Polydata
Miniature-Lifetime

@Miniature-Lifetime

#2,821,09620

0xddc29734d9d1c9ae99db7aa2cf8ae9d4820af6b1

276d· 74 markets · 182 tradesVol: $20,473 @realmamio2026-07-02T18:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 47%8/20
Profit Factor 0.63x0/15
HHI 39610/10
Profit Days 37%2/10
DD/Peak 289%0/10

Summary

Miniature-Lifetime is a low-ranked, relatively inactive trader on Polymarket, holding position #2,821,096 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 426 days, they have completed 182 trades across 74 markets, with a net loss of $1,008.53 on a total volume of $20,473. Their portfolio value stands at $25.43, reflecting minimal capital growth. The trader’s Sharpe ratio is negative at -0.19, indicating poor risk-adjusted returns, and their profit factor of 0.75 suggests losses outweigh gains.

This trader tends to take a contrarian approach, as indicated by the Contrarian badge, and maintains a balanced win rate of 50%. Miniature-Lifetime appears to trade manually with a low bot score and prefers markets outside weather categories, with no activity in weather markets. Their sell percentage is relatively low at 21%, implying a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently exiting trades. The upward equity trend signals some growth in portfolio value despite the overall negative PnL, possibly from selective long-term bets.

Miniature-Lifetime’s key strength lies in their steady trading frequency and an upward equity trend, which may reflect gradual learning over time. However, the significant net loss, low profit factor, and beginner status suggest a lack of effective risk management and strategy execution. Their contrarian style could expose them to higher volatility, while the low Sharpe ratio highlights an unfavorable risk-return profile, presenting ongoing challenges for consistent profitability on Polymarket.

Badges

2
Contrarian
64% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
CRYPTO#38,600$594Vol: $7,877
SPORTS#1,733,960$-910Vol: $5,854
🎭 CULTURE#793,797$-537Vol: $5,297
🏛️ POLITICS#1,486,949$-94Vol: $749
📢 MENTIONS#140,443$-25Vol: $314
💰 FINANCE#144,538$1Vol: $230
🌤️ WEATHER#170,840$-0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,009
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,473
Total Redeem
$1,688
Portfolio
$25
Predictions
74
total markets
Trades
144B / 38S
Daily Volume
$15
Account Age
276d
since Oct 2, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$9
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,009
Vol: $20,473

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
43%
25W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$-654
Win Rate
50%
32W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-76

Top Winners

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $565
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$243
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?$136
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, $130
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?$95
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$72
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$62
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?$51
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$49

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2$-210
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20,$-208
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?$-195
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?$-186
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?$-177
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, $-162
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?$-140
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score$-126
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?$-111
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.189
Sortino
-0.313
HHI
396
Diversified
EV per $1
$-2.656
Kelly %
10.0%
Half-Kelly
5.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
34.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1034s — typical for humanSize CV 1.87 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.98 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
52 entries
<=2
59 entries
<=5
70 entries
<=10
73 entries
<=20
74 entries
<=50
74 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.4%
Mid (20-55c)41.7%
High (>55c)31.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55.9%

Paris$-20
Other$-568

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
59

Single bracket

<=1
51 brackets
<=2
56 brackets
<=3
58 brackets
<=4
58 brackets
<=5
58 brackets
<=8
59 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/2/2025, 5:46:55 AM1 trades$1000 min
10/6/2025, 2:42:45 PM1 trades$3580 min
10/7/2025, 1:05:52 PM1 trades$3580 min
10/9/2025, 6:13:53 PM2 trades$1,3301 min
10/13/2025, 11:54:15 AM1 trades$6080 min
12/8/2025, 5:51:51 PM1 trades$200 min
12/10/2025, 9:05:14 PM1 trades$200 min
12/13/2025, 10:32:09 AM1 trades$1200 min
12/14/2025, 5:58:43 PM1 trades$200 min
12/14/2025, 6:11:07 PM1 trades$300 min
12/17/2025, 3:29:01 AM1 trades$420 min
12/17/2025, 8:38:58 AM1 trades$100 min
12/17/2025, 9:02:39 AM1 trades$190 min
12/17/2025, 10:54:52 AM1 trades$100 min
12/17/2025, 11:30:08 AM1 trades$100 min
12/22/2025, 3:48:45 PM1 trades$500 min
12/23/2025, 5:21:07 AM1 trades$1000 min
12/27/2025, 11:53:55 AM1 trades$1490 min
12/27/2025, 5:00:23 PM1 trades$2440 min
12/28/2025, 11:57:25 AM1 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-30
01-08
01-17
01-28
02-12
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event