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Moral-Revival

@Moral-Revival

#14,99366

0x2c50b0b2992ea5cb444a6097b68bcd9fb09589b6

95d· 380 markets · 1097 tradesVol: $189,3592026-05-16T02:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 57%13/20
Profit Factor 1.60x10/15
Sharpe 0.2244/15
Sortino 0.3413/10
EV $+0.60210/10
HHI 19010/10
Profit Days 62%8/10
DD/Peak 34%7/10

Summary

Moral-Revival is an active Polymarket trader ranked #14,993 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 90 days, they executed 1,097 trades across 340 markets, generating a net profit of $7,960.90 on a total trading volume of $189,359. Their win rate stands at an impressive 82.6%, supported by a profit factor of 109.22, indicating strong profitability despite a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.22. The trader’s portfolio value currently sits at zero, and their equity trend shows a recent decline.

This trader exhibits a semi-automated trading style with a Bot Score of 45/100, blending manual and bot-driven decisions. Moral-Revival tends to avoid weather markets and maintains a low sell percentage of 14%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping. Their risk profile appears moderate, supported by no recorded max drawdown duration, indicating disciplined risk management. The trader’s timing patterns are consistent, as reflected by badges highlighting profitability, winning streaks, and consistency.

Moral-Revival’s key strengths lie in their high win rate and strong profit factor, which contribute to sustained profitability on Polymarket. However, the downward equity trend and relatively low Sharpe ratio could signal emerging risks or reduced effectiveness in adapting to market changes. Additionally, the semi-bot approach may limit responsiveness compared to fully automated strategies. Overall, Moral-Revival demonstrates solid trading skills but should monitor performance metrics closely.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+7,961
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
Whale
$59,137
Consistent
25/40 days

Categories

2
SPORTS#5,337$8,115Vol: $184,382
CRYPTO#1,367,325$-154Vol: $4,977

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,961
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$189,359
Total Redeem
$2,270
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
380
total markets
Trades
939B / 158S
Daily Volume
$660
Account Age
95d
since Feb 15, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-2,482
Vol: $25,055
Month
$-4,305
Vol: $36,809
All Time
$7,961
Vol: $189,359

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
57%
189W / 141L events
Realized PnL
$26,532
Win Rate
83%
180W / 38L
Profit Factor
109.22x
Avg Win
$145
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,179 (23.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)$2,442
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)$2,038
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$1,700
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)$1,346
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$1,146
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14?$1,019
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Pla$980
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner$806
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev$739
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episo$526

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Pl$-71
Counter-Strike: Acend vs CarritoSpain (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup $-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$-9
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group A$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-8
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.224
Sortino
0.342
HHI
190
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.602
Kelly %
76.6%
Half-Kelly
38.3%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
20.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.4m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — typical for humanSize CV 2.78 — diverse, typical for human33% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness12 trades/day — very active360 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
110 entries
<=2
193 entries
<=5
312 entries
<=10
337 entries
<=20
340 entries
<=50
340 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)55%
High (>55c)43.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 90%

Other$25,146
Paris$436
São Paulo$196
Atlanta$115
Milan$13
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
321

Single bracket

<=1
305 brackets
<=2
318 brackets
<=3
321 brackets
<=4
321 brackets
<=5
321 brackets
<=8
321 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/15/2026, 1:45:59 AM4 trades$91 min
2/15/2026, 2:05:27 AM1 trades$110 min
2/15/2026, 2:20:53 AM3 trades$175 min
2/15/2026, 2:39:25 AM5 trades$115 min
2/15/2026, 2:59:13 AM3 trades$60 min
2/15/2026, 3:34:31 AM5 trades$165 min
2/15/2026, 3:53:59 AM1 trades$40 min
2/15/2026, 3:59:53 AM2 trades$70 min
2/15/2026, 4:10:41 AM8 trades$338 min
2/15/2026, 4:27:19 AM3 trades$53 min
2/15/2026, 4:50:31 AM2 trades$30 min
2/15/2026, 4:59:59 AM5 trades$144 min
2/15/2026, 5:11:53 AM1 trades$50 min
2/15/2026, 5:20:27 AM5 trades$248 min
2/15/2026, 5:50:39 AM1 trades$350 min
2/15/2026, 10:47:25 AM1 trades$590 min
2/15/2026, 10:53:43 AM1 trades$60 min
2/15/2026, 3:16:49 PM1 trades$40 min
2/15/2026, 4:27:33 PM1 trades$60 min
2/15/2026, 4:33:43 PM22 trades$5126 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-15
02-26
04-01
04-07
04-13
04-19
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event