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@Motherly-Socks

#59,67630

0x2b6bcd3b853602a109aa76717e6a0b3d79f4d955

216d· 16422 markets · 4579 tradesVol: $1,141,3042026-06-24T23:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.11x0/15
HHI 3310/10
Profit Days 30%0/10

Summary

Motherly-Socks is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 4,579 trades across 1,479 markets over 66 days. With a net profit of $1,542.95 and a global rank of #59,676, the trader shows consistent engagement but remains below the top tiers in overall profitability. Their smart score is 30/100, indicating below-average trading acumen relative to the broader Polymarket community. Despite a substantial total trading volume of over $1.1 million, their portfolio value currently stands at zero.

The trading style of Motherly-Socks appears to favor frequent, high-volume activity with a strong win rate of 70%, suggesting a preference for lower-risk, higher-probability bets. Their profit factor of 0.11, however, indicates that losses may be substantial relative to gains on average, and the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.62) points to volatility and risk in returns. Trading timing seems aggressive and continuous, supported by badges such as "Sniper" and "Diamond Hands," but the absence of selling and weather market exposure suggests a focused, possibly conservative market segment approach.

Motherly-Socks’ key strength lies in consistent upward equity trends and a strong win streak, which demonstrate resilience and the ability to capitalize on favorable conditions. However, the low profit factor and negative risk-adjusted performance metrics highlight potential concerns around risk management and long-term sustainability. The semi-bot trading style could offer efficiency benefits but may also limit adaptability in rapidly changing markets. Overall, Motherly-Socks shows promise but faces challenges in optimizing risk and maximizing returns on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+1,543
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
235 wins in a row
Whale
$51,407

Categories

6
CRYPTO#23,199$1,540Vol: $1,140,598
🌤️ WEATHER#72,153$0Vol: $224
SPORTS#368,996$2Vol: $221
🎭 CULTURE#184,134$1Vol: $170
🏛️ POLITICS#451,812$0Vol: $50
💰 FINANCE#298,763$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,543
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,141,304
Total Redeem
$8,552
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16422
total markets
Trades
4560B / 19S
Daily Volume
$782
Account Age
216d
since Dec 13, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,543
Vol: $1,141,304

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$46,035
Win Rate
70%
610W / 261L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-162

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - March 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$196
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET$117
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1PM ET$112
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET$83
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET$75
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1PM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET$60
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET$43

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-364
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-353
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-348
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-342
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-335
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$-328
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$-327
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$-325
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$-325
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$-317

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.619
Sortino
-0.631
HHI
33
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.801
Kelly %
41.9%
Half-Kelly
21.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
69.7
Very active
Markets / Day
22.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 32s — typical for humanSize CV 1.27 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.58 — human randomness70 trades/day — mass trading23 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
928 entries
<=2
1124 entries
<=5
1237 entries
<=10
1359 entries
<=20
1469 entries
<=50
1478 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)64.1%
High (>55c)35.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 56%

Other$-37,821

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1479

Single bracket

<=1
1479 brackets
<=2
1479 brackets
<=3
1479 brackets
<=4
1479 brackets
<=5
1479 brackets
<=8
1479 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/7/2026, 11:15:39 AM152 trades$1,51113 min
3/14/2026, 4:43:37 AM14 trades$2597 min
3/14/2026, 6:38:31 AM21 trades$1742 min
3/14/2026, 8:43:39 AM8 trades$1595 min
3/14/2026, 11:43:43 AM18 trades$1614 min
3/14/2026, 7:43:47 PM13 trades$1515 min
3/14/2026, 8:43:49 PM4 trades$1071 min
3/14/2026, 9:58:47 PM15 trades$2054 min
3/15/2026, 7:13:29 AM3 trades$1212 min
3/15/2026, 10:43:35 AM13 trades$1573 min
3/15/2026, 11:28:35 AM4 trades$1091 min
3/15/2026, 11:35:53 AM2 trades$500 min
3/15/2026, 11:43:31 AM11 trades$1072 min
3/15/2026, 12:43:33 PM3 trades$1231 min
3/15/2026, 12:52:59 PM1 trades$410 min
3/15/2026, 7:28:37 PM7 trades$1202 min
3/15/2026, 7:58:43 PM9 trades$1442 min
3/15/2026, 8:28:37 PM3 trades$841 min
3/17/2026, 3:43:47 AM24 trades$3703 min
3/17/2026, 5:43:47 AM4 trades$801 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-07
03-20
03-27
04-02
04-09
05-06
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event