Polydata

@Miniature-Score

#2,557,06410

0x3cd668fdf2aeb1e1f8cf2d93fa644f681e1b9a5c

121d· 2558 markets · 2794 tradesVol: $45,883 @alvarosui2026-06-09T14:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 29%0/20
Profit Factor 0.57x0/15
HHI 1210/10
Profit Days 19%0/10
DD/Peak 973%0/10

Summary

Miniature-Score is a highly active trader on Polymarket, having executed 2,794 trades across 1,419 markets over 121 days. Despite this activity, they hold a global PnL rank of #2,557,064 with a net loss of $297.16. Their trading volume is substantial at $45,883, but their portfolio value currently stands at zero, reflecting an overall downward equity trend.

Their strategy appears to combine automated and manual trading, indicated by a semi-bot score of 65/100. Miniature-Score shows a conservative sell percentage of 28% and avoids weather markets entirely. They maintain a very high win rate of 98.2% and an impressive profit factor of 34.08, suggesting a focus on frequent, small wins. However, a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.50 and a beginner smart score of 10/100 imply that risk management and strategy optimization may be lacking, despite short max drawdown duration.

Miniature-Score’s strengths lie in their consistent winning streaks and high trade frequency, which could be advantageous for refining their approach. However, the sustained net loss and declining equity trend raise concerns about long-term profitability and risk exposure. Their beginner status and reliance on semi-automated trading highlight potential vulnerabilities in adapting to market volatility on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

1
Win Streak
274 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,460,738$-290Vol: $42,825
🏛️ POLITICS#1,129,430$-5Vol: $2,877
🌤️ WEATHER#205,492$-3Vol: $179
SPORTS#405,495$1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,883
Total Redeem
$3,933
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2558
total markets
Trades
2012B / 782S
Daily Volume
$53
Account Age
121d
since Feb 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $148
Week
$-10
Vol: $956
Month
$29
Vol: $2,256
All Time
$-297
Vol: $45,883

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
29%
283W / 682L events
Realized PnL
$948
Win Rate
98%
690W / 13L
Profit Factor
34.08x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29 (1.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$7

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.496
Sortino
-0.584
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.539
Kelly %
97.0%
Half-Kelly
48.5%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
11.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.37
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 289s — typical for humanSize CV 0.37 — uniform orders17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness23 trades/day — suspiciously high12 markets/day — mass coverage967 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
1083 entries
<=2
1286 entries
<=5
1400 entries
<=10
1418 entries
<=20
1419 entries
<=50
1419 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)38.4%
High (>55c)60.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.6%

Other$1,558

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1419

Single bracket

<=1
1419 brackets
<=2
1419 brackets
<=3
1419 brackets
<=4
1419 brackets
<=5
1419 brackets
<=8
1419 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 1:07:49 PM6 trades$80 min
2/8/2026, 2:19:21 PM17 trades$213 min
2/8/2026, 2:55:51 PM2 trades$51 min
2/8/2026, 3:17:01 PM17 trades$234 min
2/8/2026, 3:30:39 PM20 trades$257 min
2/8/2026, 4:16:13 PM2 trades$33 min
2/8/2026, 4:31:21 PM12 trades$184 min
2/8/2026, 4:48:59 PM17 trades$232 min
2/8/2026, 5:35:31 PM2 trades$41 min
2/8/2026, 5:46:55 PM11 trades$219 min
2/8/2026, 6:18:11 PM13 trades$293 min
2/8/2026, 6:30:53 PM14 trades$204 min
2/8/2026, 10:51:49 PM12 trades$301 min
2/8/2026, 11:15:39 PM6 trades$123 min
2/8/2026, 11:30:47 PM17 trades$265 min
2/9/2026, 12:01:51 AM21 trades$274 min
2/9/2026, 7:31:43 AM11 trades$182 min
2/9/2026, 10:16:59 AM1 trades$20 min
2/9/2026, 10:33:53 AM11 trades$173 min
2/9/2026, 3:00:57 PM10 trades$175 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-15
02-23
05-05
05-18
05-28
06-05
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event