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@Milky-Living

#2,38010

0xc49fe658479db29e1a2fefebf0735f657dca9e05

179d· 2545 markets · 18532 tradesVol: $19,185,857 @juzzbucket572026-06-30T09:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 17%0/20
Profit Factor 0.38x0/15
HHI 1310/10
Profit Days 7%0/10

Summary

Milky-Living is an active trader on Polymarket with a full year of activity and a total of 18,532 trades across 1,376 markets. Despite a modest global PnL rank of #2380, they have generated a net profit of $71,693.66 on a substantial trading volume of over $19 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $2,709.53, reflecting consistent engagement but a relatively small capital base. The trader holds a beginner-level Smart Score of 10/100 but maintains a semi-automated approach with a Bot Score of 55/100.

Milky-Living’s strategy appears to emphasize a high win rate of 88.1% combined with a strong profit factor of 2.60, suggesting a low-risk, steady-return style. The trader avoids weather markets entirely and does not engage in selling positions, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than short-term flips. Their badges, including “Diamond Hands” and “DCA Master,” point to a disciplined approach focused on averaging down and sustaining trades over time. The negative Sharpe ratio (-0.81) and zero max drawdown duration suggest that while returns are consistent, volatility and risk-adjusted performance may be suboptimal.

The main strengths of Milky-Living lie in their disciplined, high-frequency trading and ability to maintain a strong equity growth trend. However, the low Smart Score and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential weaknesses in risk management and market timing. Their reliance on semi-automated trading could be an advantage if optimized but also a risk if not properly monitored. Overall, Milky-Living demonstrates promise on Polymarket but may benefit from refining their strategy to improve risk-adjusted returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+71,694
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 13.5 entries/market
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
Whale
$4,572,575
High Roller
$12,493/day

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,774,747$-48,065Vol: $14,256,530
🏛️ POLITICS#1,357,016$-21Vol: $439
🎭 CULTURE#485,219$-1Vol: $94
📢 MENTIONS#135,136$-19Vol: $60
CRYPTO#363,209$2Vol: $11
💻 TECH#193,974$-2Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$71,694
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,185,857
Total Redeem
$703,766
Portfolio
$2,710
Predictions
2545
total markets
Trades
18528B / 4S
Daily Volume
$12,493
Account Age
179d
since Jan 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-100
Vol: $0
Week
$-337
Vol: $0
Month
$-40,496
Vol: $414,705
All Time
$71,694
Vol: $19,185,857

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
17%
217W / 1071L events
Realized PnL
$1,536,082
Win Rate
88%
96W / 13L
Profit Factor
2.6x
Avg Win
$3,001
Avg Loss
$-8,508

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,521 (11.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup K$7,500
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Gr$7,036
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta$5,985
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$5,700
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playo$5,565
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playof$5,292
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$5,260
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters L$5,000
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$4,320
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playo$4,080

Top Losers

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?$-22,554
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?$-20,573
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?$-15,720
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-21?$-12,921
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?$-11,660
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?$-10,038
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?$-6,691
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Gro$-4,170
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Cha$-3,600
Birmingham: James Duckworth vs Billy Harris$-1,230

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.814
Sortino
-0.849
HHI
13
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.623
Kelly %
77.3%
Half-Kelly
38.6%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
114.5
Very active
Markets / Day
8.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.7m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 24s — typical for humanSize CV 3.33 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.12 — human randomness115 trades/day — automation1516 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
392 entries
<=2
474 entries
<=5
669 entries
<=10
869 entries
<=20
1093 entries
<=50
1308 entries
>50
68 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)62.8%
High (>55c)30.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 56.8%

Other$172,821
Atlanta$15,075
London$8,500
Seattle$1,855
Toronto$1,750
Houston$0
Miami$0
Denver$0
Tel Aviv$0
Milan$0
Paris$0
Dallas$0
Chicago$0
Los Angeles$0
Madrid$-22,554

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
1211

Single bracket

<=1
1076 brackets
<=2
1202 brackets
<=3
1208 brackets
<=4
1210 brackets
<=5
1210 brackets
<=8
1210 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/10/2026, 5:45:08 PM4 trades$1,3011 min
1/10/2026, 5:55:34 PM3 trades$1,8359 min
1/10/2026, 6:14:40 PM3 trades$10010 min
1/10/2026, 6:44:10 PM1 trades$20 min
1/10/2026, 6:54:12 PM1 trades$20 min
1/10/2026, 7:04:26 PM1 trades$970 min
1/10/2026, 7:24:50 PM1 trades$20 min
1/10/2026, 7:42:56 PM1 trades$1010 min
1/10/2026, 8:44:16 PM1 trades$2,2000 min
1/10/2026, 9:28:24 PM8 trades$4,4002 min
1/10/2026, 9:44:02 PM1 trades$2,1150 min
1/10/2026, 10:10:00 PM3 trades$2,9392 min
1/10/2026, 11:01:18 PM8 trades$8713 min
1/10/2026, 11:10:36 PM1 trades$7410 min
1/10/2026, 11:19:16 PM4 trades$8509 min
1/10/2026, 11:33:48 PM32 trades$5,29717 min
1/11/2026, 1:02:34 AM1 trades$2,2910 min
1/11/2026, 1:42:42 AM1 trades$20 min
1/11/2026, 1:48:10 AM6 trades$4,7067 min
1/11/2026, 2:01:16 AM11 trades$1,5658 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-03
02-28
03-25
04-23
05-20
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event