Polydata

@Mundane-Research

#2,992,49859

0x008a18a576eb1da1b4bca995082a511098a574ff

319d· 18724 markets · 2533 tradesVol: $1,511,1312026-07-20T08:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%3/20
Profit Factor 1.35x7/15
Sharpe 0.2555/15
Sortino 1.06710/10
EV $+0.34610/10
HHI 2810/10
Profit Days 72%10/10
DD/Peak 51%4/10

Summary

Mundane-Research is an active trader on Polymarket, having completed 2,533 trades across 810 markets over 203 days. Despite a high trading volume of over $1.5 million, their net profit and loss stands at a negative $2,812.27, placing them at rank #2,992,498 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value has declined significantly to $66, reflecting a downward equity trend. The trader holds a Smart Score of 59/100, indicating good performance metrics, and a bot score of 70/100, suggesting the use of automated trading strategies.

Mundane-Research appears to favor a high-frequency and automated trading style, as evidenced by their bot score and the absence of weather market trades or position selling. Their win rate is exceptionally high at 98.3%, with a profit factor of 216.28, showing they win most trades and achieve strong returns on winning trades. However, their Sharpe ratio is low at 0.26, indicating that returns are not well compensated for the risk taken. Their trading activity seems contrarian, with badges such as Contrarian and Diamond Hands hinting at a tendency to hold positions firmly and possibly against prevailing market sentiment.

The key strength for Mundane-Research is their ability to maintain a high win rate and use automated tools effectively on Polymarket, which can capitalize on small but frequent market opportunities. On the downside, the negative net PnL and declining portfolio value raise concerns about their risk management and overall profitability. The lack of drawdown duration suggests quick recovery or position closures, but the low Sharpe ratio points to vulnerability in volatile conditions. Traders monitoring Mundane-Research should be aware of potential overexposure and the challenges of sustaining long-term gains in this style.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Contrarian
99% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
119 wins in a row
Whale
$53,729
Consistent
13/18 days

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,642,320$-3,611Vol: $1,479,364
🏛️ POLITICS#25,540$556Vol: $27,275
SPORTS#77,696$259Vol: $3,942

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,812
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,511,131
Total Redeem
$60,996
Portfolio
$66
Predictions
18724
total markets
Trades
2533B / 0S
Daily Volume
$265
Account Age
319d
since Sep 4, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-578
Vol: $7,805
Week
$-578
Vol: $27,908
Month
$-5,888
Vol: $360,264
All Time
$-2,812
Vol: $1,511,131

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
37%
251W / 433L events
Realized PnL
$43,496
Win Rate
98%
347W / 6L
Profit Factor
216.28x
Avg Win
$108
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,248 (3.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$463
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11PM ET$417
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$368
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7PM ET$362
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4PM ET$360
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$358
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$357
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$357
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$357
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$357

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-71
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-62
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.255
Sortino
1.067
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.346
Kelly %
98.0%
Half-Kelly
49.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
5.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
445.1
Very active
Markets / Day
142.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
23s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 23s — typical for humanSize CV 1.13 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.32 — human randomness445 trades/day — automation142 markets/day — mass coverage684 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
304 entries
<=2
499 entries
<=5
700 entries
<=10
789 entries
<=20
809 entries
<=50
809 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)99.3%
High (>55c)0.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 56.4%

Other$36,892
Up or Down$288

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
810

Single bracket

<=1
810 brackets
<=2
810 brackets
<=3
810 brackets
<=4
810 brackets
<=5
810 brackets
<=8
810 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 3:33:04 PM1 trades$50 min
7/14/2026, 3:41:28 PM1 trades$1050 min
7/15/2026, 6:01:05 AM2 trades$2340 min
7/15/2026, 6:14:25 AM1 trades$1170 min
7/15/2026, 6:48:53 AM1 trades$940 min
7/15/2026, 7:08:16 AM141 trades$1,6223 min
7/15/2026, 7:17:56 AM16 trades$2630 min
7/15/2026, 7:23:23 AM1 trades$150 min
7/15/2026, 9:52:49 AM2 trades$2101 min
7/15/2026, 2:20:52 PM1 trades$940 min
7/15/2026, 2:41:31 PM1 trades$30 min
7/15/2026, 2:53:11 PM1 trades$940 min
7/15/2026, 4:36:49 PM8 trades$1416 min
7/15/2026, 4:53:40 PM2 trades$1370 min
7/15/2026, 5:06:59 PM2 trades$1400 min
7/15/2026, 5:31:37 PM2 trades$1390 min
7/15/2026, 5:40:35 PM2 trades$1400 min
7/15/2026, 5:58:58 PM1 trades$120 min
7/15/2026, 6:11:14 PM5 trades$1512 min
7/15/2026, 6:55:26 PM3 trades$813 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
07-07
07-10
07-13
07-16
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event