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@Motherly-Insect

#15112

0x8f037a2e4fd49d11267f4ab874ab7ba745ac64d6

269d· 2059 markets · 20879 tradesVol: $70,953,8832026-06-13T11:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 21%0/20
Profit Factor 0.76x0/15
HHI 3110/10
Profit Days 36%2/10
DD/Peak 72198297%0/10

Summary

Motherly-Insect is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #151 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $922,131.39. Over 454 days, they have executed 20,879 trades across 1,046 markets, generating a total volume of nearly $71 million. Despite a beginner-level Smart Score of 12/100, their portfolio value currently stands at $16,254.17, reflecting consistent engagement and growth.

The trader’s style is characterized by a semi-automated approach, indicated by a Bot Score of 65/100, blending bot-driven and manual decision-making. Motherly-Insect demonstrates a strong preference for holding positions without selling, as evidenced by a 0% sell rate and badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master. Their risk profile appears moderate to low, with no recorded drawdown duration and an upward equity trend. However, a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.22) suggests some volatility in returns, and the profit factor of 0.00 flags an anomaly worth further investigation.

Motherly-Insect’s strengths lie in their high trade volume, consistent win rate of 100%, and disciplined holding strategy, which have contributed to their substantial net gains on Polymarket. Potential concerns include their beginner Smart Score and the unexpected profit factor, which may indicate data irregularities or unconventional profit calculation. Overall, Motherly-Insect shows promise but may benefit from refining risk management and analytical approaches.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+922,131
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 19.9 entries/market
Win Streak
77 wins in a row
Whale
$15,591,110
High Roller
$34,342/day

Categories

6
SPORTS#77$976,076Vol: $68,417,987
🎭 CULTURE#795,825$-15,399Vol: $1,720,298
🏛️ POLITICS#1,595,315$-48,487Vol: $770,272
💰 FINANCE#1,748$2,675Vol: $18,776
📢 MENTIONS#1,683$681Vol: $5,006
📈 ECONOMICS#32,373$13Vol: $343

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$922,131
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,953,883
Total Redeem
$2,412,050
Portfolio
$16,254
Predictions
2059
total markets
Trades
20853B / 26S
Daily Volume
$34,342
Account Age
269d
since Sep 30, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $0
Week
$120
Vol: $0
Month
$19
Vol: $0
All Time
$922,131
Vol: $70,953,883

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
28%
232W / 603L events
Realized PnL
$10,999,625
Win Rate
100%
77W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$14,243
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $357,870 (32.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Clippers (-9.5)$204,410
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)$78,000
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)$75,460
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)$73,244
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars$72,191
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5$52,702
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)$44,054
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)$40,450
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils$38,946
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5$29,287

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.216
Sortino
-0.297
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.243
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
94.8
Very active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.4m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — typical for humanSize CV 4.36 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness95 trades/day — mass trading1219 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
196 entries
<=2
283 entries
<=5
448 entries
<=10
599 entries
<=20
760 entries
<=50
939 entries
>50
107 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)77.8%
High (>55c)17.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 26.8%

Other$938,641
Houston$72,217
San Francisco$34,440
Madrid$23,407
Los Angeles$11,159
Atlanta$6,596
Seattle$5,274
Chicago$4,242
Toronto$698
Miami$0
Paris$0
Wellington$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
705

Single bracket

<=1
493 brackets
<=2
649 brackets
<=3
691 brackets
<=4
703 brackets
<=5
703 brackets
<=8
703 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/2/2025, 4:42:15 PM2 trades$1,4192 min
10/2/2025, 5:03:31 PM5 trades$4644 min
10/2/2025, 5:13:27 PM7 trades$5917 min
10/2/2025, 5:26:27 PM1 trades$10,2600 min
10/2/2025, 5:57:33 PM1 trades$10,8000 min
10/2/2025, 6:16:29 PM10 trades$30,22312 min
10/2/2025, 6:42:45 PM11 trades$6,79715 min
10/2/2025, 7:06:15 PM1 trades$10,6000 min
10/2/2025, 7:20:57 PM4 trades$419 min
10/2/2025, 7:35:19 PM2 trades$1,3971 min
10/2/2025, 7:48:55 PM2 trades$210 min
10/2/2025, 7:55:31 PM2 trades$261 min
10/2/2025, 8:11:05 PM3 trades$9352 min
10/2/2025, 8:21:33 PM2 trades$442 min
10/2/2025, 8:30:55 PM2 trades$302 min
10/2/2025, 8:41:37 PM7 trades$53710 min
10/2/2025, 9:07:43 PM1 trades$2050 min
10/3/2025, 12:07:11 AM1 trades$15,8000 min
10/3/2025, 12:14:27 AM1 trades$35,5500 min
10/3/2025, 7:34:20 PM1 trades$5330 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-05
12-08
01-08
02-07
03-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event