Polydata

@Milky-Living

#1,07410

0xc49fe658479db29e1a2fefebf0735f657dca9e05

131d· 2454 markets · 17773 tradesVol: $18,527,7032026-05-19T09:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 17%0/20
Profit Factor 0.39x0/15
HHI 1310/10
Profit Days 8%0/10

Summary

Milky-Living is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #1074 globally by net PnL with $144,990.48 earned over 366 days. They have executed 17,773 trades across 1,314 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $18.5 million. Despite a beginner-level Smart Score of 10/100, Milky-Living maintains a strong win rate of 86.6% and a profit factor of 1.96, indicating consistent profitability. Their portfolio value currently stands at $13,259.29, with an overall upward equity trend.

Milky-Living’s trading strategy appears diversified across a broad range of markets, with no exposure to weather markets and a 0% sell rate, suggesting a buy-and-hold or dollar-cost averaging approach. The trader’s style is partially automated, as shown by a semi-bot score of 65/100, blending algorithmic and manual methods. Their risk profile is moderate, reflected by a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.82) and zero max drawdown duration, implying they avoid prolonged losses but may experience volatility. The trader shows a preference for steady, incremental gains rather than quick flips.

The strengths of Milky-Living include a high win rate, long-term equity growth, and disciplined risk management, supported by badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master. However, the low Smart Score and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential limitations in market timing or volatility control. Additionally, the absence of selling activity could expose the trader to market shifts without timely profit-taking. Overall, Milky-Living’s data suggest a profitable but cautious approach to trading on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+144,990
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 13.5 entries/market
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
Whale
$4,284,746
High Roller
$11,707/day

Categories

6
SPORTS#485$141,955Vol: $18,520,083
🏛️ POLITICS#1,301,892$-19Vol: $439
🎭 CULTURE#472,686$-1Vol: $94
📢 MENTIONS#131,272$-19Vol: $60
CRYPTO#778,081$-1Vol: $11
💻 TECH#185,447$-2Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$144,990
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,527,703
Total Redeem
$526,079
Portfolio
$13,259
Predictions
2454
total markets
Trades
17769B / 4S
Daily Volume
$11,707
Account Age
131d
since Jan 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-6,210
Vol: $0
Week
$-6,901
Vol: $58,892
Month
$-7,802
Vol: $838,458
All Time
$144,990
Vol: $18,527,703

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
17%
217W / 1025L events
Realized PnL
$1,533,979
Win Rate
87%
84W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.96x
Avg Win
$2,555
Avg Loss
$-8,441

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,531 (19.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup K$7,500
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Gr$7,036
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$5,995
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$5,700
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group $4,996
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$4,320
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-02?$4,051
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$4,020
Pistons vs. Magic$3,937
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5$3,920

Top Losers

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?$-22,554
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?$-20,573
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?$-15,720
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-21?$-12,921
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?$-11,660
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?$-10,038
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?$-6,691
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Gro$-4,170
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Cha$-3,600
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South Americ$-630

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.825
Sortino
-0.867
HHI
13
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.605
Kelly %
74.3%
Half-Kelly
37.1%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
138.6
Very active
Markets / Day
10.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.4m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 24s — typical for humanSize CV 3.36 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.13 — human randomness139 trades/day — automation10 markets/day — mass coverage1475 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
366 entries
<=2
443 entries
<=5
639 entries
<=10
833 entries
<=20
1046 entries
<=50
1248 entries
>50
66 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)62.8%
High (>55c)29.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 56.4%

Other$106,908
Atlanta$15,075
Toronto$1,750
Houston$0
Miami$0
Denver$0
Tel Aviv$0
Milan$0
Paris$0
Dallas$0
Chicago$0
Los Angeles$0
Seattle$0
Madrid$-18,875

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
1151

Single bracket

<=1
1018 brackets
<=2
1142 brackets
<=3
1148 brackets
<=4
1150 brackets
<=5
1150 brackets
<=8
1150 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/10/2026, 5:45:08 PM4 trades$1,3011 min
1/10/2026, 5:55:34 PM3 trades$1,8359 min
1/10/2026, 6:14:40 PM3 trades$10010 min
1/10/2026, 6:44:10 PM1 trades$20 min
1/10/2026, 6:54:12 PM1 trades$20 min
1/10/2026, 7:04:26 PM1 trades$970 min
1/10/2026, 7:24:50 PM1 trades$20 min
1/10/2026, 7:42:56 PM1 trades$1010 min
1/10/2026, 8:44:16 PM1 trades$2,2000 min
1/10/2026, 9:28:24 PM8 trades$4,4002 min
1/10/2026, 9:44:02 PM1 trades$2,1150 min
1/10/2026, 10:10:00 PM3 trades$2,9392 min
1/10/2026, 11:01:18 PM8 trades$8713 min
1/10/2026, 11:10:36 PM1 trades$7410 min
1/10/2026, 11:19:16 PM4 trades$8509 min
1/10/2026, 11:33:48 PM32 trades$5,29717 min
1/11/2026, 1:02:34 AM1 trades$2,2910 min
1/11/2026, 1:42:42 AM1 trades$20 min
1/11/2026, 1:48:10 AM6 trades$4,7067 min
1/11/2026, 2:01:16 AM11 trades$1,5658 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
01-31
02-23
03-17
04-08
05-06
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event