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@Merry-Pressurisation

#2,408,41694

0xec87cb382fd131f2af9abf11840752df74fd43f9

368d· 491 markets · 1528 tradesVol: $84,3582026-06-26T12:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 91%20/20
Profit Factor 317.48x15/15
Sharpe 1.03915/15
Sortino 17376.23510/10
EV $+0.0824/10
HHI 10310/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Merry-Pressurisation is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2,408,416 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net loss of $94.42 despite a high total trading volume of $84,358 over 1,528 trades across 411 markets. With 102 days of activity and a Smart Score of 94/100, this trader is classified as elite, showing a consistent upward equity trend and maintaining a Sharpe Ratio of 1.04. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, indicating full liquidation or withdrawal of capital.

This trader specializes exclusively in weather markets, demonstrating a focused trading strategy. With a very low sell percentage of 5%, Merry-Pressurisation exhibits a strong buy-and-hold approach consistent with the Diamond Hands badge. The trader’s win rate is exceptionally high at 99.1%, supported by a profit factor of 317.48, signaling highly profitable outcomes on winning trades. The short max drawdown duration of zero days suggests disciplined risk management, and their trading style aligns with a sniper approach, timing entries precisely.

Merry-Pressurisation’s key strengths include consistency, a high success rate, and a clear niche focus on weather markets, which likely contributes to their elite Smart Score. However, the net PnL loss and portfolio depletion raise concerns about capital preservation despite frequent wins. The low Bot Score indicates human-like behavior, possibly limiting automated strategy scalability. Traders observing Merry-Pressurisation on Polymarket should consider these factors when evaluating their approach.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 91%
Diamond Hands
5% sell
Weather Pro
100% weather
Win Streak
261 wins in a row
Consistent
90/90 days

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#272,306$-97Vol: $84,287
📈 ECONOMICS#52,937$5Vol: $66

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-94
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$84,358
Total Redeem
$9,140
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
491
total markets
Trades
1453B / 75S
Daily Volume
$199
Account Age
368d
since Jul 2, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $1
Week
$13
Vol: $5,747
Month
$-305
Vol: $21,581
All Time
$-94
Vol: $84,358

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
92%
190W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$1,423
Win Rate
99%
343W / 3L
Profit Factor
317.48x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $132 (8.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 7?$48
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May$46
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 2$39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?$32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F $25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?$24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May$23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?$22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?$21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on Jun$20

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on Jun$-3
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May$-1
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May $-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.039
Sortino
inf
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.082
Kelly %
98.8%
Half-Kelly
49.4%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
10.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
49s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 49s — typical for humanSize CV 0.73 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.06 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA
<=1
248 entries
<=2
290 entries
<=5
330 entries
<=10
374 entries
<=20
399 entries
<=50
411 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)98.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.6%

Atlanta$577
Hong Kong$312
New York City$157
Miami$134
Seattle$76
Austin$60
Denver$56
Los Angeles$53
Houston$53
Chicago$52
Dallas$28
Other$5
San Francisco$1

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
288

Single bracket

<=1
187 brackets
<=2
268 brackets
<=3
286 brackets
<=4
288 brackets
<=5
288 brackets
<=8
288 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/15/2026, 3:24:03 PM1 trades$20 min
3/16/2026, 5:29:45 AM1 trades$10 min
3/16/2026, 5:52:49 PM1 trades$10 min
3/17/2026, 3:20:53 PM1 trades$20 min
3/17/2026, 4:41:49 PM1 trades$10 min
3/18/2026, 3:33:25 PM1 trades$10 min
3/20/2026, 1:44:31 PM1 trades$30 min
3/21/2026, 9:02:37 PM1 trades$10 min
3/24/2026, 4:04:45 AM9 trades$131 min
3/24/2026, 5:57:09 AM1 trades$10 min
3/24/2026, 7:53:49 AM2 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 9:37:45 AM1 trades$20 min
3/24/2026, 10:14:01 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 12:58:11 PM1 trades$20 min
3/24/2026, 2:23:45 PM1 trades$10 min
3/25/2026, 7:37:31 AM2 trades$50 min
3/25/2026, 8:13:41 AM2 trades$30 min
3/25/2026, 9:15:25 AM2 trades$40 min
3/25/2026, 1:23:17 PM1 trades$20 min
3/25/2026, 1:36:25 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
04-07
04-22
05-07
05-25
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
99.5% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event