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@Miniature-Score

#2,757,10110

0x3cd668fdf2aeb1e1f8cf2d93fa644f681e1b9a5c

167d· 2655 markets · 2943 tradesVol: $47,450 @alvarosui2026-07-20T15:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 28%0/20
Profit Factor 0.57x0/15
HHI 1210/10
Profit Days 16%0/10
DD/Peak 1144%0/10

Summary

Miniature-Score is a highly active trader on Polymarket, having executed 2,943 trades across 1,468 markets over 123 days. Despite this activity, their net PnL stands at a negative $299.81, positioning them at rank 2,757,101 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently zero, reflecting an overall downward equity trend. The trader holds a beginner-level Smart Score of 10/100 but shows some semi-automated trading behavior with a bot score of 65/100.

This trader’s style appears focused on high-frequency trading across a wide range of markets, with no particular preference for weather markets. Their exceptionally high win rate of 99.2% combined with a profit factor of 73.38 suggests frequent, small gains, likely on low-risk, low-reward bets. However, a relatively low sell percentage of 26% indicates holding positions rather than quick flips. The negative Sharpe ratio of -0.48 and ongoing downward equity trend highlight challenges in sustaining profitability despite their active approach.

Miniature-Score’s strengths lie in their consistency and trading volume, which demonstrate engagement and commitment on Polymarket. However, the significant net losses and poor risk-adjusted returns present concerns about their strategy’s long-term viability. The combination of beginner status and semi-bot usage may also indicate a learning curve or reliance on automated tools that require refinement to improve outcomes.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

1
Win Streak
274 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,543,661$-292Vol: $44,392
🏛️ POLITICS#1,147,391$-5Vol: $2,877
🌤️ WEATHER#215,247$-3Vol: $179
SPORTS#444,038$1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-300
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,450
Total Redeem
$4,434
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2655
total markets
Trades
2169B / 774S
Daily Volume
$55
Account Age
167d
since Feb 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-300
Vol: $47,450

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
28%
284W / 719L events
Realized PnL
$1,088
Win Rate
99%
712W / 6L
Profit Factor
73.38x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47 (2.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$12

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.478
Sortino
-0.593
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.525
Kelly %
98.6%
Half-Kelly
49.3%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.9
Active
Markets / Day
11.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.0m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.38
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 289s — typical for humanSize CV 0.38 — uniform orders18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness24 trades/day — suspiciously high12 markets/day — mass coverage1005 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
1088 entries
<=2
1300 entries
<=5
1449 entries
<=10
1467 entries
<=20
1468 entries
<=50
1468 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)39.6%
High (>55c)59.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 53.5%

Other$1,813

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1458

Single bracket

<=1
1458 brackets
<=2
1458 brackets
<=3
1458 brackets
<=4
1458 brackets
<=5
1458 brackets
<=8
1458 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 1:07:49 PM6 trades$80 min
2/8/2026, 2:19:21 PM17 trades$213 min
2/8/2026, 2:55:51 PM2 trades$51 min
2/8/2026, 3:17:01 PM17 trades$234 min
2/8/2026, 3:30:39 PM20 trades$247 min
2/8/2026, 4:16:13 PM2 trades$33 min
2/8/2026, 4:31:21 PM12 trades$184 min
2/8/2026, 4:48:59 PM17 trades$232 min
2/8/2026, 5:35:31 PM2 trades$41 min
2/8/2026, 5:46:55 PM11 trades$209 min
2/8/2026, 6:18:11 PM13 trades$293 min
2/8/2026, 6:30:53 PM14 trades$204 min
2/8/2026, 10:51:49 PM12 trades$301 min
2/8/2026, 11:15:39 PM6 trades$113 min
2/8/2026, 11:30:47 PM17 trades$255 min
2/9/2026, 12:01:51 AM21 trades$274 min
2/9/2026, 7:31:43 AM11 trades$182 min
2/9/2026, 10:16:59 AM1 trades$20 min
2/9/2026, 10:33:53 AM11 trades$173 min
2/9/2026, 3:00:57 PM10 trades$165 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-16
02-26
05-13
05-24
06-02
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event