Polydata

@Metallic-Container

#17580

0x9b1e0334569aa1768a07705a859686aad58e82c9

46d· 200 markets · 247 tradesVol: $4,174,3562026-05-19T04:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 49%9/20
Profit Factor 2.39x15/15
Sharpe 0.3667/15
Sortino 0.8879/10
EV $+7.79310/10
HHI 31710/10
Profit Days 73%10/10
DD/Peak 7%10/10

Summary

Metallic-Container is a highly active manual trader on Polymarket, ranking #175 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $779,294.52. Over 65 days, they executed 247 trades across 200 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $4.17 million. Their portfolio value stands at $322,419.35, supported by a smart score of 80/100, indicating strong overall trading performance.

The trader favors a broad range of markets but avoids weather-related ones entirely. With a win rate of 47.7% and a profit factor near 2, Metallic-Container employs a contrarian and diamond hands style, holding positions with low sell frequency (6%). Their Sharpe ratio of 0.37 and zero max drawdown duration suggest moderate risk-taking and disciplined risk management. The trader’s timing appears steady rather than opportunistic, maintaining a flat equity trend over time.

Metallic-Container’s key strengths include consistent profitability, a well-balanced risk profile, and the ability to sustain winning streaks on Polymarket. However, their relatively low Sharpe ratio and win rate below 50% highlight potential vulnerabilities during volatile periods. The flat equity trend also suggests limited portfolio growth momentum despite strong profit generation.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+779,295
Contrarian
84% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
6% sell
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$1,488,673
Consistent
36/49 days
High Roller
$22,903/day
Cool Head
DD 7%

Categories

2
SPORTS#97$779,305Vol: $4,174,331
CRYPTO#1,058,702$-10Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$779,295
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,174,356
Total Redeem
$1,922,922
Portfolio
$322,419
Predictions
200
total markets
Trades
232B / 15S
Daily Volume
$22,903
Account Age
46d
since Apr 4, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$221,801
Vol: $645,161
Week
$223,194
Vol: $1,575,093
Month
$723,399
Vol: $3,701,284
All Time
$779,295
Vol: $4,174,356

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
49%
95W / 100L events
Realized PnL
$556,895
Win Rate
48%
95W / 103L
Profit Factor
1.99x
Avg Win
$11,750
Avg Loss
$-5,438

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $370,344 (66.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$174,977
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$110,241
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$85,126
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?$72,137
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$51,111
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$50,051
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?$49,091
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?$46,667
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?$42,500
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?$36,556

Top Losers

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$-100,000
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$-60,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$-51,000
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?$-50,000
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?$-30,000
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$-25,000
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-20,000
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?$-20,000
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-15,000
76ers vs. Celtics$-10,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.366
Sortino
0.887
HHI
317
Diversified
EV per $1
$7.793
Kelly %
9.5%
Half-Kelly
4.7%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
30.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7409s — typical for humanSize CV 2.36 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.98 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
176 entries
<=2
195 entries
<=5
200 entries
<=10
200 entries
<=20
200 entries
<=50
200 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)89.2%
High (>55c)7.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 23%

Other$516,515
Milan$25,698
Chicago$14,651
Madrid$8,162
Houston$481
Toronto$-100
Atlanta$-295
Seattle$-393
San Francisco$-1,775
Miami$-2,953
Los Angeles$-3,821

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
196

Single bracket

<=1
192 brackets
<=2
196 brackets
<=3
196 brackets
<=4
196 brackets
<=5
196 brackets
<=8
196 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 1:43:53 PM1 trades$510 min
4/4/2026, 9:49:37 PM1 trades$980 min
4/5/2026, 1:57:59 AM1 trades$490 min
4/5/2026, 2:24:41 AM1 trades$490 min
4/5/2026, 1:01:47 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/5/2026, 5:16:47 PM2 trades$1482 min
4/5/2026, 11:58:29 PM1 trades$970 min
4/6/2026, 2:59:51 AM1 trades$1970 min
4/6/2026, 3:42:09 PM2 trades$1753 min
4/6/2026, 4:43:01 PM1 trades$1050 min
4/6/2026, 6:01:27 PM1 trades$980 min
4/6/2026, 6:28:51 PM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 6:36:19 PM2 trades$2492 min
4/6/2026, 10:26:45 PM1 trades$3140 min
4/6/2026, 10:41:27 PM1 trades$490 min
4/6/2026, 10:48:53 PM1 trades$980 min
4/7/2026, 12:08:39 AM1 trades$1110 min
4/7/2026, 1:40:35 AM1 trades$70 min
4/7/2026, 5:31:01 PM1 trades$2080 min
4/7/2026, 10:53:05 PM1 trades$5070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-12
04-20
04-28
05-06
05-15
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event