volume exceeding $23 million. Despite this sizeable profit, their portfolio value currently stands at $6,689.21, reflecting some realized losses or withdrawals. Their smart score is below average at 30/100, indicating room for improvement in trade selection or timing.

The trader’s style appears to lean towards frequent trading with a semi-automated approach, as indicated by a 45/100 bot score suggesting a mix of manual and algorithmic strategies. Mealy-Itinerary focuses on a broad array of markets but does not engage in weather markets and avoids selling short positions, shown by a 0% sell percentage. Their 68.8% win rate suggests relatively consistent success, yet a negative Sharpe ratio (-1.08) and zero profit factor imply that risk-adjusted returns and profitability per dollar risked may be suboptimal. The equity trend is upward, signaling growth despite volatility.

Mealy-Itinerary’s strengths include a high win rate and a strong upward equity trend, supported by badges that highlight precision and holding power. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and below-average smart score point to potential risk management issues or inconsistent trade quality. The absence of short selling and a zero max drawdown duration suggest a conservative downside approach but also possible missed opportunities. Overall, Mealy-Itinerary shows promising profitability on Polymarket but may benefit from refining risk controls and strategy efficiency.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+28,355
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 7.4 entries/market
Win Streak
500 wins in a row
Whale
$6,012,167
High Roller
$47,716/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,277$27,930Vol: $18,087,676
SPORTS#53,547$425Vol: $4,979,452

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$28,355
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,067,128
Total Redeem
$1,327,691
Portfolio
$6,689
Predictions
4835
total markets
Trades
5491B / 4S
Daily Volume
$47,716
Account Age
132d
since Jan 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$129
Vol: $40,493
Week
$191
Vol: $247,618
Month
$-21,935
Vol: $955,313
All Time
$28,355
Vol: $23,067,128

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
252W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$37,949
Win Rate
69%
501W / 227L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-20,393

Top Winners

Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever$4,002
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2,532
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1,019
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$1,010
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$508
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$449
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports$408
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET$197
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$168
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger Le$131

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 2AM ET$-43,052
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-30,969
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11AM ET$-30,969
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-30,690
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$-28,971
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$-28,971
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$-28,971
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET$-28,971
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$-28,971
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-28,971

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.081
Sortino
-1.126
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.772
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.3
Very active
Markets / Day
6.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
26.0m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — typical for humanSize CV 3.63 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.99 — human randomness50 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.4
Active DCA
<=1
350 entries
<=2
432 entries
<=5
525 entries
<=10
602 entries
<=20
674 entries
<=50
720 entries
>50
18 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.5%

Dallas$4,002
Atlanta$6
Seattle$0
São Paulo$-973
Madrid$-13,392
Miami$-15,912
Up or Down$-86,458
Other$-4,503,985

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
675

Single bracket

<=1
637 brackets
<=2
661 brackets
<=3
669 brackets
<=4
672 brackets
<=5
673 brackets
<=8
675 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/23/2026, 5:39:48 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/23/2026, 7:14:30 PM36 trades$49,95011 min
1/23/2026, 10:00:54 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/23/2026, 10:30:22 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/24/2026, 1:06:46 AM34 trades$24,9753 min
1/24/2026, 8:00:54 AM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/24/2026, 3:00:22 PM10 trades$24,9750 min
1/24/2026, 4:01:08 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/24/2026, 7:31:34 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/24/2026, 10:45:30 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/24/2026, 11:15:42 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/25/2026, 1:03:16 AM26 trades$23,9761 min
1/25/2026, 3:30:06 PM4 trades$24,9750 min
1/25/2026, 5:45:22 PM29 trades$45,9541 min
1/25/2026, 6:16:10 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/25/2026, 8:16:26 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/25/2026, 10:16:34 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/25/2026, 10:31:14 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
1/26/2026, 12:08:04 AM32 trades$49,9508 min
1/26/2026, 4:00:36 AM1 trades$24,9750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-23
03-10
03-28
04-12
04-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event