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Miniature-Lifetime

@Miniature-Lifetime

#2,702,80919

0xddc29734d9d1c9ae99db7aa2cf8ae9d4820af6b1

273d· 74 markets · 182 tradesVol: $20,473 @realmamio2026-06-11T18:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 45%8/20
Profit Factor 0.62x0/15
HHI 39610/10
Profit Days 35%1/10
DD/Peak 290%0/10

Summary

Miniature-Lifetime is a relatively low-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #2,702,809 on the global PnL leaderboard. With 426 days active, they have completed 182 trades across 74 markets, totaling a volume of $20,473. Despite consistent activity, Miniature-Lifetime’s net PnL is negative at -$1,022.22, and their portfolio value currently stands at just $11.81. Their overall performance metrics, including a Smart Score of 19/100 and a Sharpe Ratio of -0.19, indicate a beginner-level trader struggling to generate sustainable profits.

The trading style of Miniature-Lifetime appears cautious, with a 50% win rate and a profit factor of 0.75, suggesting losses outweigh gains. They have not engaged in weather markets and maintain a relatively low sell percentage at 21%, possibly indicating a preference for holding positions longer or a conservative exit strategy. Their equity trend shows some growth despite losses, which might imply gradual improvement. The trader’s contrarian badge hints at a tendency to go against popular sentiment, while the low bot score confirms manual trading.

Miniature-Lifetime’s key strength lies in their persistence and ability to maintain activity over an extended period, which could support learning and adaptation. However, significant risks include their negative profitability and low risk-adjusted returns, as indicated by the negative Sharpe Ratio. Their beginner status and relatively small current portfolio value may limit their capacity to capitalize on market opportunities effectively, making consistent profitability a challenge in the highly competitive Polymarket environment.

Badges

2
Contrarian
64% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
CRYPTO#37,374$594Vol: $7,877
SPORTS#1,614,115$-924Vol: $5,854
🎭 CULTURE#784,873$-537Vol: $5,297
🏛️ POLITICS#1,472,475$-94Vol: $749
📢 MENTIONS#138,039$-25Vol: $314
💰 FINANCE#138,309$1Vol: $230
🌤️ WEATHER#167,449$-0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,022
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,473
Total Redeem
$1,688
Portfolio
$12
Predictions
74
total markets
Trades
144B / 38S
Daily Volume
$15
Account Age
273d
since Oct 2, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-16
Vol: $474
All Time
$-1,022
Vol: $20,473

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
41%
24W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-654
Win Rate
50%
32W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-76

Top Winners

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $565
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$243
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?$136
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, $130
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?$95
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$72
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$62
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?$51
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$49

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2$-210
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20,$-208
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?$-195
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?$-186
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?$-177
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, $-162
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?$-140
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score$-126
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?$-111
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.191
Sortino
-0.317
HHI
396
Diversified
EV per $1
$-2.692
Kelly %
10.0%
Half-Kelly
5.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
34.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1034s — typical for humanSize CV 1.87 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.98 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
52 entries
<=2
59 entries
<=5
70 entries
<=10
73 entries
<=20
74 entries
<=50
74 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.4%
Mid (20-55c)41.7%
High (>55c)31.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55.9%

Paris$-20
Other$-569

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
59

Single bracket

<=1
51 brackets
<=2
56 brackets
<=3
58 brackets
<=4
58 brackets
<=5
58 brackets
<=8
59 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/2/2025, 5:46:55 AM1 trades$1000 min
10/6/2025, 2:42:45 PM1 trades$3580 min
10/7/2025, 1:05:52 PM1 trades$3580 min
10/9/2025, 6:13:53 PM2 trades$1,3301 min
10/13/2025, 11:54:15 AM1 trades$6080 min
12/8/2025, 5:51:51 PM1 trades$200 min
12/10/2025, 9:05:14 PM1 trades$200 min
12/13/2025, 10:32:09 AM1 trades$1200 min
12/14/2025, 5:58:43 PM1 trades$200 min
12/14/2025, 6:11:07 PM1 trades$300 min
12/17/2025, 3:29:01 AM1 trades$420 min
12/17/2025, 8:38:58 AM1 trades$100 min
12/17/2025, 9:02:39 AM1 trades$190 min
12/17/2025, 10:54:52 AM1 trades$100 min
12/17/2025, 11:30:08 AM1 trades$100 min
12/22/2025, 3:48:45 PM1 trades$500 min
12/23/2025, 5:21:07 AM1 trades$1000 min
12/27/2025, 11:53:55 AM1 trades$1490 min
12/27/2025, 5:00:23 PM1 trades$2440 min
12/28/2025, 11:57:25 AM1 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-30
01-08
01-17
01-28
02-12
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event