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@Medical-Reflection

#2,220,47218

0x82b69cf9f33f5bc7411c3a1740f88e1f7bbb57be

75d· 82 markets · 129 tradesVol: $38,3522026-05-12T21:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 39%5/20
Profit Factor 0.98x2/15
HHI 19410/10
Profit Days 33%1/10
DD/Peak 135%0/10

Summary

Medical-Reflection is a relatively new and active trader on Polymarket, with 129 trades executed across 82 markets over 34 days. Despite a high win rate of 70.5% and a strong profit factor of 3.64, Medical-Reflection’s overall net PnL stands at -$82.97, placing them at rank #2,220,472 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently zero, and their equity trend is downward, reflecting recent losses.

This trader appears to adopt a contrarian style, as indicated by their top badge, and tends to avoid weather markets entirely. Medical-Reflection shows a moderate risk profile with a 32% sell rate but has not experienced prolonged drawdowns, maintaining a max drawdown duration of zero days. Their trading frequency suggests a preference for short-term opportunities, although their Sharpe ratio of -0.01 implies limited risk-adjusted returns.

Medical-Reflection’s strengths include a high win rate and the ability to maintain short drawdowns, which could indicate disciplined trade management. However, the negative net PnL and declining equity trend highlight potential issues with trade sizing or market selection. As a beginner-level trader with a low Smart Score of 18/100, Medical-Reflection may benefit from refining their strategy to improve profitability on Polymarket.

Badges

2
Contrarian
66% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
22 wins in a row

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#135,629$57Vol: $38,078
₿ CRYPTO#1,352,495$-140Vol: $275

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-83
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,352
Total Redeem
$612
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
88B / 41S
Daily Volume
$253
Account Age
75d
since Mar 6, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-147
Vol: $1,096
Month
$-202
Vol: $7,061
All Time
$-83
Vol: $38,352

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
41%
28W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$3,600
Win Rate
70%
31W / 13L
Profit Factor
3.64x
Avg Win
$148
Avg Loss
$-97

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,205 (36.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?$459
Warriors vs. Clippers$415
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez$331
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-15?$327
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?$289
Hornets vs. Magic$271
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanch$208
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$197
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-15?$193
Tallahassee: Oliver Crawford vs Jack Kennedy$167

Top Losers

Spread: Clippers (-3.5)$-346
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veron$-198
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?$-196
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$-135
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5$-76
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5$-56
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-49
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-49
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)$-35
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.014
Sortino
-0.018
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
51.6%
Half-Kelly
25.8%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
19%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.1m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 556s — typical for humanSize CV 0.82 — diverse, typical for human34% at night — bot never sleeps18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.80 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
76 entries
<=2
82 entries
<=5
82 entries
<=10
82 entries
<=20
82 entries
<=50
82 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.2%
Mid (20-55c)58%
High (>55c)23.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 83%

Other$3,110
São Paulo$214
Chicago$0
San Francisco$0
Paris$0
Atlanta$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
69

Single bracket

<=1
57 brackets
<=2
68 brackets
<=3
69 brackets
<=4
69 brackets
<=5
69 brackets
<=8
69 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 3:47:39 AM1 trades$1470 min
4/9/2026, 4:19:07 AM1 trades$2800 min
4/9/2026, 5:58:13 AM8 trades$2765 min
4/9/2026, 7:06:01 AM1 trades$450 min
4/9/2026, 4:19:03 PM1 trades$1350 min
4/13/2026, 2:22:43 AM1 trades$3460 min
4/15/2026, 10:38:46 PM1 trades$980 min
4/16/2026, 12:20:00 AM1 trades$4240 min
4/16/2026, 1:17:02 AM2 trades$540 min
4/16/2026, 2:32:52 AM1 trades$2270 min
4/16/2026, 2:48:04 AM1 trades$980 min
4/16/2026, 4:49:14 AM1 trades$5130 min
4/16/2026, 3:38:14 PM1 trades$1980 min
4/16/2026, 4:48:44 PM1 trades$2460 min
4/16/2026, 5:25:44 PM1 trades$1910 min
4/16/2026, 5:39:32 PM1 trades$340 min
4/16/2026, 6:13:16 PM1 trades$980 min
4/16/2026, 6:45:26 PM3 trades$5032 min
4/16/2026, 6:56:56 PM1 trades$1080 min
4/16/2026, 7:25:12 PM1 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
04-16
04-19
04-24
05-06
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event