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@Mortified-Undershirt

#2,902,99976

0x3763a5be598b42e16d4f10fcc878997d1244c7a1

421d· 263 markets · 1274 tradesVol: $756,1612026-06-29T11:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 67%19/20
Profit Factor 2.12x15/15
Sharpe 0.2154/15
Sortino 0.1441/10
EV $+1.21210/10
HHI 18710/10
Profit Days 73%10/10
DD/Peak 35%7/10

Summary

Mortified-Undershirt is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 1,274 trades executed over 439 days and participation in 252 distinct markets. Despite a sizable total volume of $756,161, their net profit and loss stands at a negative $3,876.15, placing them at rank #2,902,999 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently zero, indicating no open positions, and they maintain a very good Smart Score of 76 out of 100.

This trader exhibits a preference for manual trading across a wide range of markets, avoiding weather-related contracts entirely. With a 67.4% win rate and a profit factor of 1.44, Mortified-Undershirt shows a tendency toward consistent, low-risk trades. The relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.22 and a sell percentage of 27% suggest a cautious approach with moderate profit-taking rather than aggressive speculation. Their stable equity trend and zero-day max drawdown duration point to disciplined risk management and timely exit strategies.

Mortified-Undershirt’s strengths lie in their consistent performance and disciplined manual trading, as reflected by badges like Sniper and Win Streak. However, the negative net PnL and low portfolio value highlight potential concerns about profitability sustainability. The trader’s moderate profit factor and low Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside relative to risk, which may constrain long-term growth on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 67%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Whale
$351,850
Consistent
55/75 days

Categories

3
SPORTS#6,011$7,373Vol: $464,659
CRYPTO#1,421,614$-102Vol: $1,760
🏛️ POLITICS#166,017$11Vol: $1,160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,876
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$756,161
Total Redeem
$94,203
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
263
total markets
Trades
932B / 342S
Daily Volume
$801
Account Age
421d
since May 7, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
70%
148W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$23,127
Win Rate
67%
161W / 76L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$168
Avg Loss
$-248

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,504 (66.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans$2,242
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$2,208
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals$1,055
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Pl$941
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 2 Winner$888
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Sup$881
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?$825
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner$766
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings$732
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$704

Top Losers

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans$-5,664
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage$-4,899
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$-4,220
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$-3,266
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner$-65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$-49
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Kni$-42
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28?$-41
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.215
Sortino
0.144
HHI
187
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.212
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
16.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — typical for humanSize CV 2.90 — diverse, typical for human9% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.7
Moderate DCA
<=1
147 entries
<=2
182 entries
<=5
214 entries
<=10
229 entries
<=20
241 entries
<=50
252 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)86.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 96.2%

Other$4,017
Paris$2,458
Lucknow$1,196
Milan$501
Madrid$99
Atlanta$4
New York City$-1
Up or Down$-2
Singapore$-6

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
219

Single bracket

<=1
190 brackets
<=2
215 brackets
<=3
219 brackets
<=4
219 brackets
<=5
219 brackets
<=8
219 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/7/2025, 6:45:06 PM1 trades$130 min
5/7/2025, 8:56:08 PM1 trades$320 min
5/8/2025, 8:46:37 AM1 trades$50 min
5/8/2025, 8:15:59 PM1 trades$10 min
5/8/2025, 8:52:27 PM1 trades$190 min
5/10/2025, 3:22:51 PM1 trades$10 min
5/10/2025, 5:17:51 PM2 trades$22 min
5/10/2025, 7:11:06 PM3 trades$63 min
5/11/2025, 9:25:34 AM1 trades$10 min
5/11/2025, 4:56:02 PM1 trades$10 min
5/11/2025, 5:12:27 PM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2025, 10:43:43 PM2 trades$22 min
5/15/2025, 10:53:23 PM1 trades$270 min
5/16/2025, 10:43:49 PM1 trades$370 min
5/16/2025, 11:00:28 PM2 trades$21 min
5/19/2025, 12:55:27 AM2 trades$20 min
5/20/2025, 10:27:18 PM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2025, 9:05:58 AM1 trades$200 min
5/21/2025, 9:37:46 AM3 trades$413 min
5/21/2025, 11:51:32 AM1 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
06-04
03-27
04-11
04-25
05-08
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event